| Literature DB >> 28449009 |
Ben R Dickie1,2, Chris J Rose3, Lucy E Kershaw1,2, Stephanie B Withey4, Bernadette M Carrington5, Susan E Davidson5, Gillian Hutchison6, Catharine M L West1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The microvascular contrast agent transfer constant Ktrans has shown prognostic value in cervical cancer patients treated with chemoradiotherapy. This study aims to determine whether this is explained by the contribution to Ktrans of plasma flow (Fp), vessel permeability surface-area product (PS), or a combination of both.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 28449009 PMCID: PMC5520098 DOI: 10.1038/bjc.2017.121
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Cancer ISSN: 0007-0920 Impact factor: 7.640
Results from ROC analysis applied to continuous variables
| Patient age | 0.74 | ⩾48 years | ⩾47th | 14 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| Tumour volume | 0.72 | ⩾99 cm3 | ⩾69th | 12 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| 0.72 | ⩾0.32 ml min−1 ml−1 | ⩾50th | 13 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 0.74 | 0.71 | |
| 0.65 | ⩾0.25 ml min−1 ml−1 | ⩾64th | 11 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 0.63 | 0.59 | |
| 0.70 | ⩾0.12 min−1 | ⩾69th | 11 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0.70 | 0.59 | |
| 0.65 | ⩾0.15 ml ml−1 | ⩾58th | 11 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0.63 | 0.59 | |
| 0.61 | ⩾0.21 ml ml−1 | ⩾47th | 12 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 0.68 | 0.65 | |
Abbreviations: Fp=plasma flow; 2CXM=two-compartment exchange model; Ktrans=contrast agent transfer constant; PS=permeability surface-area product; vp=fractional plasma volume; ve=fractional interstitial volume; ROC=receiver operator characteristic.
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier disease-free survival curve estimates for significant variables ( For the treatment variable, patients were stratified into risk groups based on whether they received radiotherapy alone (RT) or concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). For nodal status, patients were grouped into those with no involved nodes (−ve) or those with at least one involved node (+ve). For patient age, tumour volume, plasma flow, and Ktrans, patients were stratified into risk groups based on ROC analysis cut-off values.
Figure 2Maps of plasma flow ( A single representative slice is shown for each tumour.
Bootstrapped point estimates and Bonferroni-corrected 95% confidence intervals for median variable importance (VIMP)
| T stage | 0.0046 (0.0030, 0.0087) | 11 |
| Treatment | ||
| Nodal Status | ||
| Histological subtype | ||
| Patient age | ||
| Tumour volume | 0.0093 (0.0068, 0.013) | 8 |
| 0.0084 (0.0064, 0.011) | 9 | |
| 0.018 (0.016, 0.023) | 7 | |
| 0.0077 (0.0061, 0.0096) | 10 | |
Abbreviations: CIs=confidence intervals; 2CXM=two-compartment exchange model; Ktrans=contrast agent transfer constant; Fp=plasma flow; PS=permeability surface-area product; vp=fractional plasma volume; ve=fractional interstitial volume. Higher VIMP indicates greater prognostic importance (lower rank). The top 6 variables (boldface) were used to build the alternative model.
T2b/T4 vs T1/T2a.
Radiotherapy vs chemoradiotherapy.
At least one involved node vs no involved nodes.
Other subtypes vs squamous cell.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier disease-free survival curve estimates for low and high-risk patients as predicted by the null (top) and alternative (bottom) models. Predictions of recurrence risk were estimated for each patient using the random survival forest algorithm in a leave-one-patient-out analysis. Patients were then grouped into low and high risk groups based on the median predicted recurrence/death risk. P-values show the result of testing the null hypothesis that HR=1.
Figure 4Random survival model predictions of recurrence risk for each variable in the alternative model. Probabilities are adjusted for the effect of all other variables in the model. Variables are ordered from top-left (strongest predictor) to bottom-right (weakest predictor) by median VIMP. Dots show point estimates on median recurrence risk. Lines extend to ∼95% confidence intervals. P-values show the result of testing the null hypothesis of no difference in predicted recurrence risk between levels of each factor.