Literature DB >> 28431299

Not that neglected! Base rates influence related and unrelated judgments.

Michał Białek1.   

Abstract

It is claimed that people are unable (or unwilling) to incorporate prior probabilities into posterior assessments, such as their estimation of the likelihood of a person with characteristics typical of an engineer actually being an engineer given that they are drawn from a sample including a very small number of engineers. This paper shows that base rates are incorporated in classifications (Experiment 1) and, moreover, that base rates also affect unrelated judgments, such as how well a provided description of a person fits a stereotypical engineer (Experiment 2). Finally, Experiment 3 shows that individuals who make both types of assessments - though using base rates to the same extent in the former judgments - are able to decrease the extent to which they incorporate base rates in the latter judgments.
Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Base-rate neglect; Biases; Conditional probability; Heuristics; Inverse fallacy; Judgment

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 28431299     DOI: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2017.04.003

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Acta Psychol (Amst)        ISSN: 0001-6918


  1 in total

1.  The environmental malleability of base-rate neglect.

Authors:  Martin Harry Turpin; Ethan A Meyers; Alexander C Walker; Michał Białek; Jennifer A Stolz; Jonathan A Fugelsang
Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  2020-04
  1 in total

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