| Literature DB >> 28424535 |
Hanan Polansky1, Edan Itzkovitz1, Adrian Javaherian1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: This paper reports the results of a clinical study that tested the effect of systemic treatment with the botanical product Gene-Eden-VIR/Novirin on the clearance rate (also called time to clearance) of the human papillomavirus (HPV). The study compared the clearance rate in treated and untreated individuals suffering from a symptomatic HPV infection. The data on the untreated individuals were obtained by reverse engineering of the Kaplan-Meier figures in five published papers.Entities:
Keywords: Gene-Eden-VIR/Novirin; HPV; efficacy; natural treatment; safety
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28424535 PMCID: PMC5344427 DOI: 10.2147/DDDT.S123340
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Drug Des Devel Ther ISSN: 1177-8881 Impact factor: 4.162
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the participants
| Characteristic | Years/n/% |
|---|---|
| Age – average (years) | 47 |
| Age, years – n (%) | |
| 20–40 | 21 (35.6) |
| 41–50 | 13 (22.0) |
| 51–60 | 11 (18.6) |
| 61–80 | 14 (23.7) |
| Gender – n (%) | |
| Male | 19 (32.2) |
| Female | 40 (67.8) |
| Race – n (%) | |
| African American | 13 (22.0) |
| Caucasian | 37 (62.7) |
| Hispanic | 5 (8.5) |
| Others | 4 (6.8) |
| Symptoms of infection – n (%) | |
| Genital warts | 27 (45.8) |
| Oral warts | 4 (6.8) |
| Cutaneous warts | 12 (20.3) |
| Bleeding after sexual intercourse | 3 (5.1) |
| Pain sensation after sexual intercourse | 5 (8.5) |
| Vaginal bleeding between periods | 4 (6.8) |
| Sensation of fullness in the pelvis | 6 (10.2) |
| Anus or rectal bleeding | 3 (5.1) |
| Genital itching sensation | 16 (27.1) |
Figure 1Reverse-engineered figures (blue curves) vs. original figures (black curves).
Notes: The survival distribution curve of each reverse-engineered external control plotted against that of the original figure from the five papers: (A) Liu et al (Reprinted by permission from the American Association for Cancer Research: Liu M, He Z, Zhang C, et al. Prevalence, incidence, clearance, and associated factors of genital human papillomavirus infection among men: a population-based cohort study in rural China. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2014;23(12):2857–28659), (B) Moscicki et al (Moscicki AB, Ma Y, Farhat S, et al. Natural history of anal human papillomavirus infection in heterosexual women and risks associated with persistence. Clin Infect Dis. 2014;58(6):804–811, by permission of Oxford University Press19), (C) Munoz et al (Reprinted by permission from Macmillan Publishers Ltd: British Journal of Cancer http://www.nature.com/bjc/index.html. Munoz N, Hernandez-Suarez G, Mendez F, et al. Persistence of HPV infection and risk of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in a cohort of Colombian women. Br J Cancer. 2009;100(7):1184–1190, copyright 2009.20), (D) Rosa et al (Reprinted from Am J Obstet Gynecol, 199(617), Rosa MI, Fachel JM, Rosa DD, Medeiros LR, Igansi CN, Bozzetti MC. Persistence and clearance of human papillomavirus infection: a prospec tive cohort study, e1–e7, Copyright (2008), with permission from Elsevier21), and (E) Franco et al (Franco EL, Villa LL, Sobrinho JP, et al. Epidemiology of acquisition and clearance of cervical human papillomavirus infection in women from a high-risk area for cervical cancer. J Infect Dis. 1999;180(5):1415–1423, by permission of Oxford University Press5).
Abbreviation: HPV, human papillomavirus.
Reverse-engineered vs original figures and statistics in the five papers
| Study | n | Time to clearance (reverse engineered | Time to clearance (actual, from paper) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liu et al | 123 | Mean: 12.1 months (95% CI: 10.8–13.3 days) | Median: 6.8 months (95% CI: 6.4–12.6 months) |
| Median: 6.8 months | |||
| Moscicki et al | 68 | Mean: 600.4 days (20 months, 95% CI: 436.1–764.8 days) | – |
| Munoz et al | 197 | Mean: 11.0 months (95% CI: 10.2–11.7 months) | – |
| Rosa et al | 144 | Mean: 18.5 months (95% CI: 17.3–19.6 months) | – |
| Franco et al | 95 | Mean: 6.9 months (95% CI: 6.2–7.6 months) | Mean: 7.0 months (95% CI: 6.2–7.8 months) |
Notes:
Sample size taken directly from the paper.
Sample size calculated from data in the paper.
No matching statistics found in the paper.
Clearance rate following treatment with Gene-Eden-VIR/Novirin vs untreated external controls
| Study | n | Time to clearance (reverse engineered; untreated) | % decrease in time to clearance (treated) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liu et al | 123 | Mean: 12.1 months (95% CI: 10.8–13.3 months) | 57.9 |
| Moscicki et al | 68 | Mean: 600.4 days (20 months; 95% CI: 436.1–764.8 days) | 74.8 |
| Munoz et al | 197 | Mean: 11.0 months (95% CI: 10.2–11.7 months) | 53.6 |
| Rosa et al | 144 | Mean: 18.5 months (95% CI: 17.3–19.6 months) | 72.4 |
| Franco et al | 95 | Mean: 6.9 months (95% CI: 6.2–7.6 months) | 27.1 |
| Current study | 59 | Mean: 5.1 months (95% CI: 4.2–5.9 months) | Average: 57.2 |
Notes:
Sample size taken directly from the paper.
Sample size calculated from data in the paper.
Figure 2Reversed engineered (blue curve) vs. current study (green curve).
Notes: The survival distribution curve of the current study against each of the external controls: (A) Liu et al (Adapted by permission from the American Association for Cancer Research: Liu M, He Z, Zhang C, et al. Prevalence, incidence, clearance, and associated factors of genital human papillomavirus infection among men: a population-based cohort study in rural China. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2014;23(12):2857–28659), (B) Moscicki et al (Moscicki AB, Ma Y, Farhat S, et al. Natural history of anal human papillomavirus infection in heterosexual women and risks associated with persistence. Clin Infect Dis. 2014;58(6):804–811, by permission of Oxford University Press19), (C) Munoz et al (Adapted by permission from Macmillan Publishers Ltd: British Journal of Cancer http://www.nature.com/bjc/index.html. Munoz N, Hernandez-Suarez G, Mendez F, et al. Persistence of HPV infection and risk of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in a cohort of Colombian women. Br J Cancer. 2009;100(7):1184–1190, copyright 2009.20), (D) Rosa et al (Adapted from Am J Obstet Gynecol, 199(617), Rosa MI, Fachel JM, Rosa DD, Medeiros LR, Igansi CN, Bozzetti MC. Persistence and clearance of human papillomavirus infection: a prospective cohort study, e1–e7, Copyright (2008), with permission from Elsevier21), and (E) Franco et al (Franco EL, Villa LL, Sobrinho JP, et al. Epidemiology of acquisition and clearance of cervical human papillomavirus infection in women from a high-risk area for cervical cancer. J Infect Dis. 1999;180(5):1415–1423, by permission of Oxford University Press5).
Abbreviation: HPV, human papillomavirus.
Summary of the population in the five external controls and treatment group
| Study | n | Gender | Ethnicity | High/low risk | Incident/prevalent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liu et al | 123 | Men | Chinese | High | Incident |
| Moscicki et al | 68 | Women | Caucasian, African American, Hispanic, Asian, others | Low | Prevalent |
| Munoz et al | 197 | Women | Colombian | Low | Incident |
| Rosa et al | 144 | Women | Brazilian | High and low | Prevalent |
| Franco et al | 95 | Women | Brazilian | Low | Incident |
| Current study | 59 | Men and women | Caucasian, African American, Hispanic, others | High and low | Prevalent |
Notes:
We chose the fastest time to clearance in the study.
An incident HPV infection means HPV negative at baseline.22 A prevalent HPV infection means HPV positive at baseline.
Abbreviation: HPV, human papillomavirus.