| Literature DB >> 28327173 |
Sai Ming Lau1,2, Tock H Chua3, Wan-Yussof Sulaiman2, Sylvia Joanne2, Yvonne Ai-Lian Lim2, Shamala Devi Sekaran4, Karuthan Chinna5, Balan Venugopalan1,6, Indra Vythilingam7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Dengue remains a serious public health problem in Southeast Asia and has increased 37-fold in Malaysia compared to decades ago. New strategies are urgently needed for early detection and control of dengue epidemics.Entities:
Keywords: Aedes mosquito; Dengue NS1 kit; GOS traps; Surveillance
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28327173 PMCID: PMC5361725 DOI: 10.1186/s13071-017-2091-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Parasit Vectors ISSN: 1756-3305 Impact factor: 3.876
Fig 1Time series of total number Ae. aegypti trapped per week (a), total number of dengue cases (b), number of Ae. aegypti found positive (c) and total number of eggs collected from the ovitraps (d) from November 2013 to December 2015, in Subang Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia. The solid red curve is a natural cubic smoothing spline, and the horizontal blue line indicates the overall mean value. Each total represents the sum of data from seven blocks with each block consisting of 21 traps
Fig 2Plot of rainfall, mean temperature and total Aedes aegypti trapped per week in relation to time. Key: red, Ae. aegypti trapped; blue, rain; black, temperature (°C)
Fig. 3Lag-response curves of temperatures on weekly total numbers of Aedes aegypti trapped, with reference levels at 28 °C
Fig. 4Lag-response curves of weekly rainfall on total numbers of Aedes aegypti trapped, with reference levels at 20 mm rainfall (line at 1.0)
Mean number of Ae. aegypti trapped per week for each block and each floor as predicted by generalised linear mixed model
| Block | No. of | Floor | No. of |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 0.3011 a | Ground floor | 0.8545a |
| B | 0.2133 ab | 3rd floor | 0.3529b |
| C | 0.2530 a | 6th floor | 0.2969bc |
| D | 0.2531 a | 9th floor | 0.1697c |
| E | 0.4021 ac | 12th floor | 0.2678c |
| F | 0.3586 a | 15th floor | 0.2008c |
| G | 0.2787 a | 17th floor | 0.3229b |
Different letters along a column indicate the means are different significantly at P < 0.05 as tested by Tukey’s test
Generalised linear mixed model fitting of the dengue cases data for 2013–2015
| Block | Total cases | Predicted mean per week for block |
|---|---|---|
| A | 59 | 0.725a |
| B | 53 | 0.621a |
| C | 60 | 0.728ab |
| D | 45 | 0.536a |
| E | 118 | 1.380b |
| F | 65 | 0.778ab |
| G | 109 | 1.294b |
The model used is of the form “glmm < −glmmadmb (cases ~ block + floor + (1|year), zero Inflation = T, data = data, family = Poisson)”. Akaike information criterion (AIC) = 1,019.652. Block means with different superscript letters indicate they are significantly different at P < 0.05
Fig. 5Three-dimensional plot of cases along NS1-positive mosquitoes and lags, with reference at none NS1-positive detected
Fig. 6Plot of lag-response curves for different NS1-positive mosquitoes on dengue cases with reference line in NS1 positive (line at 1.0)