| Literature DB >> 28287626 |
Rui Qu1, Shu-Shen Liu1,2, Qiao-Feng Zheng1, Tong Li1.
Abstract
Concentration addition (CA) was proposed as a reasonable default approach for the ecological risk assessment of chemical mixtures. However, CA cannot predict the toxicity of mixture at some effect zones if not all components have definite effective concentrations at the given effect, such as some compounds induce hormesis. In this paper, we developed a new method for the toxicity prediction of various types of binary mixtures, an interpolation method based on the Delaunay triangulation (DT) and Voronoi tessellation (VT) as well as the training set of direct equipartition ray design (EquRay) mixtures, simply IDVequ. At first, the EquRay was employed to design the basic concentration compositions of five binary mixture rays. The toxic effects of single components and mixture rays at different times and various concentrations were determined by the time-dependent microplate toxicity analysis. Secondly, the concentration-toxicity data of the pure components and various mixture rays were acted as a training set. The DT triangles and VT polygons were constructed by various vertices of concentrations in the training set. The toxicities of unknown mixtures were predicted by the linear interpolation and natural neighbor interpolation of vertices. The IDVequ successfully predicted the toxicities of various types of binary mixtures.Entities:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28287626 PMCID: PMC5347389 DOI: 10.1038/srep43473
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1The area where CA cannot predict ((a) in the dash box; (b) not on the CA line) where TU refers to toxic unit.
Figure 2The concentration-inhibition curves of three pesticides and two ionic liquids at seven exposure times (: 0.25 h; : 2 h; : 4 h; : 6 h; : 8 h; : 10 h; : 12 h).
Effect residual ratios (%) of different effect levels of [epy]Br-DOD and [epy]Cl-DOD mixture rays at seven exposure times.
| Ray | Effect (%) | [epy]Br-DOD | [epy]Cl-DOD | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 h | 2 h | 4 h | 6 h | 8 h | 10 h | 12 h | 0.25 h | 2 h | 4 h | 6 h | 8 h | 10 h | 12 h | ||
| R1 | 10 | — | — | — | −0.99 | −0.44 | — | −33.78 | — | −6.03 | −29.43 | −1.79 | −18.35 | −33.64 | −20.54 |
| 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −26.15 | −2.96 | −13.16 | −22.08 | −1.77 | −12.83 | −23.42 | −14.60 | |
| 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −20.46 | −7.12 | −12.48 | −16.34 | −1.42 | −8.98 | −16.47 | −9.71 | |
| 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −15.58 | −7.07 | −10.02 | −10.97 | −0.31 | −5.79 | −10.94 | −5.55 | |
| 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −10.80 | −5.63 | −6.44 | −5.80 | — | −2.58 | −6.24 | −2.01 | |
| 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −5.83 | −3.70 | −2.05 | −0.39 | — | — | −2.32 | — | |
| 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | −0.45 | −1.74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R2 | 10 | −2.86 | −3.92 | — | −11.14 | −27.66 | −4.36 | −16.46 | −7.53 | −34.22 | −15.46 | −41.25 | −47.42 | −52.88 | −45.13 |
| 20 | −6.81 | −3.16 | — | −6.48 | −19.79 | — | −6.33 | −19.70 | −32.13 | −17.15 | −32.76 | −37.77 | −42.56 | −36.15 | |
| 30 | −6.05 | −0.10 | — | −3.36 | −14.53 | — | — | −21.92 | −27.85 | −15.71 | −26.69 | −30.77 | −34.54 | −29.60 | |
| 40 | −4.51 | — | — | −1.00 | −10.19 | — | — | −21.32 | −23.32 | −11.47 | −21.68 | −25.07 | −27.93 | −24.00 | |
| 50 | −2.14 | — | — | — | −6.66 | — | — | −19.05 | −18.81 | −6.26 | −16.97 | −19.91 | −22.00 | −18.54 | |
| 60 | — | — | — | — | −3.24 | — | — | −15.85 | −13.27 | −1.92 | −12.28 | −14.91 | −16.05 | −12.91 | |
| 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −12.03 | −9.91 | −1.24 | −7.37 | −9.73 | −9.82 | −6.80 | |
| 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −7.928 | −4.235 | — | −1.85 | −3.841 | −3.055 | −0.35 | |
| R3 | 10 | −0.66 | — | −36.89 | −52.62 | −43.78 | −56.65 | −57.74 | −20.09 | −50.46 | −44.16 | −38.06 | −59.91 | −54.55 | −49.19 |
| 20 | −15.83 | — | −33.80 | −45.79 | −41.21 | −45.98 | −47.10 | −34.21 | −41.81 | −41.60 | −38.65 | −50.90 | −47.46 | −43.56 | |
| 30 | −18.00 | — | −26.46 | −37.29 | −32.94 | −36.81 | −37.73 | −35.15 | −34.00 | −35.84 | −34.39 | −43.67 | −41.14 | −37.78 | |
| 40 | −16.33 | — | −19.80 | −28.53 | −25.46 | −28.46 | −28.66 | −32.22 | −26.80 | −30.01 | −29.88 | −37.15 | −34.56 | −31.61 | |
| 50 | −13.35 | — | −13.09 | −20.30 | −18.29 | −19.94 | −19.83 | −27.31 | −20.81 | −24.99 | −24.95 | −30.74 | −27.62 | −24.94 | |
| 60 | −9.35 | — | −6.29 | −12.26 | −11.06 | −11.43 | −11.08 | −21.14 | −14.58 | −19.32 | −18.82 | −23.89 | −20.10 | −17.69 | |
| 70 | −4.01 | — | - | −4.32 | −5.87 | −2.71 | −2.86 | −14.48 | −10.34 | −12.51 | −11.68 | −16.26 | −11.97 | −10.52 | |
| 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −6.464 | −5.30 | −6.36 | −5.40 | −6.04 | −1.36 | −3.30 | |
| R4 | 10 | — | — | −18.04 | −41.76 | −58.66 | −63.89 | −63.10 | — | −5.55 | −57.52 | −71.08 | −57.74 | −64.27 | −61.59 |
| 20 | — | — | −22.47 | −39.92 | −49.23 | −52.91 | −55.40 | — | −12.00 | −50.65 | −61.89 | −50.33 | −54.33 | −51.43 | |
| 30 | — | — | −19.21 | −34.38 | −40.40 | −44.06 | −48.15 | −6.06 | −10.75 | −43.28 | −53.03 | −43.23 | −44.64 | −41.90 | |
| 40 | −2.78 | — | −15.05 | −27.92 | −32.56 | −35.84 | −40.89 | −9.78 | −7.28 | −35.31 | −44.59 | −35.43 | −35.24 | −32.76 | |
| 50 | −4.06 | — | −9.88 | −21.39 | −24.97 | −27.73 | −33.64 | −9.69 | −2.85 | −27.38 | −36.20 | −27.02 | −25.95 | −23.76 | |
| 60 | −2.79 | — | −4.11 | −14.75 | −18.11 | −19.67 | −26.00 | −7.13 | — | −19.35 | −27.64 | −18.37 | −16.58 | −14.77 | |
| 70 | — | — | — | −8.76 | −10.78 | −11.44 | −16.50 | −3.11 | — | −12.00 | −17.92 | −8.48 | −6.04 | −5.79 | |
| 80 | — | — | — | −1.53 | −2.98 | −3.09 | −5.59 | — | — | −3.00 | −7.287 | — | — | — | |
| R5 | 10 | — | — | — | −4.28 | −42.37 | −51.49 | −6.68 | — | — | −17.70 | −40.05 | −44.33 | −56.09 | −46.07 |
| 20 | — | — | — | −15.22 | −38.11 | −43.31 | −14.78 | — | — | −22.41 | −36.47 | −42.17 | −47.29 | −41.91 | |
| 30 | — | — | — | −16.09 | −29.35 | −37.14 | −18.10 | — | — | −19.62 | −32.46 | −34.90 | −40.17 | −38.32 | |
| 40 | — | — | — | −13.85 | −22.00 | −31.27 | −16.58 | — | — | −16.05 | −26.31 | −28.47 | −33.23 | −31.43 | |
| 50 | — | — | — | −10.16 | −15.22 | −24.47 | −12.20 | — | — | −11.60 | −20.21 | −22.23 | −25.67 | −24.41 | |
| 60 | — | — | — | −5.66 | −8.59 | −17.37 | −6.69 | — | — | −6.31 | −13.83 | −16.44 | −17.98 | −17.17 | |
| 70 | — | — | — | −1.33 | −4.74 | −9.85 | −0.06 | — | — | −0.27 | −8.39 | −10.46 | −9.99 | −9.58 | |
| 80 | — | — | — | — | — | −1.93 | — | — | — | — | −2.57 | −3.43 | −1.51 | −1.51 | |
— refers to the effect predicted by CA is located between the 95% confidence interval (CI) of observed effect.
Leave-20-out cross validation and leave-one-out analysis to determine the accuracy of linear interpolation and natural neighbor interpolation for predicting the toxicities of binary mixtures.
| Mixture system | Leave-20-out | Leave-one-out | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LinIP | NeiIP | LinIP | NeiIP | |||||||||
| AR (%) | RMSE | R2 | AR (%) | RMSE | R2 | AR (%) | RMSE | R2 | AR (%) | RMSE | R2 | |
| [epy]Br-MET | 92.14 | 4.794 | 0.9811 | 91.68 | 4.993 | 0.9808 | 87.62 | 4.739 | 0.9812 | 88.33 | 4.663 | 0.9826 |
| [epy]Br-SIM | 92.14 | 6.041 | 0.9665 | 91.00 | 6.419 | 0.9623 | 73.81 | 8.050 | 0.9446 | 73.10 | 8.073 | 0.9457 |
| [epy]Cl-MET | 91.96 | 5.474 | 0.9797 | 89.79 | 5.915 | 0.9772 | 90.95 | 4.891 | 0.9852 | 90.48 | 5.250 | 0.9836 |
| [epy]Cl-SIM | 92.86 | 6.019 | 0.9680 | 92.43 | 6.126 | 0.9668 | 80.95 | 6.788 | 0.9669 | 80.00 | 7.030 | 0.9655 |
| [epy]Br-DOD | 96.71 | 4.779 | 0.9795 | 97.00 | 4.892 | 0.9785 | 95.00 | 5.417 | 0.9725 | 94.76 | 5.472 | 0.9700 |
| [epy]Cl-DOD | 93.71 | 5.381 | 0.9733 | 93.39 | 5.452 | 0.9726 | 90.24 | 6.049 | 0.9657 | 90.00 | 6.047 | 0.9659 |
| [emim]Br-MET | 92.32 | 5.505 | 0.9819 | 90.79 | 5.709 | 0.9812 | 90.48 | 5.788 | 0.9803 | 88.81 | 6.023 | 0.9791 |
| [emim]Cl-MET | 89.93 | 5.977 | 0.9778 | 88.71 | 6.081 | 0.9782 | 86.67 | 6.366 | 0.9738 | 86.90 | 6.364 | 0.9758 |
RMSE: root mean square error;
R2: coefficient of determination;
AR: accuracy rate;
LinIP: linear interpolation;
NeiIP: natural neighbor interpolation.
The toxicity of [emim]Br-MET and [emim]Cl-MET are from our previous research24.
Concentration ratios or mixture ratio (p ) of five components (j = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) in 30 mixture rays (i = 1, 2, 3, …, 30) and the concentrations of stocks of various mixture rays.
| Ray | Mixture ray | Concentration of stock (mol/L) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [epy]Br | [epy]Cl | DOD | MET | SIM | |||
| R1 | [epy]Br-DOD-R1 | 99.98 | 0.02 | 4.71E-02 | |||
| R2 | [epy]Br-DOD-R2 | 99.96 | 0.04 | 3.63E-02 | |||
| R3 | [epy]Br-DOD-R3 | 99.91 | 0.09 | 2.62E-02 | |||
| R4 | [epy]Br-DOD-R4 | 99.83 | 0.17 | 1.69E-02 | |||
| R5 | [epy]Br-DOD-R5 | 99.57 | 0.43 | 8.18E-03 | |||
| R6 | [epy]Br-MET-R1 | 98.68 | 1.32 | 5.36E-02 | |||
| R7 | [epy]Br-MET-R2 | 96.75 | 3.25 | 4.76E-02 | |||
| R8 | [epy]Br-MET-R3 | 93.71 | 6.29 | 4.04E-02 | |||
| R9 | [epy]Br-MET-R4 | 88.17 | 11.83 | 3.17E-02 | |||
| R10 | [epy]Br-MET-R5 | 74.88 | 25.12 | 2.09E-02 | |||
| R11 | [epy]Br-SIM-R1 | 99.48 | 0.52 | 5.03E-02 | |||
| R12 | [epy]Br-SIM-R2 | 98.70 | 1.30 | 4.15E-02 | |||
| R13 | [epy]Br-SIM-R3 | 97.44 | 2.56 | 3.22E-02 | |||
| R14 | [epy]Br-SIM-R4 | 95.01 | 4.99 | 2.26E-02 | |||
| R15 | [epy]Br-SIM-R5 | 88.38 | 11.62 | 1.24E-02 | |||
| R16 | [epy]Cl-DOD-R1 | 99.98 | 0.02 | 6.00E-02 | |||
| R17 | [epy]Cl-DOD-R2 | 99.96 | 0.04 | 4.48E-02 | |||
| R18 | [epy]Cl-DOD-R3 | 99.92 | 0.08 | 3.15E-02 | |||
| R19 | [epy]Cl-DOD-R4 | 99.85 | 0.15 | 1.97E-02 | |||
| R20 | [epy]Cl-DOD-R5 | 99.61 | 0.39 | 9.34E-03 | |||
| R21 | [epy]Cl-MET-R1 | 98.81 | 1.19 | 6.95E-02 | |||
| R22 | [epy]Cl-MET-R2 | 97.09 | 2.91 | 6.03E-02 | |||
| R23 | [epy]Cl-MET-R3 | 94.34 | 5.66 | 4.98E-02 | |||
| R24 | [epy]Cl-MET-R4 | 89.29 | 10.71 | 3.78E-02 | |||
| R25 | [epy]Cl-MET-R5 | 76.92 | 23.08 | 2.37E-02 | |||
| R26 | [epy]Cl-SIM-R1 | 99.53 | 0.47 | 6.46E-02 | |||
| R27 | [epy]Cl-SIM-R2 | 98.84 | 1.16 | 5.18E-02 | |||
| R28 | [epy]Cl-SIM-R3 | 97.70 | 2.30 | 3.91E-02 | |||
| R29 | [epy]Cl-SIM-R4 | 95.51 | 4.49 | 2.66E-02 | |||
| R30 | [epy]Cl-SIM-R5 | 89.48 | 10.52 | 1.41E-02 | |||
Figure 3The voronoi diagrams (a) and delaunay triangulation (b) of 84 test points (two single compounds and five mixture rays).
Figure 4Sketch-map of Delaunay triangulation for predicting the toxicity of binary mixture.
(: experimental values; : query point; R1~R5: five mixtures rays with different ratio; A and B: two components of the binary mixture).