| Literature DB >> 28210362 |
Kimie Oedorf1, Danielle E Day2, Yotam Lior3, Victor Novack3, Leon D Sanchez2, Richard E Wolfe2, Hans Kirkegaard4, Nathan I Shapiro2, Daniel J Henning2.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Lactate levels are increasingly used to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with and without infection. Whether a serum lactate provides similar prognostic value across diseases is not fully elucidated. This study assesses the prognostic value of serum lactate in ED patients with and without infection to both report and compare relative predictive value across etiologies.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 28210362 PMCID: PMC5305135 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.2016.10.31397
Source DB: PubMed Journal: West J Emerg Med ISSN: 1936-900X
Population characteristics of emergency department patients with abnormal vital signs in a study analyzing serum lactate levels as a measure of adverse outcomes.
| Variable | Without infection (n=202) | With infection (n=286) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (median ±SD) | 62 ±18 | 66 ±18 | 0.95 |
| Female (n, %) | 100 (49.5%) | 141 (49.3%) | 0.97 |
| Past medical history (n, %) | |||
| Diabetes | 69 (34.2%) | 69 (24.1%) | 0.02 |
| Coronary artery disease | 39 (19.3%) | 51 (17.8%) | 0.68 |
| Myocardial infarction | 14 (6.9%) | 12 (4.2%) | 0.19 |
| Congestive heart failure | 51 (25.2%) | 49 (17.1%) | 0.03 |
| Hypertension | 101 (50%) | 129 (45.1%) | 0.29 |
| Dementia | 12 (5.9%) | 23 (8%) | 0.38 |
| Active cancer | 47 (23.3%) | 72 (25.2%) | 0.63 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 37 (18.3%) | 53 (18.5%) | 0.95 |
| Liver disease | 17 (8.4%) | 17 (5.9%) | 0.29 |
| Chronic renal insufficiency | 13 (6.4%) | 20 (7%) | 0.81 |
| Dialysis | 19 (9.4%) | 20 (7%) | 0.33 |
| History of stroke | 11 (5.4%) | 19 (6.6%) | 0.59 |
| Vital signs (median ±SD) | |||
| Heart rate | 104 ±24 | 110 ±24 | 0.02 |
| Temperature | 98.0 ±1.3 | 98.8 ±2.3 | <0.001 |
| Systolic blood pressure | 105 ±30 | 102 ±28 | 0.5 |
| Diastolic blood pressure | 64 ±19 | 60 ±17 | 0.14 |
| Respiration rate | 20 ±6 | 20 ±5 | 0.89 |
| SO2 (%) | 97±4 | 98 ±4 | 0.07 |
Statistical test used: Continuous variables: Student’s t-test.
Categorical variables: Chi-squared test.
Distribution of deterioration by stratified lactate value for both infected and non-infected patients.
| Without infection (n, %) | Infection (n, %) | |
|---|---|---|
| Lactate < 2.5 (n=342) | 142 (70.3) | 200 (69.9) |
| 2.5 ≤ Lactate ≤ 4 (n=100) | 40 (19.8) | 60 (21.0) |
| Lactate > 4 (n=46) | 20 (9.9) | 26 (9.1) |
Outcome measures in the population of ED patients.
| Without infection (n=202) | With infection (n=286) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Length of stay (days, median, IQR | 4 (2–7) | 5 (3–8) | 0.03 |
| Deterioration | 68 (33.7) | 100 (35) | 0.76 |
| Acute renal failure (n, %) | 32 (15.8) | 46 (16.1) | 0.94 |
| Intubation (n, %) | 27 (13.4) | 38 (13.3) | 0.98 |
| Vasopressors during hospitalization (n, %) | 23 (11.4) | 69 (24.1) | <0.001 |
| Death (n, %) | 25 (12.4) | 36 (12.6) | 0.95 |
| Shock in ED (n, %) | 33 (16.3) | 81 (28.3) | 0.002 |
Statistical test used for variable length of stay: Mann Witney, categorical variables: Chi-squared test
IQR: Interquartile range
Deterioration was considered to be one or more of the following outcomes during hospitalization: acute renal failure, non-elective intubation, vasopressors requirement, death.
Figure 1Incidence of deterioration and death in patients with and without infection stratified by lactate concentration; P-values by chi-square test for trend for positive association across stratified lactate levels.
Multivariable logistic regression models.
| Variable | AOR | 95% CI | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| a: For deterioration in patients with infection | |||
| Lactate > 4 | 4.84 | 1.66–14.13 | 0.004 |
| Systolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg | 2.48 | 1.32–4.66 | 0.005 |
| Triage acuity | 0.44 | 0.28–0.68 | <0.001 |
| Blood urea nitrogen | 1.05 | 1.03–1.08 | <0.001 |
| b: For mortality in patients with infection | |||
| Lactate > 4 | 4.41 | 1.7–11.45 | 0.002 |
| History of stroke | 4.52 | 1.42–14.33 | 0.01 |
| Blood urea nitrogen | 1.02 | 1.00–1.04 | 0.03 |
| Triage acuity | 0.26 | 0.12–0.59 | 0.001 |
| c: For deterioration in patients without infection | |||
| Lactate > 4 | 3.6 | 1.25–10.32 | 0.02 |
| Triage acuity | 0.49 | 0.29–0.82 | 0.007 |
| History of stroke | 0.11 | 0.01–1.11 | 0.06 |
| Blood urea nitrogen | 1.02 | 1.01–1.03 | 0.002 |
| Altered mental status | 5.9 | 1.89–18.4 | 0.002 |
| d: For mortality in patients without infection | |||
| Lactate > 4 | 1.19 | 0.27–5.21 | 0.81 |
| Age | 1.04 | 1.01–1.07 | 0.01 |
| Active cancer | 3.09 | 1.43–15.02 | 0.01 |
| Altered mental status | 4.63 | 1.43–8.13 | 0.02 |
Adjusted odds ratio;
Triage acuity determined by emergency department nurse
Figure 2a, bBoth groups exhibit increasing deterioration as lactate levels increase, although this figure suggests that the response may be larger in patients with infection.
LOESS, locally weighted polynomial regression.