| Literature DB >> 28150740 |
Michiko Matsuse1, Tomonori Yabuta2, Vladimir Saenko3, Mitsuyoshi Hirokawa4, Eijun Nishihara5, Keiji Suzuki1, Shunichi Yamashita1,3, Akira Miyauchi2, Norisato Mitsutake1.
Abstract
Although most papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs) have a good prognosis, a small but certain fraction shows aggressive behavior. Therefore, a novel and well-performing molecular marker is needed. In the present study, we assessed the impact of the combination of the TERT promoter/BRAF mutations and Ki-67 labeling index (LI) as a prognostic marker in PTC patients. Of 400 PTC samples, 354 were successfully genotyped for both TERT promoter/BRAF and analyzed for Ki-67 LI. Based on the combination of the mutational status and Ki-67 LI, the cases were categorized into three groups: high-, middle-, and low-risk. The recurrence rates of low-, middle-, and high-risk group were 1.9% (6 of 323), 18.2% (4 of 22), and 44.4% (4 of 9), respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank analyses demonstrated that there were statistical differences between any two groups. The hazard ratios for recurrence remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, tumor size, and extrathyroidal extension (low vs. middle: 8.80, 95% CI: 2.35-32.92, p = 0.001; middle vs. high: 6.255, 95% CI: 1.13-34.51, p = 0.035). In conclusion, the combination of the TERT promoter/BRAFV600E mutations and Ki-67 LI performed excellent in predicting PTC recurrence and may be clinically useful.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 28150740 PMCID: PMC5288691 DOI: 10.1038/srep41752
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Association between mutational status and clinicopathological findings.
| Genotype | No BRAF, no TERT (1) | BRAF mut (2) | BRAF/TERT mut (3) | p-value (1 vs 2) | p-value (2 vs 3) | p-value (1 vs 3) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of cases | 62 (17.4%) | 258 (72.5%) | 36 (10.1%) | ||||
| Age (mean ± s.d.) | 45.8 ± 16.6 | 49.7 ± 14.6 | 70.1 ± 8.3 | 0.259 | < | < | |
| Sex (F/M, % male) | 57/5 (8.1%) | 218/40 (15.5%) | 28/8 (22.2%) | ns | ns | ns | |
| Tumor size (mean ± s.d.) | 22.6 ± 15.3 | 19.8 ± 11.4 | 32.1 ± 15.7 | 0.445 | |||
| LN metastasis | 34/61 (55.7%) | 167/258 (64.7%) | 20/36 (55.6%) | ns | ns | ns | |
| Distant metastasis | 0 | 1 (0.4%) | 5 (13.9%) | n/p | < | n/p | |
| Stage | < | < | < | ||||
| I | 37 | 114 | 2 | ||||
| II | 3 | 5 | 0 | ||||
| III | 16 | 99 | 16 | ||||
| IV | 6 | 40 | 18 | ||||
| Ex | 41 (66.1%) | 189 (73.3%) | 33 (91.7%) | ns | < | < | |
ns: not significant, p ≥ 0.05.
n/p: not performed.
aNon-parametric ANOVA with Dunnett post hoc test.
bMultiple comparison test for proportions (using the COMPROP procedure in SAS http://www2.sas.com/proceedings/sugi31/204-31.pdf).
cCalculations for Stage (I + II) vs. (III + IV).
dAll metastatic sites were the lung.
Figure 1Age distribution of the BRAF and TERT promoter mutations.
Association between Ki67 labeling index and clinicopathological findings.
| Ki67 labeling index | <5% (1) | 5–10% (2) | >10% (3) | p-value (1 vs 2) | p-value (2 vs 3) | p-value (1 vs 3) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of cases | 304 (77.0%) | 68 (17.2%) | 23 (5.8%) | ||||
| Age (mean ± s.d.) | 51.2 ± 15.2 | 48.7 ± 17.4 | 52.5 ± 19.5 | 0.622 | 0.793 | 0.985 | |
| Sex (F/M, % male) | 255/47 (15.5%) | 61/7 (10.3%) | 18/5 (21.7%) | ns | ns | ns | |
| Tumor size (mean ± s.d.) | 20.8 ± 12.7 | 22.9 ± 13.1 | 29.5 ± 20.1 | 0.548 | 0.380 | 0.144 | |
| LN metastasis | 190/303 (62.7%) | 43/68 (63.2%) | 16/23 (69.6%) | ns | ns | ns | |
| Distant metastasis | 3 (1.0%) | 1 (1.5%) | 2 (8.7%) | ns | ns | ns | |
| Stage | ns | ns | ns | ||||
| I | 128 | 35 | 9 | ||||
| II | 8 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| III | 115 | 23 | 5 | ||||
| IV | 53 | 10 | 9 | ||||
| Ex | 212 (69.7%) | 56 (82.4%) | 17 (73.9%) | ns | ns | ns | |
ns: not significant, p ≥ 0.05.
aNon-parametric ANOVA with Dunnett post hoc test.
bMultiple comparison test for proportions (using the COMPROP procedure in SAS http://www2.sas.com/proceedings/sugi31/204-31.pdf).
cCalculations for Stage (I + II) vs. (III + IV).
dAll metastatic sites were the lung.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier curves of recurrence-free survival.
The vertical tick-marks correspond to censored data. p-values of a log-rank test are shown. (A) by mutational status. (B) by Ki-67 labeling index.
Hazard ratios of disease recurrence.
| Genotype | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no BRAF, no TERT | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | ||||||||
| BRAF mut only | 0.696 | 0.141–3.450 | 0.658 | 0.578 | 0.114–2.930 | 0.508 | 0.676 | 0.135–3.398 | 0.635 | 0.626 | 0.125–3.139 | 0.569 |
| BRAF/TERT mut | 6.740 | 2.173–20.905 | 4.172 | 1.011–17.218 | 3.016 | 0.659–13.797 | 0.155 | 4.068 | 0.966–17.129 | 0.056 | ||
| Adjustment | age, sex, N | age, sex, size | age, sex, Ex | |||||||||
| Ki67 labeling index | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | |||
| 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | ||||||||||
| 5–10% | 2.444 | 0.611–9.779 | 0.207 | 2.620 | 0.650–10.563 | 0.176 | 2.247 | 0.547–9.222 | 0.261 | |||
| >10% | 9.871 | 3.422–28.476 | 8.131 | 2.718–24.323 | 5.521 | 1.719–17.737 | ||||||
| Adjustment | age, sex, N | age, sex, N, size, Ex | ||||||||||
| Risk group | HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | p-value | ||||||
| Low | 1.000 | 1.000 | ||||||||||
| Low vs. Middle | 10.147 | 2.859–36.012 | 8.795 | 2.349–32.924 | ||||||||
| Middle vs. High | 11.762 | 3.636–38.048 | 6.255 | 1.134–34.505 | ||||||||
| Adjustment | age, sex, size, Ex | |||||||||||
Figure 3(A) Classification of risk group using the mutational status and the Ki-67 labeling index and recurrence rates. (B) Kaplan-Meier curves of recurrence-free survival by risk groups. The vertical tick-marks correspond to censored data. p-values of a log-rank test are shown.