| Literature DB >> 28142033 |
Yoichiro Hirakawa1, Toshiharu Ninomiya2, Yutaka Kiyohara1, Yoshitaka Murakami3, Shigeyuki Saitoh4, Hideaki Nakagawa5, Akira Okayama6, Akiko Tamakoshi7, Kiyomi Sakata8, Katsuyuki Miura9, Hirotsugu Ueshima9, Tomonori Okamura10.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, the age-specific association of diabetes with cardiovascular risk, especially in the elderly, remains unclear in non-Western populations.Entities:
Keywords: Age-specified cardiovascular risk; Cardiovascular death; Collaborative cohort study; Diabetes mellitus; Pooled analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28142033 PMCID: PMC5350618 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.04.001
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Epidemiol ISSN: 0917-5040 Impact factor: 3.211
Characteristics of included studies.
| Geographic region (Prefecture) | Cohort name | Year of baseline survey | Sample size | Mean | Men, % | DM | Mean follow-up period, years | Number of all-cause deaths | Number of CVD deaths | Number of CHD deaths | Number of stroke deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hokkaido | Tanno-Sobetsu | 1977 | 1808 | 50.7 | 46.5 | 2.9 | 18.2 | 217 | 76 | 18 | 34 |
| Miyagi | Osaki | 1994 | 15,758 | 62.2 | 42.1 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 796 | 237 | 59 | 112 |
| Iwate | Ohasama | 1987 | 775 | 58.7 | 33.8 | 5.4 | 10.1 | 90 | 17 | 4 | 9 |
| Toyama | YKK workers | 1990 | 3022 | 47.3 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 10.8 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 4 |
| Hiroshima | RERF cohort | 1986 | 2231 | 57.3 | 32.2 | 9.9 | 15.4 | 558 | 111 | 11 | 48 |
| Fukuoka | Hisayama | 1988 | 2625 | 59.0 | 42.2 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 473 | 138 | 24 | 57 |
| Nationwide | NIPPON DATA 80 | 1980 | 6540 | 55.7 | 44.6 | 4.6 | 16.9 | 1661 | 598 | 114 | 285 |
| Nationwide | NIPPON DATA 90 | 1990 | 6095 | 57.0 | 42.3 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 672 | 186 | 38 | 72 |
| Total | 38,854 | 58.0 | 43.9 | 4.8 | 10.3 | 4542 | 1376 | 268 | 621 |
CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; RERF, Radiation Effects Research Foundation.
Diabetes was defined as fasting blood glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L or casual blood glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L or use of diabetes medication.
Baseline characteristics of the study sample by diabetic status.
| Risk factors | Participants without diabetes ( | Participants with diabetes ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 58 (0.1) | 63 (0.3) | <0.001 |
| Men, % | 43.4 | 53.3 | <0.001 |
| Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 132 (0.1) | 136 (0.4) | <0.001 |
| Total cholesterol, mmol/L | 5.2 (0.01) | 5.3 (0.02) | <0.001 |
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 23.3 (0.02) | 23.5 (0.07) | 0.005 |
| Current smoking, % | 27.3 | 30.4 | 0.03 |
| Current drinking, % | 41.3 | 41.6 | 0.90 |
Values are reported as age- and sex-adjusted mean (standard error) or frequency. The statistical significance of the differences in the mean values or frequencies of risk factors was estimated by the analysis of covariance method or logistic regression, respectively.
Influence of diabetes on the risk of death from cardiovascular disease.
| Number of participants | Number of events | Age- and sex-adjusted | Multivariable-adjusted | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | P | I2 | HR (95% CI) | P | I2 | |||
| Overall | ||||||||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 36,987 | 1227 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 33.6% | ||
| Diabetes | 1867 | 149 | 1.66 (1.40, 1.98) | <0.001 | 1.62 (1.35, 1.94) | <0.001 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 36,987 | 233 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | ||
| Diabetes | 1867 | 35 | 2.21 (1.54, 3.16) | <0.001 | 2.13 (1.47, 3.09) | <0.001 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 36,987 | 561 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 44.9% | ||
| Diabetes | 1867 | 60 | 1.47 (1.12, 1.92) | 0.0054 | 1.40 (1.05, 1.85) | 0.02 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 36,987 | 4114 | 1.00 (Reference) | 26.9% | 1.00 (Reference) | 28.7% | ||
| Diabetes | 1867 | 428 | 1.38 (1.24, 1.52) | <0.001 | 1.39 (1.25, 1.55) | <0.001 | ||
| Men | ||||||||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 16,072 | 620 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | ||
| Diabetes | 966 | 79 | 1.60 (1.26, 2.02) | <0.001 | 1.41 (1.10, 1.82) | 0.008 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 16,072 | 135 | 1.00 (Reference) | 58.1% | 1.00 (Reference) | 33.8% | ||
| Diabetes | 966 | 16 | 1.61 (0.95, 2.70) | 0.08 | 1.42 (0.81, 2.48) | 0.22 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 16,072 | 278 | 1.00 (Reference) | 28.5% | 1.00 (Reference) | 53.8% | ||
| Diabetes | 966 | 36 | 1.58 (1.12, 2.25) | 0.01 | 1.33 (0.92, 1.94) | 0.13 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 16,072 | 2265 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | ||
| Diabetes | 966 | 246 | 1.34 (1.17, 1.53) | <0.001 | 1.32 (1.15, 1.52) | <0.001 | ||
| Women | ||||||||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 20,915 | 607 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 27.1% | ||
| Diabetes | 901 | 70 | 1.77 (1.38, 2.28) | <0.001 | 1.96 (1.51, 2.55) | <0.001 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 20,915 | 98 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | ||
| Diabetes | 901 | 19 | 3.23 (1.96, 5.32) | <0.001 | 3.45 (2.08, 5.70) | <0.001 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 20,915 | 283 | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | 1.00 (Reference) | 0% | ||
| Diabetes | 901 | 24 | 1.35 (0.89, 2.05) | 0.16 | 1.48 (0.97, 2.28) | 0.07 | ||
| | ||||||||
| No diabetes | 20,915 | 1849 | 1.00 (Reference) | 42.8% | 1.00 (Reference) | 50.7% | ||
| Diabetes | 901 | 182 | 1.44 (1.23, 1.68) | <0.001 | 1.53 (1.30, 1.80) | <0.001 | ||
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.
In the stratified analyses of sex, the risk estimates were not adjusted for sex. Multivariable adjustment was made for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, total cholesterol, smoking habits, and alcohol intake in the stratified Cox's proportional hazards model.
The p value for heterogeneity between the sexes was 0.53 for cardiovascular disease, 0.04 for coronary heart disease, 0.46 for stroke, and 0.55 for all-cause death in the age- and sex-adjusted model, and 0.09 for cardiovascular disease, 0.02 for coronary heart disease, 0.89 for stroke, and 0.21 for all-cause death in the multivariable-adjusted model.
Fig. 1Relative and absolute risk of death from cardiovascular disease associated with diabetes in each age group. The HRs and 95% CIs were calculated among age groups using the sex-adjusted stratified Cox model. The trend in the influence of diabetes on cardiovascular risk across age categories was tested by adding a multiplicative interaction term between diabetic status and ordinal age groups to the relevant Cox model. ARD, absolute risk difference; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.