| Literature DB >> 28121997 |
Andrew Stokes1, Samuel H Preston2.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The goal of this research was to identify the fraction of deaths attributable to diabetes in the United States. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We estimated population attributable fractions (PAF) for cohorts aged 30-84 who were surveyed in the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) between 1997 and 2009 (N = 282,322) and in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2010 (N = 21,814). Cohort members were followed prospectively for mortality through 2011. We identified diabetes status using self-reported diagnoses in both NHIS and NHANES and using HbA1c in NHANES. Hazard ratios associated with diabetes were estimated using Cox model adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, and smoking status.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28121997 PMCID: PMC5266275 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0170219
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Characteristics of the NHIS and NHANES samples, adults ages 30–84.
| NHIS (n = 282,322) | NHANES (n = 21,814) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | n | % | |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 123,584 | 47.9 | 10,849 | 48.3 |
| Female | 158,738 | 52.1 | 10,965 | 51.7 |
| Age at baseline | ||||
| 30–59 | 199,022 | 73.3 | 13,349 | 73.6 |
| 60–74 | 57,881 | 19.2 | 6,306 | 20.1 |
| 75–84 | 25,419 | 7.5 | 2,159 | 6.2 |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 188,990 | 74.2 | 10,919 | 73.3 |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 39,411 | 10.8 | 4,319 | 10.5 |
| Hispanic | 42,915 | 10.6 | 5,787 | 11.5 |
| Other | 11,006 | 4.4 | 789 | 4.8 |
| BMI Category (kg/m2) | ||||
| Underweight | 4,209 | 1.4 | 273 | 1.4 |
| Normal Weight | 96,829 | 33.8 | 5,570 | 28.4 |
| Overweight | 100,975 | 36.2 | 7,876 | 35.2 |
| Obese I | 45,588 | 16.3 | 4,689 | 20.2 |
| Obese II | 34,721 | 12.2 | 3,406 | 14.8 |
BMI: body mass index; Height and weight data for calculating BMI were self-reported in the NHIS and measured in the NHANES. Percentage values were calculated using sample weights. Sources: The NHIS sample includes data for years 1997–2009; the NHANES sample includes data for years 1999–2010.
Fig 1Prevalence of diabetes in the sample and among individuals who died in the total NHIS sample and in various population subgroups.
BMI: body mass index. Cohort 1 includes years 1997–2001 and cohort 2 includes years 2002–2006. Source: NHIS.
Fig 2Hazard ratios expressing the association between diabetes status and mortality for all participants and by population subgroup.
Source: NHIS years 1997–2009 with prospective mortality follow-up through Dec. 2011.
Percent of deaths attributable to diabetes according to demographic characteristics by method of estimation, NHIS.
| Diabetes assigned as underlying cause | Diabetes assigned as contributing cause | Population attributable fraction | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | ||||
| All | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 10.8 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 12.4 |
| Sex | |||||||||
| Male | 3.0 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 10.4 | 9.6 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 9.3 | 11.9 |
| Female | 3.6 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 11.3 | 10.4 | 12.2 | 12.5 | 11.2 | 13.8 |
| Age Category | |||||||||
| 30–59 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 13.2 |
| 60–74 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 12.8 | 11.7 | 13.9 | 14.4 | 12.6 | 16.1 |
| 75–84 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 10.1 | 9.2 | 11.1 | 8.6 | 7.5 | 9.6 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||||||||
| NH White | 2.6 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| NH Black | 5.0 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 14.4 | 12.6 | 16.2 | 13.0 | 10.8 | 15.1 |
| Hispanic | 7.0 | 5.3 | 8.7 | 15.7 | 13.3 | 18.1 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 15.5 |
| Region | |||||||||
| Northeast | 3.8 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 10.1 | 8.9 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 12.9 |
| Midwest | 2.9 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 10.9 | 13.3 |
| South | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 11.7 | 10.8 | 12.7 |
| West | 3.2 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 11.9 | 10.3 | 13.5 | 9.5 | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | |||||||||
| <30 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 9.4 |
| ≥30 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 16.7 | 15.3 | 18.1 | 19.4 | 18.0 | 20.9 |
| Cohort | |||||||||
| 1997–2001 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 10.9 | 10.0 | 11.7 | 11.4 | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| 2002–2006 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 11.0 | 10.1 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 11.0 | 12.8 |
NH: non-Hispanic; BMI: body mass index. Source: NHIS, 1997–2011.
Comparison of the percent of deaths attributable to diabetes in the NHIS and NHANES cohorts.
| Prevalence in deaths (%) | HR | PAF (%) | Underlying (%) | Contributing (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHIS | 23.7 | 1.93 | 11.5 | 3.3 | 10.8 |
| (22.9–24.6) | (1.84–2.03) | (10.5–12.4) | (2.9–3.6) | (10.2–11.4) | |
| NHANES—SR | 23.5 | 2.00 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 12.1 |
| (21.2–25.7) | (1.75–2.28) | (9.2–14.2) | (2.7–4.7) | (10.1–14.1) | |
| NHANES—M | 25.3 | 1.88 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 12.1 |
| 22.9–27.8 | (1.63–2.16) | (9.0–14.6) | (2.7–4.7) | (10.1–14.1) |
HR: hazard ratio; PAF: population attributable fraction. Source: The NHIS sample includes data for years 1997–2009; the NHANES sample includes data for years 1999–2010. Individuals in both cohorts were followed prospectively for mortality through Dec. 2011.