| Literature DB >> 27919235 |
Jung-Seok Lee1, Vijayalaxmi V Mogasale2, Vittal Mogasale2, Kangsung Lee2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: While the global burden of typhoid fever has been often brought up for attention, the detailed surveillance information has only been available for the limited number of countries. As more efficacious vaccines will be available in the near future, it is essential to understand the geographically diverse patterns of typhoid risk levels and to prioritize the right populations for vaccination to effectively control the disease.Entities:
Keywords: Composite index; Disease mapping; Risk factors; Typhoid
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27919235 PMCID: PMC5139008 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-016-2074-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Infect Dis ISSN: 1471-2334 Impact factor: 3.090
Fig. 1PRISMA
Disease burden data points by age group
| Age group | Types of disease burden | |
|---|---|---|
| Population based | Hospital based | |
| Age group 1 (age < 2) | 12 | 0 |
| Age group 2 (2 ≤ age < 5) | 17 | 2 |
| Age group 3 (5 ≤ age < 15) | 17 | 6 |
| Age group 4 (age ≥ 15) | 10 | 1 |
| Age group 5 (overall) | 15 | 4 |
| Total | 71 | 13 |
Fig. 2DHS and NGDC data inclusion process. a Study site. b Study site with DHS clusters. c Selected clusters around the study site. d Night lights data with the study site. e Selected night lights data around the study site. f DHS clusters & Night lights data
Sub-categorization for DHS variables
| Category | HV201: source of drinking water | HV205: toilet facility types |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tubewell or borehole | Ventilated improved pit latrine |
| 2 | Protected well/spring, public covered well | Piped/septic sewer system, modern flush toilet |
| 3 | Unprotected well/spring, (public) open well | Pit latrine (covered: washable slab), composting |
| 4 | Well, spring, public well, hand pump | Pit latrine with non-washable slab/uncovered |
| 5 | Well in residence/yard/plot | Hanging latrine, drop/overhang |
| 6 | Piped water sources | Flush to others |
| 7 | Public/private tap water | Public/shared toilet, outside dwelling |
| 8 | Cart, buy from a car/vendor, tanker truck | Bucket, without cement sink, traditional toilet |
| 9 | Rain water | No facility, borehole, nature |
| 10 | Surface water | Others |
| 11 | Bottled (sachet) water | |
| 12 | Dam/river/lake/pond | |
| 13 | Others |
Fig. 3Country inclusion criteria
List of countries by DHS period
| DHS year | Country |
|---|---|
| 2010 – Present ( | Angola, Armenia, Bangladesh, Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Colombia, Comoros, Congo Rep, Cote d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Gabon, Guinea, Haiti, Honduras, Indonesia, Jordan, Kyrgyz Republic, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Rwandaa, Senegala, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Uganda, Zimbabwe |
| 2005–2009 ( | Albania, Azerbaijan, Congo Dem. Rep, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Ghana, Guyana, India, Kenya, Lesotho, Maldives, Moldova, Namibia, Pakistana, Perua, Philippines, Sao Tome and Principe, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Ukraine, Vietnam, Zambia |
| Before 2005 ( | Brazil, Central African Republic, Chad, Guatemala, Kazakhstan, Morocco, Nicaragua, South Africa, Togo, Turkey, Yemen |
aMore recent years of surveys were available for these countries, but the most recent ones did not provide GPS information. Thus, the second recent datasets were chosen to have more sample size for the grid-cell analysis
Fig. 4TRF index estimation by the sub-national boundary level and the grid-cell level in Pakistan. a Sub-national boundary level. b Grid-cell level
Regression output for the TRF validation model
| Independent variables | Coefficients (SD) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRF type 1 | TRF type 2 | TRF type 3 | TRF type 4 | TRF type 5 | |
| cTRF2 (25–75%) | -0.592 (0.31)a | -0.124 (0.404) | 0.278 (0.326) | -0.368 (0.308) | 1.165 (0.317)c |
| cTRF3 (75–100%) | 0.379 (0.349) | 0.179 (0.44) | -1 (0.453)b | 0.029 (0.353) | 1.422 (0.37)c |
| Age group 1 (age < 2) | 0.952 (0.445)b | 0.822 (0.437)a | 0.798 (0.446)a | 0.808 (0.44)a | 0.791 (0.449)a |
| Age group 2 (2 ≤ age < 5) | -4.379 (1.337)c | -5.084 (1.327)c | -5.486 (1.383)c | -5.06 (1.346)c | -5.378 (1.337)c |
| Age group 3 (5 ≤ age < 15) | -1.639 (0.66)b | -1.745 (0.662)c | -1.513 (0.659)b | -1.505 (0.678)b | -1.705 (0.664)b |
| Age group 4 (age ≥ 15) | -3.686 (1.513)b | -4.39 (1.504)c | -5.086 (1.558)c | -4.485 (1.529)c | -4.944 (1.522)c |
| Incidence rate type dummy (population based vs. hospital based) | -3.278 (0.601)c | -3.396 (0.64)c | -4.139 (0.658)c | -3.391 (0.6)c | -3.58 (0.599)c |
| Interaction variable1 (age group 1 X incidence rate type dummy) | omitted | omitted | omitted | omitted | omitted |
| Interaction variable2 (age group 2 X incidence rate type dummy) | 5.702 (1.39)c | 6.277 (1.388)c | 6.64 (1.439)c | 6.294 (1.408)c | 6.53 (1.393)c |
| Interaction variable3 (age group 3 X incidence rate type dummy) | 2.357 (0.779)c | 2.223 (0.776)c | 1.905 (0.783)b | 2.056 (0.785)c | 2.236 (0.781)c |
| Interaction variable4 (age group 4 X incidence rate type dummy) | 3.255 (1.597)b | 4.005 (1.582)b | 4.608 (1.637)c | 4.188 (1.618)c | 4.509 (1.605)c |
| Constant | 3.521 (0.529)c | 4.391 (0.512)c | 5.086 (0.655)c | 4.485 (0.58)c | 3.521 (0.529)c |
| Log likelihood | -225.434 | -230.207 | -225.987 | -229.632 | -222.464 |
| AIC | 472.8678 | 482.4148 | 473.9739 | 481.2634 | 466.929 |
| BIC | -243.245 | -233.698 | -242.139 | -234.849 | -249.184 |
aSignificance at the 10% level, bat the 5% level, cat the 1% level
Fig. 5TRF index in Pakistan. a Sub-national boundary level. b Grid-cell level
Fig. 6TRF index for the countries included in the study