| Literature DB >> 27867527 |
Akiomi Yoshihisa1, Shunsuke Watanabe1, Yuki Kanno1, Mai Takiguchi1, Akihiko Sato1, Tetsuro Yokokawa1, Shunsuke Miura1, Takeshi Shimizu1, Satoshi Abe1, Takamasa Sato1, Satoshi Suzuki1, Masayoshi Oikawa1, Nobuo Sakamoto1, Takayoshi Yamaki1, Koichi Sugimoto1, Hiroyuki Kunii1, Kazuhiko Nakazato1, Hitoshi Suzuki1, Shu-Ichi Saitoh1, Yasuchika Takeishi1.
Abstract
AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in patients with heart failure (HF). CHA2DS2-VASc score was originally employed as a risk assessment tool for stroke in patients with AF; however, it has recently been used to predict not only stroke but also various cardiovascular diseases beyond the original AF field. We aimed to verify the CHA2DS2-VASc score as a risk assessment tool to predict mortality in patients with HF. METHODS ANDEntities:
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; CHA2DS2‐VASc score; Heart failure; Prognosis
Year: 2016 PMID: 27867527 PMCID: PMC5107970 DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12098
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ESC Heart Fail ISSN: 2055-5822
Figure 1Patient flow‐chart.
Comparisons of clinical features among CHA2DS2‐VASc score class (n = 1011)
| Score 1–3 ( | Score 4–6 ( | Score 7–9 ( |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score | 2.4 ± 0.7 | 4.8 ± 0.8 | 7.3 ± 0.5 | < 0.001 |
| Age (years) | 54.3 ± 12.6 | 72.0 ± 12.1 | 78.3 ± 6.6 | < 0.001 |
| Male gender ( | 224 (70.7) | 329 (59.9) | 58 (40.0) | < 0.001 |
| Body mass index (kg/cm2) | 23.1 ± 4.0 | 22.7 ± 4.2 | 23.3 ± 3.7 | 0.224 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg) | 122.4 ± 30.8 | 128.8 ± 33.0 | 139.2 ± 37.5 | < 0.001 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg) | 73.9 ± 21.9 | 72.5 ± 20.9 | 72.6 ± 22.7 | 0.642 |
| Heart rate (bpm) | 86.7 ± 27.7 | 81.1 ± 24.4 | 85.3 ± 26.8 | 0.006 |
| NYHA class III/IV | 43 (13.6) | 119 (21.7) | 37 (25.5) | 0.002 |
| Ischemic etiology ( | 25 (7.9) | 165 (30.1) | 65 (44.8) | < 0.001 |
| Reduced LVEF ( | 174 (54.9) | 312 (56.8) | 77 (53.1) | 0.682 |
| Co‐morbidity | ||||
| Hypertension ( | 175 (55.2) | 447 (81.4) | 140 (96.6) | < 0.001 |
| Diabetes ( | 63 (19.9) | 260 (47.4) | 96 (66.2) | < 0.001 |
| Dyslipidemia ( | 234 (73.8) | 434 (79.1) | 115 (79.3) | 0.175 |
| Atrial fibrillation ( | 96 (30.3) | 230 (41.9) | 61 (42.1) | 0.002 |
| CKD ( | 136 (42.9) | 362 (65.9) | 108 (74.5) | < 0.001 |
| Anemia ( | 124 (39.1) | 347 (63.2) | 123 (84.8) | < 0.001 |
| Stroke/TIA ( | 5 (1.6) | 101 (18.4) | 115 (79.3) | < 0.001 |
| Vascular disease ( | 48 (15.1) | 278 (50.6) | 110 (75.9) | < 0.001 |
| Medications | ||||
| RAS inhibitors ( | 226 (71.3) | 426 (77.6) | 118 (81.4) | 0.031 |
| β‐blockers ( | 253 (79.8) | 416 (75.8) | 107 (73.8) | 0.263 |
| Calcium channel blockers ( | 64 (20.2) | 191 (34.8) | 75 (51.7) | < 0.001 |
| Diuretics ( | 187 (59.0) | 382 (69.6) | 105 (72.4) | 0.002 |
| Inotropic agents ( | 38 (12.0) | 78 (14.2) | 14 (9.7) | 0.296 |
| Anti‐diabetic agents ( | 26 (8.2) | 165 (30.1) | 62 (42.8) | < 0.001 |
| Statins ( | 82 (25.9) | 231 (42.1) | 68 (46.9) | < 0.001 |
| Antiplatelets ( | 106 (33.4) | 281 (51.2) | 112 (77.2) | < 0.001 |
| Anti‐coagulations ( | 195 (61.5) | 311 (56.6) | 74 (51.0) | 0.094 |
CKD, chronic kidney disease; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA, New York Heart Association; RAS, renin‐angiotensin‐aldosterone system; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
P < 0.05 and
P < 0.01 vs. low score group,
P < 0.05 and
P < 0.01 vs. moderate score group.
Laboratory data and echocardiographic data
| Score 1–3 ( | Score 4–6 ( | Score 7–9 ( |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laboratory data | ||||
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 13.4 ± 2.2 | 12.1 ± 2.4 | 11.2 ± 1.8 | <0.001 |
| BNP (pg/mL) | 248.5 (549) | 384.4 (590) | 541.4 (879) | 0.006 |
| eGFR (mL/min/1.73 cm2) | 64.3 ± 24.4 | 52.7 ± 23.8 | 40.0 ± 22.3 | <0.001 |
| C‐reactive protein (mg/dL) | 0.23 (1) | 0.28 (1) | 0.60 (3) | 0.004 |
| Total protein (g/dL) | 7.0 ± 0.9 | 6.9 ± 0.8 | 6.8 ± 0.7 | 0.017 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 3.8 ± 0.6 | 3.6 ± 0.6 | 3.4 ± 0.5 | <0.001 |
| Sodium (mEq/L) | 139.4 ± 3.1 | 138.4 ± 4.5 | 138.5 ± 3.8 | 0.002 |
| Glucose (mg/dL) | 111.5 ± 30.4 | 137.8 ± 64.7 | 144.3 ± 68.0 | <0.001 |
| HemoglobinA1c (%) | 5.5 ± 0.6 | 5.9 ± 1.1 | 6.0 ± 1.2 | 0.061 |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 182.7 ± 43.0 | 175.8 ± 42.5 | 176.6 ± 39.2 | 0.268 |
| HDL (mg/dL) | 49.4 ± 20.0 | 48.8 ± 19.2 | 47.7 ± 17.1 | 0.830 |
| LDL (mg/dL) | 110.7 ± 36.8 | 102.0 ± 38.0 | 102.7 ± 31.0 | 0.022 |
| Triglyceride (mg/dL) | 125.4 ± 81.4 | 112.9 ± 74.8 | 120.0 ± 43.9 | 0.122 |
| Echocardiography | ||||
| LVEF (%) | 47.6 ± 17.4 | 48.3 ± 16.2 | 48.5 ± 13.2 | 0.834 |
| Left atrial volume (mL) | 78.7 ± 52.8 | 87.1 ± 66.4 | 85.9 ± 50.2 | 0.248 |
| Mitral valve E/E’ | 14.6 ± 9.2 | 16.0 ± 8.4 | 17.7 ± 7.6 | 0.011 |
| Inferior vena cava diameter (mm) | 15.2 ± 4.9 | 15.3 ± 5.3 | 15.8 ± 6.9 | 0.708 |
| SPAP (mmHg) | 30.9 ± 17.5 | 30.8 ± 14.9 | 30.7 ± 15.6 | 0.996 |
| RV‐FAC (%) | 42.0 ± 17.3 | 41.6 ± 13.1 | 45.5 ± 18.0 | 0.258 |
BNP, B‐type natriuretic peptide; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration; HDL, high density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; Mitral valve E/E’, ratio of the peak transmitral velocity during early diastole to the peak mitral valve annular velocity during early diastole; RV‐FAC, right ventricular fractional area change; SPAP, systolic pulmonary artery pressure.
P < 0.05 and
P < 0.01 vs. low score group,
P < 0.05 and
P < 0.01 vs. moderate score group.
Data are presented as median (interquartile range).
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier analysis for all‐cause mortality in the score 1–3 group, the score 4–6 group, and the score 7–9 group in HF patients. * P < 0.05.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier analysis for all‐cause mortality in the score 1–3 group, the score 4–6 group, and the score 7–9 group in heart failure (HF) patients with Atrial fibrillation (AF) (A) and without AF (B). * P < 0.05.
Figure 4Kaplan–Meier analysis for all‐cause mortality in the score 1–3 group, the score 4–6 group, and the score 7–9 group in heart failure (HF) patients with ischemic etiology (A), non‐ischemic etiology (B), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (C), and preserved LVEF (D). * P < 0.05.
Cox Proportional Hazard Model of All‐Cause Mortality in heart failure: impact of CHA2DS2‐VASc score
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total ( | |||
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score: | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 2.067 | 1.497–2.853 | <0.001 |
| Score 7–9 | 2.699 | 1.832–3.975 | <0.001 |
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score adjusted model | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 1.507 | 1.048–2.169 | 0.027 |
| Score 7–9 | 1.822 | 1.145–2.898 | 0.011 |
| HF with atrial fibrillation ( | |||
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score: | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 2.468 | 1.254–4.856 | 0.009 |
| Score 7–9 | 2.596 | 1.473–4.577 | 0.001 |
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score adjusted model | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 1.740 | 1.002–3.691 | 0.038 |
| Score 7–9 | 1.951 | 1.064–3.578 | 0.031 |
| HF without atrial fibrillation ( | |||
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score: | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 1.714 | 1.146–2.565 | 0.009 |
| Score 7–9 | 2.899 | 1.802–4.665 | <0.001 |
| CHA2DS2‐VASc score adjusted model | |||
| Score 1–3 | Ref | ||
| Score 4–6 | 1.915 | 1.040–3.524 | 0.037 |
| Score 7–9 | 2.215 | 1.024–4.787 | 0.033 |
HF, hear failure.
Adjusted Model: Adjusted for systolic blood pressure, heart rate, NYHA class over III, presence of ischemic etiology, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, anemia, hyponatremia, and usage of RAS‐inhibitors, β‐blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, inotropic agents, anti‐diabetic agents, statins, antiplatelets, and anti‐coagulations.
Adjusted Model: Adjusted for NYHA class over III, presence of ischemic etiology, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, chronic kidney disease, anemia, hyponatremia, and usage of RAS‐inhibitors, β‐blockers, diuretics, inotropic agents, anti‐diabetic agents, and statins.
Figure 5Forest plot of hazard ratios by patients' subgroups. The subgroup analysis describes associations between CHA2DS2‐VASc scores and all‐cause mortality in subgroups after adjustment for interactions between the CHA2DS2‐VASc scores and prespecified clinically important variables. CKD, chronic kidney disease; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA, New York Heart Association.