| Literature DB >> 27852421 |
Mathilde De Keukeleire1,2, Annie Robert3, Benoît Kabamba4, Elise Dion5, Victor Luyasu3, Sophie O Vanwambeke1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Lyme disease (LD) is a common tick-borne disease in Europe. Diverse factors at various scales determine the spatial distribution of Borrelia burgdorferi infection risk and a better understanding of those factors in a spatially explicit framework is needed for disease management and prevention. While the ecology of ticks and the landscape favoring their abundance have been extensively studied, the environmental conditions favoring an intense contact with susceptible humans, including groups at risk, are sparse. The aim of this study is to assess which individual and environmental factors can favor B. burgdorferi infection in a Belgian group professionally at risk.Entities:
Keywords: B. burgdorferi infection; Belgium; Lyme disease; risk assessment; spatial modeling
Year: 2016 PMID: 27852421 PMCID: PMC5112351 DOI: 10.3402/iee.v6.32793
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Infect Ecol Epidemiol ISSN: 2000-8686
Summary statistics of environmental covariables
| Descriptive statistics | |||
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| Variables | Mean | Standard deviation | Range |
| Landscape composition variables | |||
| Proportion of artificial lands (%) | 15.2 | 8.9 | 4.7–45.3 |
| Proportion of forest and semi-natural habitats (%) | 25.0 | 18.9 | 0.2–77.3 |
| Proportion of wetland (%) | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0–9.7 |
| Proportion of grassland (%) | 31.8 | 15.2 | 9.4–74.5 |
| Proportion of arable lands (%) | 25.4 | 21.1 | 0.5–72.5 |
| Proportion of permanent crops (%) | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0–8.6 |
| Proportion of fallow lands (%) | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1–3.4 |
| Landscape configuration variables | |||
| Area-weighted mean shape index (−) | 1.9 | 0.20 | 1.4–2.7 |
| Area-weighted mean patch fractal dimension (−) | 1.3 | 0.03 | 1.3–1.4 |
| Edge density ( | 54.6 | 33.8 | 1.7–147.9 |
| Patch density number (#/ha) | 9.4 | 5.3 | 0.60–25.7 |
| Edge proportion grassland – artificial land (%) | 46.3 | 9.8 | 17.3–70.5 |
| Edge proportion grassland – arable land (%) | 24.4 | 11.4 | 2.0–47.2 |
| Edge proportion grassland – agricultural building (%) | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.5–7.9 |
| Edge proportion grassland – fallow land (%) | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3–2.4 |
| Edge proportion grassland – water surfaces (%) | 7.2 | 2.6 | 2.5–17.7 |
| Wildlife variables | |||
| Boars density per municipality ( | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0–7.3 |
| Roe deer density per municipality ( | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0–7.6 |
| Deer density per municipality ( | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0–2.3 |
| Boars density shot per municipality ( | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0–4.8 |
| Roe deer density shot per municipality ( | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0–3.3 |
| Deer density shot per municipality ( | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0–1.0 |
Stratified seroprevalence of Borrelia burgdorferi antibodies in veterinarians and farmers
| Characteristic | No. of positive/total | Seroprevalence (%) | OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Male | 7/109 | 6.42 (2.58–13.23) | |
| Female | 0/18 | 0 (0–20.5) | |
| Occupation | |||
| Farmers | 3/31 | 9.68 (2.00–28.29) | 2.46 (0.52–11.67) |
| Veterinarians | 4/96 | 4.17 (1.13–10.67) | 1 |
| Age group (years) | |||
| 25–39 | 0/31 | 0 (0–11.90) | |
| 40–49 | 1/30 | 3.33 (0.08–18.57) | 1 |
| 50–59 | 4/45 | 8.88 (2.42–22.75) | 2.83 (0.30–26.64) |
| 60–72 | 2/20 | 10.0 (1.21–36.1) | 3.22 (0.27–38.15) |
| Residence municipality | |||
| Walloon Brabant | 0/5 | 0 (0–73.8) | – |
| Hainaut | 3/26 | 11.54 (2.38–33.73) | 3.26 (0.32–33.61) |
| Liege | 3/37 | 8.11 (1.67–23.70) | 2.21 (0.22–22.47) |
| Luxemburg | 1/26 | 3.85 (0.97–21.42) | 1 |
| Namur | 0/33 | 0 (0–11.18) | – |
Fig. 1Location of participants and serological results for Borrelia burgdorferi infections.
Multivariate logistic regression
| Presence or absence of Borrelia infection | Coefficient in univariate regression | Coefficient (±SE) in multivariate regression |
|---|---|---|
| Main standardized variables | ||
| ZAGE | 0.87 | 1.44±0.73 |
| ZPFS: Proportion of forest and semi-natural habitats (%) | 0.47 | −2.04±1.35 |
| ZPW Proportion of wetland (%) | 0.34 | 3.93±2.25 |
| ZEPGA edge proportion grassland–arable land (%) | −0.67 | −1.23±0.76 |
| Interactions terms | ||
| ZPFS-ZPW | – | −7.74±4.50 |
| ZPFS-ZEPGA | – | |
| Intercept | – | −4.01±0.85 |
Significant variables are highlighted in bold;
p<0.01.
Fig. 2Total effects of the proportion of forest and semi-natural habitats, the proportion of wetland, and the edge proportion grassland–arable land on the presence or absence of Borrelia infection (without mediation) (a) and the impact of the proportion of forest and semi-natural habitats on the presence or absence of Borrelia infection (b).
Fig. 3Boxplots of logit risk scores derived from the estimated equation in all participants, regardless of professions (a), in farmers (b), and in veterinarians (c).
Fig. 4ROC curve.
Fig. 5Borrelia serology results of the 11 participants notifying a history of Lyme disease.