| Literature DB >> 27803401 |
Xin Lin1, Xiang-Zhen Zeng, Jun Ai.
Abstract
Objective The impact of dialysis initiation on survival is still somewhat controversial. Given that race or ethnicity has been observed to be a predictor of mortality and the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease, we conducted a meta-analysis to investigate the effect of early vs. late dialysis initiation on mortality in East Asian populations. Methods All eligible cohort studies of target were selected from the MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, The Cochrane Library and the Clinical Trials Registry databases from inception to October 2014. The data were extracted with all-cause mortality rates as the primary outcome, and pooled adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Results Ten studies examined the association between early vs. late dialysis initiation and mortality. Compared to late dialysis initiation, patients who received early dialysis initiation had a higher overall mortality risk (adjusted HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.0-1.85; p<0.05) in East Asian populations. In a subgroup analysis, baseline characteristic differences (adjusted HR, 2.0; 95%CI, 1.56-2.57; p<0.001), initial dialysis modalities (adjusted HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.72-2.62; p<0.001) and follow up duration (adjusted HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.19-2.12; p=0.002), demonstrated that the association between early dialysis initiation and mortality were significant. Conclusion A higher glomerular filtration rate (early) at the initiation of dialysis is associated with a higher all-cause mortality risk in East Asian populations.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27803401 PMCID: PMC5140856 DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.55.6520
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Intern Med ISSN: 0918-2918 Impact factor: 1.271
Figure 1.Study selection diagram.
Characteristics of Studies Included in the Meta-analysis.
| Study (first author+ year) | Country of origin | Study design | Sample size | Accrual period | Initial dialysis modality | Max follow-up duration (year) | Mean age (y) | Male (%) | DM (%) | Mean eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) | NOS scale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tang et al. 2007 [28] | HK | PCS | 233 | 2002-2004 | PD | 2 | 58 | 51 | 42 | 9.1 | 6 |
| Shiao et al. 2008 [9] | TW | RCS | 275 | 1997-2005 | PD | 6 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 4.8 | 3 |
| Kim et al. 2009 [21] | Korea | RCS | 210 | 2000-2005 | HD+PD | 7 | 50 | 33 | 47 | 5.8 | 4 |
| Huang et al. 2010 [13] | TW | RCS | 23,551 | 2001-2004 | HD | 1 | 62 | 48 | 50 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Oh et al. 2012 [22] | Korea | RCS | 491 | 2000-2010 | PD | 2a | 49 | 61 | 34 | 8.2 | 5 |
| Chang et al. 2012 [23] | Korea | RCS | 450 | 2000-2009 | HD+PD | 11 | 54 | 54 | 59 | 8.6 | 5 |
| Yamagata et al. 2012[24] | Japan | RCS | 20,854 | 1989-1990 | HD+PD | 18 | 58 | 65 | 32 | 5.0 | 6 |
| Lee et al. 2014 [26] | Korea | PCS | 854 | 2008-2013 | HD+PD | 5 | 57 | 63 | 57 | 11.2 | 6 |
| Liu et al. 2014 [20] | China | RCS | 5,612 | 2007-2012 | HD | 6 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Kim et al. 2014 [25] | Korea | PCS | 495 | 2009-2013 | PD | 2 | 52 | 61 | 44 | 7.8 | 6 |
e-GFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate, DM: diabetes mellitus, HD: hemodialysis, HK: Hong Kong, NOS scale: Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, NR: not reported, PCS: prospective cohort study, PD: peritoneal dialysis, RCS: retrospective cohort study, TW: Taiwan amedian follow up
Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes in the Early- and Late Dialysis Initiation Groups in 10 Studies Included in the Meta-analysis.
| Study | All-cause mortality ( early vs. late) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | Late | Early | Late | Early | Late | Early | Late | Early | Late | Early | Late | ||
| Tang et al. 2007 [28]* | Elective starter | Initial refusers | 9.2 ± 0.9 | 8.9 ± 1.4 | 58 ±14 | 58 ± 11 | 50 | 54 | 40 | 46 | NR | NR | 0.33 (0.11-0.76) |
| Shiao et al. 2008 [9] | ≥5 | <5 | 6.8 ± 2.1 | 3.5 ± 0.9 | 56 ± 19 | 48 ± 16 | 65 | 32 | 38 | 12 | 3.4 ± 0.7 | 3.7 ± 0.6 | 1.81 (1.01-3.22) |
| Kim et al. 2009 [21] | ≥5 | <5 | 8.0 ± 3.0 | 3.4 ± 1.1 | 53 ± 15 | 48 ± 14 | 43 | 21 | 58 | 36 | 3.1 ± 0.7 | 3.1 ± 0.7 | 0.81 (0.39-1.69) |
| Huang et al. 2010 [13] | ≥6.52 | <3.29 | 7.7 c | 2.6 c | 65 ± 14 | 55 ± 14 | 62 | 39 | 69 | 25 | NR | NR | 2.44 (2.11-2.81) |
| Oh et al. 2012 [22]* | >7.7 | <7.7 | 10.8 ± 2.5 | 5.5 ± 1.3 | 48 ±15 | 49 ± 13 | 37 | 61 | 37 | 31 | 3.5 ± 0.5 | 3.6 ± 0.6 | 0.47 (0.16-1.35) |
| Chang et al. 2012 [23]* | ≥7.74 | <7.74 | 11.1 ± 3.9 | 6.1 ±1.2 | 53 ± 14 | 54 ± 14 | 55 | 54 | 59 | 59 | 3.2 ± 0.6 | 3.3 ± 0.5 | 1.32 (0.87-1.99) |
| Yamagata et al. 2012 [24]* | >10 | 4-6 | NR | NR | 63 b | 60 b | 67 | 65 | 54 | 30 | NR | NR | 0.965 (0.447-2.084) |
| Lee et al. 2014 [26]* | >7.372 | <7.372 | 10.4 ± 4.9 | 5.5 ± 1.2 | 57 ± 14 | 58 ± 13 | 64 | 62 | 57 | 56 | 3.3 ± 0.6 | 3.3 ± 0.6 | 1.665 (0.958,2.849) |
| Liu et al. 2014 [20] | >10 | 2.5-5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.29 (1.9-2.76) |
| Kim et al. 2014 [25] | 13.1 ± 3.4 | 7.3 ± 1.4 | 13.1 ± 3.4 | 7.3 ± 1.4 | 55 ± 14 | 52 ± 13 | 73 | 58 | 56 | 48 | 3.2 ± 0.7 | 3.5 ± 0.6 | 1.5 (0.59-3.8) |
ALB: serum albumin, DM: diabetes mellitus, NR: not reported, GFR: glomerular filtration rate, Plus-minus values indicated the means ± SD.
b Median age.
c Median GFR at the initiation of dialysis.
*No differences in the baseline characteristics between the early- and late dialysis initiation groups were observed in these studies (the early dialysis initiation group was older, had a higher incidence of diabetes, lower ALB and higher burden of comorbidities than the late dialysis initiation group).
Figure 2.A forest plot shows the effect of early vs. late dialysis initiation on all-cause mortality. A meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. Data are presented as adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Boxes are scaled to the weight of the studies in the overall meta-analysis. The test for heterogeneity is significant (I2=79.2% and p<0.001 by Q test).
Subgroup Meta-analysis.
| Subgroup | Number of studies | Total patients | Hazard Ratios | 95% Confidence Intervals | I-square | p for Heterogeneity |
| Baseline characteristic differences | ||||||
| differences | ||||||
| Yes | 5 | 30,143 | 2.03 | 1.6 to 2.59 | 59.6% | 0.042 |
| No | 5 | 22,882 | 0.92 | 0.54 to 1.55 | 65.1% | 0.022 |
| Dialysis modality | ||||||
| Hemodialysis | 4 | 30,467 | 2.12 | 1.72 to 2.62 | 55.6% | 0.08 |
| Peritoneal dialysis | 6 | 1,887 | 1.06 | 0.62 to 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.028 |
| Follow-up duration | ||||||
| <10 years | 8 | 52,333 | 1.61 | 1.2 to 2.14 | 82% | <0.001 |
| >10 years | 2 | 21,304 | 1.23 | 0.85 to 1.77 | 0 | 0.482 |
Baseline characteristic differences (Yes): in these 5 studies the early dialysis initiation group was older, had a greater incidence of diabetes, lower ALB and higher burden of comorbidities than the late dialysis initiation group.