Literature DB >> 27796478

Continuous and discrete SIR-models with spatial distributions.

Seong-Hun Paeng1, Jonggul Lee2.   

Abstract

The SIR-model is a basic epidemic model that classifies a population into three subgroups: susceptible S, infected I and removed R. This model does not take into consideration the spatial distribution of each subgroup, but considers the total number of individuals belonging to each subgroup. There are many variants of the SIR-model. For studying the spatial distribution, stochastic processes have often been introduced to describe the dispersion of individuals. Such assumptions do not seem to be applicable to humans, because almost everyone moves within a small fixed radius in practice. Even if individuals do not disperse, the transmission of disease occurs. In this paper, we do not assume the dispersion of individuals, and instead use the infectious radius. Then, we propose simple continuous and discrete SIR-models that show spatial distributions. The results of our simulations show that the propagation speed and size of an epidemic depend on the population density and the infectious radius.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Infectious radius; SIR-model; Spatial distribution

Mesh:

Year:  2016        PMID: 27796478     DOI: 10.1007/s00285-016-1071-8

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Math Biol        ISSN: 0303-6812            Impact factor:   2.259


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