Literature DB >> 27761792

Questioning the preparatory function of counterfactual thinking.

Hugo Mercier1, Jonathan J Rolison2, Marta Stragà3, Donatella Ferrante4, Clare R Walsh5, Vittorio Girotto6.   

Abstract

Why do individuals mentally modify reality (e.g., "If it hadn't rained, we would have won the game")? According to the dominant view, counterfactuals primarily serve to prepare future performance. In fact, individuals who have just failed a task tend to modify the uncontrollable features of their attempt (e.g., "If the rules of the game were different, I would have won it"), generating counterfactuals that are unlikely to play any preparatory role. By contrast, they generate prefactuals that focus on the controllable features of their ensuing behavior (e.g., "If I concentrate more, I will win the next game"). Here, we test whether this tendency is robust and general. Studies 1a and 1b replicate this tendency and show that it occurs regardless of whether individuals think about their failures or their successes. Study 2 shows that individuals generate relatively few controllable counterfactuals, unless explicitly prompted to do so. These results raise some questions regarding the generality of the dominant view according to which counterfactuals mainly serve a preparatory function.

Keywords:  Advice; Counterfactuals; Prefactuals; Preparatory hypothesis

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 27761792     DOI: 10.3758/s13421-016-0660-5

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Mem Cognit        ISSN: 0090-502X


  12 in total

1.  Counterfactual thinking about controllable events.

Authors:  R McCloy; R M Byrne
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  2000-09

2.  Improving the past and the future: a temporal asymmetry in hypothetical thinking.

Authors:  Donatella Ferrante; Vittorio Girotto; Marta Stragà; Clare Walsh
Journal:  J Exp Psychol Gen       Date:  2012-04-02

Review 3.  The case for motivated reasoning.

Authors:  Z Kunda
Journal:  Psychol Bull       Date:  1990-11       Impact factor: 17.737

4.  Counterfactual thinking and the first instinct fallacy.

Authors:  Justin Kruger; Derrick Wirtz; Dale T Miller
Journal:  J Pers Soc Psychol       Date:  2005-05

5.  Postdecisional counterfactual thinking by actors and readers.

Authors:  Vittorio Girotto; Donatella Ferrante; Stefania Pighin; Michel Gonzalez
Journal:  Psychol Sci       Date:  2007-06

6.  Self-handicapping, excuse making, and counterfactual thinking: consequences for self-esteem and future motivation.

Authors:  Sean M McCrea
Journal:  J Pers Soc Psychol       Date:  2008-08

Review 7.  The functional theory of counterfactual thinking.

Authors:  Kai Epstude; Neal J Roese
Journal:  Pers Soc Psychol Rev       Date:  2008-05

Review 8.  Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory.

Authors:  Hugo Mercier; Dan Sperber
Journal:  Behav Brain Sci       Date:  2011-04       Impact factor: 12.579

Review 9.  Counterfactual Thought.

Authors:  Ruth M J Byrne
Journal:  Annu Rev Psychol       Date:  2015-09-14       Impact factor: 24.137

10.  Learning inhibition in the Monty Hall problem: the role of dysfunctional counterfactual prescriptions.

Authors:  John V Petrocelli; Anna K Harris
Journal:  Pers Soc Psychol Bull       Date:  2011-05-23
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