| Literature DB >> 27732629 |
Yukinori Takenaka1, Norihiko Takemoto2, Toshimichi Yasui1, Yoshifumi Yamamoto1, Atsuhiko Uno1, Haruka Miyabe1, Naoki Ashida1, Kotaro Shimizu1, Susumu Nakahara2, Atshushi Hanamoto2, Takahito Fukusumi2, Takahiro Michiba2, Hironori Cho2, Masashi Yamamoto2, Hidenori Inohara2.
Abstract
Various serum biomarkers have been developed for predicting head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) prognosis. However, none of them have been proven to be clinically significant. A recent study reported that the ratio of aspartate aminotransaminase (AST) to alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) had a prognostic effect on non-metastatic cancers. This study aimed to examine the effect of the AST/ALT ratio on the survival of patients with HNSCC. Clinical data of 356 patients with locoregionally advanced HNSCC were collected. The effect of the AST/ALT ratio on overall survival was analyzed using a Cox proportional hazard model. Moreover, recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to divide the patients into groups on the basis of the clinical stage and AST/ALT ratio. The prognostic ability of this grouping was validated using an independent data set (N = 167). The AST/ALT ratio ranged from 0.42 to 4.30 (median, 1.42) and was a prognostic factor for overall survival that was independent of age, primary sites, and tumor stage (hazard ratio: 1.36, confidence interval: 1.08-1.68, P = 0.010). RPA divided patients with stage IVA into the following two subgroups: high AST/ALT (≥2.3) and low AST/ALT (<2.3) subgroups. The 5-year survival rate for patients with stage III, stage IVA with a low AST/ALT ratio, stage IVA with a high AST/ALT ratio, and stage IVB were 64.8%, 49.2%, 28.6%, and 33.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). Compared with the low AST/ALT group, the adjusted hazard ratio for death was 2.17 for high AST/ALT group (confidence interval: 1.02-.22 P = 0.045). The AST/ALT ratio was demonstrated to be a prognostic factor of HNSCC. The ratio subdivided patients with stage IVA into low- and high-risk groups. Moreover, intensified treatment for the high-risk group may be considered.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 27732629 PMCID: PMC5061313 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0164057
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Patient characteristics by primary sites.
| training set | validation set | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. (n = 356) | % | No. (n = 167) | % | ||
| Sex | |||||
| male | 312 | 87.6 | 117 | 70.1 | <0.001 |
| female | 44 | 12.4 | 50 | 29.9 | |
| Age, years | |||||
| median, range | 66, 42–92 | 67, 28–90 | 0.005 | ||
| Primary site | |||||
| hypopharynx | 136 | 38.2 | 31 | 18.6 | <0.001 |
| oropharynx | 110 | 30.9 | 27 | 16.2 | |
| larynx | 64 | 18 | 34 | 20.4 | |
| oral cavity | 46 | 12.9 | 75 | 44.9 | |
| T classification | |||||
| 1/2/3/4 | 30/105/112/119 | 8.4/29.5/31.5/30.6 | 12/42/36/77 | 7.2/25.2/21.6/46.1 | 0.006 |
| N classification | |||||
| 0/1/2/3 | 69/75/197/15 | 19.4/21.1/55.3/4.2 | 39/42/80/6 | 23.4/25.2/47.9/3.6 | 0.391 |
| Stage | |||||
| III/IVA/IVB | 113/213/30 | 31.7/59.8/8.4 | 47/111/9 | 28.1/66.5/5.4 | 0.249 |
| Treatment modality | |||||
| surgery | 63 | 17.7 | 90 | 53.9 | <0.001 |
| | 268 | 75.3 | 55 | 32.9 | |
| other | 25 | 7 | 22 | 13.1 | |
| AST | |||||
| median, range | 22, 5–143 | 23, 10–166 | 0.034 | ||
| ALT | |||||
| median, range | 15, 4–184 | 17, 4–79 | 0.324 | ||
| AST/ALT ration | |||||
| median, range | 1.42, 0.42–4.30 | 1.46, 0.54–4.88 | 0.300 | ||
* (C) RT, (chemo-) radiation therapy
Overall survival according to clinicopathologic variables and AST/ALT ratio.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| clinicopathologic variable | hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval | hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval | ||
| Sex | ||||||
| Male / Female | 1.01 | 0.66–1.62 | 0.966 | |||
| Age (y) | ||||||
| ≥65 / <65 | 1.51 | 1.12–2.05 | 0.007 | 1.65 | 1.21–2.25 | 0.001 |
| Primary site | ||||||
| hypopharynx | 2.01 | 1.29–3.25 | 0.002 | 1.76 | 1.10–2.92 | 0.019 |
| oropharynx | 1.08 | 0.66–1.83 | 0.758 | 1.02 | 0.61–1.75 | 0.954 |
| larynx | Ref | Ref | ||||
| oral cavity | 1,87 | 1.06–3.32 | 0.031 | 2.08 | 1.17–3.71 | 0.013 |
| Stage | ||||||
| III | Ref | Ref | ||||
| IVA | 1.42 | 1.01–2.03 | 0.045 | 1.39 | 0.97–2.02 | 0.074 |
| IVB | 2.07 | 1.19–3.46 | 0.011 | 2.07 | 1.15–3.60 | 0.016 |
| AST(continuous) | ||||||
| 1.00 | 1.00–1.01 | 0.344 | ||||
| ALT(continuous) | ||||||
| 0.99 | 0.98–1.00 | 0.240 | ||||
| AST / ALT ratio (ordinal) | ||||||
| 1st quartile (<1.09) | Ref | |||||
| 2nd quartile (≥1.09, <1.42) | 1.72 | 1.09–2.77 | 0.020 | |||
| 3rd quartile (≥1.42, <1.82) | 1.90 | 1.21–3.04 | 0.005 | |||
| 4th quartile (≥1.82) | 2.19 | 1.40–3.51 | 0.001 | |||
| AST / ALT ratio (continuous) | ||||||
| 1.44 | 1.15–1.76 | 0.002 | 1.36 | 1.08–1.68 | 0.010 | |
Association of DeRitis ratio and TNM staging.
| De Ritis ratio | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| median | range | p value | |
| T | 0.435 | ||
| T1 | 1.3 | 0.75–3.00 | |
| T2 | 1.32 | 0.45–4.30 | |
| T3 | 1.49 | 0.44–4.00 | |
| T4 | 1.47 | 0.42–3.50 | |
| N | 0.180 | ||
| N0 | 1.39 | 0.42–3.33 | |
| N1 | 1.44 | 0.68–3.28 | |
| N2 | 1.39 | 0.44–4.30 | |
| N3 | 1.83 | 0.76–2.75 | |
| Stage | 0.369 | ||
| III | 1.44 | 0.48–3.29 | |
| IVA | 1.38 | 0.42–4.30 | |
| IVB | 1.64 | 0.59–2.75 | |
Fig 1Recursive partitioning analysis was used to classify patients into different risk groups according to clinical stage and AST/ALT ratio.
Fig 2Kaplan-Meier curves for overall survival according to the groups defined by the recursive partitioning analysis.
Adjusted hazard ratio according to stage and AST/ALT ratio.
| hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Stage III | Ref | ||
| Stage IVA, AST/ALT<2.3 | 1.41 | 0.83–2.49 | 0.204 |
| Stage IVA, AST/ALT≥2.3 | 3.07 | 1.33–6.68 | 0.001 |
| Stage IVB | 3.74 | 1.41–8.85 | 0.001 |
*Hazard ratio was adjusted for age, site and treatment modality.