| Literature DB >> 27726294 |
Irene Göllnitz1, Johanna Inhestern1, Thomas G Wendt2, Jens Buentzel3, Dirk Esser4, Daniel Böger5, Andreas H Mueller6, Jörn-Uwe Piesold7, Stefan Schultze-Mosgau8, Ekkehard Eigendorff9, Peter Schlattmann10, Orlando Guntinas-Lichius1.
Abstract
To examine the impact of comorbidity on overall survival (OS) in a population-based study of patients with head and neck cancer who were treated between 2009 and 2011. Data of 1094 patients with primary head and neck carcinomas without distant metastasis from the Thuringian cancer registries were evaluated concerning the influence of patient's characteristics and comorbidity on OS. Data on comorbidity prior to head and neck cancer diagnosis was adapted to the Charlson Comorbidity (CCI), age-adjusted CCI (ACCI), head and neck CCI (HNCCI), simplified comorbidity score (SCS), and to the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27). Most patients were male (80%; median age: 60 years; 50% stage IV tumors). Smoking, alcohol abuse, and anemia were registered for 38%, 33%, and 23% of the patients, respectively. Predominant therapy was surgery + radiochemotherapy (30%), surgery (29%), and surgery + radiotherapy (21%). Mean CCI, ACCI, HNCCI, SCS and ACE-27 were 1.0 ± 1.5, 2.6 ± 2.1, 0.6 ± 0.8, 4.4 ± 4.2, and 0.9 ± 0.9, respectively. Median follow-up was 25.7 months. Multivariable analyses showed that higher age, higher UICC stage, no therapy, including surgery or radiotherapy, alcohol abuse, and anemia, higher comorbidity were independent risk factors for worse OS (all P < 0.05). According to the discriminatory power analysis none of the five comorbidity scores was superior to the other scores to prognosticate OS. This population-based study showed that comorbidity is frequent in German patients with head and neck cancer and is an important risk factor for poor OS. Comorbidity should be routinely assessed and taken into account in prospective clinical trials.Entities:
Keywords: Cancer registry; Charlson comorbidity index; comorbidity; epidemiology; head and neck cancer; head and neck specific comorbidity index; risk; survival
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27726294 PMCID: PMC5119982 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.882
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Figure 1Flowchart of patient inclusion and exclusion.
Figure 2Distribution of comorbidity in the head and neck cancer population in Thuringia in 2009–2011 for different comorbidity scores. CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; ACCI, age‐adjusted CCI; HNCCI, revised head neck CCI; SCS, simplified comorbidity score; ACE‐27, adult comorbidity evaluation–27.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier curves on overall survival according to the five different comorbidity scores. CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; ACCI, age‐adjusted CCI; HNCCI, revised head neck CCI; SCS, simplified comorbidity score; ACE‐27, adult comorbidity evaluation–27.
Multivariable Cox regression models of risk factors for overall survival including the CCI or ACCI comorbidity score
| Factor | HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | ||||||
| Comorbidity | |||||||||
| CCI 0 | 1 |
| ACCI 0‐1 | 1 |
| ||||
| CCI 1 | 1.227 | 0.860 | 1.750 | 0.260 | ACCI 2‐3 | 1.320 | 0.929 | 1.875 | 0.121 |
| CCI 2 | 1.666 | 1.023 | 2.711 |
| ACCI 4+ | 2.367 | 1.654 | 3.388 |
|
| CCI 3+ | 1.872 | 1.279 | 2.740 |
| |||||
| Age | |||||||||
| <50 years | 1 |
| NA | ||||||
| 50–59 years | 1.239 | 0.775 | 1.980 | 0.371 | |||||
| 60–69 years | 1.621 | 0.996 | 2.638 | 0.052 | |||||
| 70–79 years | 1.993 | 1.157 | 3.432 |
| |||||
| 80 + years | 3.484 | 1.573 | 7.717 |
| |||||
| Site | |||||||||
| Larynx | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Other | 1.303 | 0.872 | 1.948 | 0.197 | 1.248 | 0.838 | 1.860 | 0.276 | |
| UICC stage | |||||||||
| I | 1 |
| 1 |
| |||||
| II | 3.563 | 1.856 | 6.837 |
| 3.422 | 1.780 | 6.579 |
| |
| III | 4.651 | 2.370 | 9.127 |
| 4.643 | 2.365 | 9.115 |
| |
| IV | 5.716 | 3.093 | 10.562 |
| 5.712 | 3.090 | 10.558 |
| |
| Histology | |||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| SCC | 1.497 | 0.843 | 2.661 | 0.169 | 1.476 | 0.834 | 2.613 | 0.182 | |
| Surgery | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 2.064 | 1.481 | 2.876 |
| 2.099 | 1.504 | 2.928 |
| |
| Radiotherapy | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 1.881 | 1.258 | 2.813 |
| 1.969 | 1.320 | 2.939 |
| |
| Chemotherapy | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 0.818 | 0.577 | 1.160 | 0.260 | 0.869 | 0.619 | 1.222 | 0.420 | |
| Smoker | |||||||||
| No | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Yes | 1.215 | 0.857 | 1.724 | 0.274 | 1.146 | 0.813 | 1.616 | 0.436 | |
| Alcohol | |||||||||
| No | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Yes | 1.689 | 1.183 | 2.413 |
| 1.620 | 1.144 | 2.295 |
| |
| Anemia | |||||||||
| No | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Yes | 1.396 | 1.024 | 1.903 |
| 1.456 | 1.072 | 1.977 |
| |
CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; ACCI, Age‐adjusted CCI; HR, Hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma; NA, not applicable. Significant p‐values (p<0.05) in bold.
Multivariable Cox regression models of risk factors for overall survival including the HNCCI or SCS comorbidity score
| Factor | HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95%CI |
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | ||||||
| Comorbidity | |||||||||
| HNCCI 0 | 1 |
| SCS 0‐1 | 1 | |||||
| HNCCI 1 | 1.069 | 0.772 | 1.479 | 0.689 | SCS 2+ | 1.496 | 1.080 | 2.073 |
|
| HNCCI 2+ | 2.081 | 1.403 | 3.087 |
| |||||
| Age | |||||||||
| <50 years | 1 |
| 1 |
| |||||
| 50–59 years | 1.269 | 0.795 | 2.028 | 0.318 | 1.260 | 0.790 | 2.009 | 0.331 | |
| 60–69 years | 1.681 | 1.036 | 2.727 |
| 1.788 | 1.107 | 2.889 |
| |
| 70–79 years | 2.073 | 1.206 | 3.561 |
| 2.196 | 1.290 | 3.737 |
| |
| 80 + years | 3.892 | 1.765 | 8.583 |
| 4.094 | 1.886 | 8.886 |
| |
| Site | |||||||||
| Larynx | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Other | 1.286 | 0.863 | 1.916 | 0.217 | 1.245 | 0.835 | 1.855 | 0.282 | |
| UICC stage | |||||||||
| I | 1 |
| 1 |
| |||||
| II | 3.351 | 1.741 | 6.448 |
| 3.677 | 1.918 | 7.050 |
| |
| III | 4.513 | 2.298 | 8.864 |
| 4.812 | 2.460 | 9.413 |
| |
| IV | 5.383 | 2.913 | 9.950 |
| 5.883 | 3.182 | 10.877 |
| |
| Histology | |||||||||
| Other | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| SCC | 1.536 | 0.864 | 2.730 | 0.144 | 1.547 | 0.870 | 2.750 | 0.137 | |
| Surgery | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 2.102 | 1.504 | 2.937 |
| 2.158 | 1.551 | 3.001 |
| |
| Radiotherapy | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 1.853 | 1.236 | 2.778 |
| 1.943 | 1.300 | 2.903 |
| |
| Chemotherapy | |||||||||
| Yes | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| No | 0.803 | 0.565 | 1.139 | 0.219 | 0.863 | 0.608 | 1.224 | 0.409 | |
| Smoker | |||||||||
| No | 1 | NA | |||||||
| Yes | 1.212 | 0.854 | 1.721 | 0.282 | |||||
| Alcohol | |||||||||
| No | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Yes | 1.675 | 1.173 | 2.392 |
| 1.667 | 1.205 | 2.306 |
| |
| Anemia | |||||||||
| No | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Yes | 1.427 | 1.047 | 1.945 |
| 1.461 | 1.077 | 1.981 |
| |
HNCCI, Head and neck CCI; SCS, Simplified Comorbidity Score; HR, Hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma; NA, not applicable.
Multivariable Cox regression models of risk factors for overall survival including the ACE‐27 comorbidity score
| Factor | HR | 95% CI |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||
| Comorbidity | ||||
| ACE‐27 grade 0 | 1 |
| ||
| ACE‐27 grade 1 | 1.793 | 1.253 | 2.564 |
|
| ACE‐27 grade 2 | 2.464 | 1.258 | 4.826 |
|
| ACE‐27 grade 3 | 1.875 | 1.148 | 3.062 |
|
| Age | ||||
| <50 years | 1 |
| ||
| 50–59 years | 1.234 | .774 | 1.967 | .377 |
| 60–69 years | 1.673 | 1.039 | 2.694 |
|
| 70–79 years | 1.987 | 1.173 | 3.367 |
|
| 80 + years | 3.370 | 1.556 | 7.299 |
|
| Site | ||||
| Larynx | ||||
| Other | 1.286 | .863 | 1.917 | 0.217 |
| UICC stage | ||||
| I | 1 |
| ||
| II | 3.568 | 1.857 | 6.858 |
|
| III | 4.662 | 2.373 | 9.159 |
|
| IV | 5.757 | 3.116 | 10.638 |
|
| Histology | ||||
| Other | 1 | |||
| SCC | 1.578 | 0.887 | 2.806 | 0.121 |
| Surgery | ||||
| Yes | 1 | |||
| No | 2.135 | 1.534 | 2.973 |
|
| Radiotherapy | ||||
| Yes | 1 | |||
| No | 1.870 | 1.253 | 2.790 |
|
| Chemotherapy | ||||
| Yes | 1 | |||
| No | 0.849 | 0.600 | 1.201 | 0.354 |
| Smoker | ||||
| No | 1 | |||
| Yes | 1.407 | 1.034 | 1.913 |
|
| Alcohol | ||||
| No | NA | |||
| Yes | ||||
| Anemia | ||||
| No | 1 | |||
| Yes | 1.469 | 1.083 | 1.994 |
|
ACE‐27, adult comorbidity evaluation–27; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma; NA, not applicable.
Comparison of the performance of the five multivariable models including the comorbidity indices in comparison to multivariable analysis without inclusion of a comorbidity index
| Comorbidity index | Somer's D | Corrected Somer's D | Mean calibration error | 0.9 percentile | Likelihood ratio test |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 0.4634 | 0.4239 | 0.016 | 0.009 | ||
| CCI | 0.4776 | 0.4323 | 0.017 | 0.009 | 14.09 | 0.0028 |
| ACCI | 0.4663 | 0.4337 | 0.014 | 0.007 | 23.37 | 0.0001 |
| HNCCI | 0.4741 | 0.4309 | 0.018 | 0.009 | 15.44 | 0.0004 |
| SCS | 0.4741 | 0.4382 | 0.018 | 0.011 | 5.49 | 0.0190 |
| ACE‐27 | 0.4812 | 0.4405 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 8.76 | 0.0327 |
Multivariable analysis, including the parameters age, site, UICC stage, histology, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, smoker, alcohol, and anemia.
CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; ACCI, Age‐adjusted CCI; HNCCI, head and neck CCI; SCS, Simplified comorbidity score; ACE‐27, adult comorbidity evaluation–27.