| Literature DB >> 27588396 |
Ning Qu1, Rong-Liang Shi1,2, Zhong-Wu Lu1, Tian Liao1, Duo Wen1, Guo-Hua Sun1, Duan-Shu Li1, Qing-Hai Ji1.
Abstract
Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) has a propensity to cervical lymph node metastases (LNM). Recent studies have shown that both the number of involved lymph nodes (LNs) and the metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR) confer prognostic information. This study was to determine the predictive value of MLNR on cancer-specific survival (CSS) in SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results)-registered MTC patients treated with thyroidectomy and lymphadenectomy between 1991 and 2012, investigate the cutoff points for MLNR in stratifying risk of mortality and provide evidence for selection of appropriate treatment strategies. X-tile program determined 0.5 as optimal cut-off value for MLNR in terms of CSS in 890 MTC patients. According to multivariate Cox regression analysis, MLNR (0.50-1.00) is a significant independent prognostic factor for CSS (hazard ratio 2.161, 95% confidence interval 1.327-3.519, p=0.002). MLNR (0.50-1.00) has a greater prognostic impact on CSS in female, non-Hispanic white, T3/4, N1b and M1 patients. The lymph node yield (LNY) influences the effect of MLNR on CSS; LNY ≥9 results in MLNR (0.50-1.00) having a higher HR for CSS than MLNR (0.00-0.49). In conclusion, higher MLNRs predict poorer survival in MTC patients. Eradication of involved nodes ensures accurate staging and maximizes the ability of MLNR to predict prognosis.Entities:
Keywords: SEER; lymph node dissection; medullary thyroid cancer; ratio; survival analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27588396 PMCID: PMC5323204 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.11725
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Clinicopathological Characteristics of 890 Patients with MTC Obtained from SEER Database
| Variables | Total (%) |
|---|---|
| Male Sex | 375 (42.1) |
| Age | 49.8±16.3 (8–92) |
| Race | 71 (8.0) |
| Treatment | 837 (94.0) |
| T stage | 546 (61.3) |
| N stage | 396 (44.5) |
| Distant metastasis | 119 (13.4) |
| TNM stage | 409 (46.0) |
| Number of positive LNs | 6.1±10.3 (0-73) |
| Number of LNY | 24.0±24.1 (1-90) |
| MLNR | 0.25±0.32 (0.00-1.00) |
Data are presented as n (%) or mean ± standard deviation (range).
including American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander, and Hispanic.
Abbreviations: MTC, medullary thyroid cancer; TT, total thyroidectomy; LNs, lymph nodes; MLNR, metastatic lymph node ratio; LNY, lymph node yield.
Figure 1X-tile analysis of survival data from the SEER registry
X-tile analysis was done on patient data from the SEER registry, equally divided into training and validation sets. X-tile plots of training sets are shown in the left panels, with plots of matched validation sets shown in the smaller inset. The optimal cut-point highlighted by the black circle in the left panels is shown on a histogram of the entire cohort (middle panels) and a Kaplan-Meier plot (right panels). P values were determined by using the cut-point defined in the training set and applying it to the validation set. Figures show MLNR divided at the optimal cut-point (0.49, χ2=59.38, p<0.001).
Multivariate Cox Regression for CSS in Patients with MTC Obtained from SEER database
| Independent variable | Multivariate | |
|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | ||
| Sex (Female | 1.239 (0.778-1.974) | 0.367 |
| Age (≥45 | 1.049 (1.031-1.067) | 0.001 |
| Race (White vs. Black) | 0.422 (0.207-0.860) | 0.018 |
| T stage (T3/4 | 3.957 (2.126-7.364) | 0.001 |
| N stage | 1 (Reference) | 0.049 |
| Distant metastasis | 3.680 (2.275-5.950) | 0.001 |
| MLNR (L2 | 2.161 (1.327-3.519) | 0.002 |
including American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander, and Hispanic.
Abbreviations: MTC, medullary thyroid cancer; TT, total thyroidectomy; LNs, lymph nodes; MLNR, metastatic lymph node ratio; CSS, cancer-specific survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2Log-rank tests of cancer-specific survival comparing those who had metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR) ranged 0.50–1.00 with those who had MLNR ranged 0.00–0.49 for a. female: χ2 = 64.772, p=0.001; b. non-Hispanic White: χ2 = 59.502, p=0.001
Figure 3Log-rank tests of cancer-specific survival comparing those who had metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR) ranged 0.50–1.00 with those who had MLNR ranged 0.00–0.49 for a. T3/4: χ2 = 10.749, p=0.001; b. N1b: χ2 = 13.643, p=0.001; c. M1: χ2 = 33.195, p=0.001
Multivariate Analysis of Effect of MLNR on CSS in MTC According to Clinicopathologic Variables
| Variable for subgroups | Multivariate Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| HR for MLNR (L2 | 95% CI | ||
| Male | 1.692 | 0.922-3.105 | 0.090 |
| Female | 4.370 | 2.142-8.915 | 0.001 |
| <45 | 11.313 | 2.235-57.259 | 0.003 |
| ≥45 | 2.153 | 1.328-3.490 | 0.002 |
| Black | 0.816 | 0.146-4.560 | 0.816 |
| White | 2.762 | 1.694-4.503 | 0.001 |
| T1/2 | 2.776 | 0.865-8.911 | 0.086 |
| T3/4 | 2.161 | 1.267-3.687 | 0.005 |
| N1a | 3.033 | 0.909-10.123 | 0.071 |
| N1b | 2.130 | 1.222-3.715 | 0.008 |
| M0 | 1.703 | 0.902-3.217 | 0.101 |
| M1 | 2.693 | 1.282-5.656 | 0.009 |
P-value for HR was adjusted for age, race, and TNM stage as covariates.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, race, and TNM stage as covariates.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, age, and TNM stage as covariates.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, age, race, N stage, and M stage as covariates.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, age, race, T stage, and M stage as covariates.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, age, race, T stage, and N stage as covariates.
Abbreviations: MTC, medullary thyroid cancer; MLNR, metastatic lymph node ratio; CSS, cancer-specific survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Multivariate Analysis of Effect of MLNR on CSS in MTC According to LNY
| LNY | Number of patients | Multivariate Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR for MLNR | 95% CI | |||
| 1-5 | 256 | 7.570 | 2.956-19.389 | 0.001 |
| 6-15 | 200 | 14.958 | 4.201-53.254 | 0.001 |
| 16-37 | 220 | 9.978 | 1.266-78.638 | 0.029 |
| 38-90 | 214 | 8.761 | 2.197-34.943 | 0.002 |
The cutoff points for the number of LNY were calculated from the quartiles of individual LNY counts.
P-value for HR was adjusted for sex, age, race, T stage, and N stage and M stage as covariates.
Abbreviations: MTC, medullary thyroid cancer; MLNR, metastatic lymph node ratio; LNY, lymph node yield; CSS, cancer-specific survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
The Impact of MLNR on CSS in MTC According to LNY from 6–15
| LNY* | Number of patients | Multivariate Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR for MLNR | 95% CI | |||
| ≥6 | 634 | 11.472 | 5.361-24.547 | 0.001 |
| ≥7 | 599 | 13.980 | 6.215-31.443 | 0.001 |
| ≥8 | 572 | 15.129 | 6.655-34.389 | 0.001 |
| ≥9 | 548 | 15.388 | 6.525-36.287 | 0.001 |
| ≥10 | 532 | 14.735 | 6.236-34.810 | 0.001 |
| ≥11 | 509 | 13.646 | 5.746-32.409 | 0.001 |
| ≥12 | 500 | 13.340 | 5.606-31.739 | 0.001 |
| ≥13 | 481 | 14.089 | 6.034-37.734 | 0.001 |
| ≥14 | 462 | 13.317 | 5.194-34.141 | 0.001 |
| ≥15 | 450 | 10.543 | 3.937-28.233 | 0.001 |
Abbreviations: MTC, medullary thyroid cancer; MLNR, metastatic lymph node ratio; LNY, lymph node yield; CSS, cancer-specific survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.