| Literature DB >> 27470241 |
Thomas Crellen1, Martin Walker2, Poppy H L Lamberton3, Narcis B Kabatereine4, Edridah M Tukahebwa4, James A Cotton5, Joanne P Webster6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Mass drug administration (MDA) with praziquantel is the cornerstone of schistosomiasis control in sub-Saharan Africa. The effectiveness of this strategy is dependent on the continued high efficacy of praziquantel; however, drug efficacy is rarely monitored using appropriate statistical approaches that can detect early signs of wane.Entities:
Keywords: anthelmintic efficacy; generalized linear mixed model; parasite; praziquantel; schistosomiasis
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27470241 PMCID: PMC5064161 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciw506
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Infect Dis ISSN: 1058-4838 Impact factor: 9.079
Figure 1.Maps of study sites. A, Map of Uganda in an East African context with Mayuge and Tororo districts highlighted. B, Location of the schools (triangles) surveyed in Mayuge district. C, Location of the school (triangle) surveyed in Tororo district.
Sample Estimates of the Prevalence and Intensity of Schistosoma mansoni Infection in Children From 6 Primary Schools in Eastern Uganda Before Treatment With Praziquantel
| School | District | MDA Exposure Category | Recruited, No. | Tested at Baseline, No. | Positive for | Mean EPG (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bwondha | Mayuge | High (9 rounds) | 98 | 96 | 87 (90.63) | 742 (518–973) |
| Bugoto | Mayuge | High (9 rounds) | 183 | 170 | 144 (84.71) | 436 (339–534) |
| Musubi | Mayuge | High (8 rounds) | 128 | 127 | 120 (94.49) | 465 (362–600) |
| Bukoba | Mayuge | Medium (5 rounds)a | 120 | 118 | 53 (44.92) | 92 (67–128) |
| Bukagabo | Mayuge | Medium (5 rounds)a | 120 | 118 | 57 (48.31) | 306 (197–442) |
| Kocoge | Tororo | Low (1 round) | 120 | 120 | 81 (67.50) | 347 (245–456) |
| Total | 769 | 749 | 542 (72.36) | 382 (338–446) |
The number of previous rounds of MDA to which the school has been exposed and corresponding MDA exposure categories are shown. Infection intensity is quantified as the arithmetic mean number of EPG. Confidence intervals are calculated using a block bootstrap approach to account for correlation among egg counts repeatedly measured from the same child.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; EPG, egg per gram of feces; MDA, mass drug administration.
a Estimated from district-level MDA coverage from Ministry of Health.
Figure 2.Flow diagram of patient recruitment and exclusion criteria for egg reduction rate analysis after treatment with praziquantel (PZQ) and albendazole (ALB).
Estimated Coefficient Posterior Distributions of the Generalized Linear Mixed Model Fitted to Schistosoma mansoni Egg Counts Collected From 414 Children From 6 Primary Schools in Eastern Uganda Before and After Treatment With Praziquantel
| Covariate | Category | Coefficient Posterior Mean (95% BCI) | Exponent Coefficient Posterior Mean (95% BCI) | Bayesian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | NA | 2.32 (1.36 to 3.25) | 10.79 (2.17–21.19) | .01 |
| Treatment | NA | −5.65 (−6.81 to −4.55) | 3.91 × 10−3 (5.82 × 10−4 to 8.86 × 10−3) | <.01 |
| MDA exposure | Low (1 round) | −1.33 (−3.20 to 0.48) | 0.328 (3.36 × 10−9 to 1.03) | .10 |
| Medium (5 rounds) | −1.42 (−2.94 to 0.25) | 0.293 (9.34 × 10−13 to 0.793) | .06 | |
| Weight | Low (<22 kg) | 1.21 (0.40–2.03) | 3.57 (1.12–6.72) | <.01 |
| Medium (22–26 kg) | 0.83 (0.01–1.65) | 2.45 (0.845–4.74) | .05 | |
| Sex | Male | 0.13 (−0.48 to 0.78) | 1.19 (5.32–1.98) | .67 |
| Coinfection with STH | Positive | 0.27 (−0.40 to 0.99) | 1.37 (0.569–2.43) | .44 |
The posteriors are summarized by their mean and 95% BCI. The coefficient estimates all interact with treatment and thus correspond to the effect of the covariate on the egg reduction rate (ERR). Negative coefficients (or their exponent <1) associated with covariate–treatment interactions indicate a lower egg count after treatment and a higher ERR and vice versa for positive coefficients (or their exponent >1) (see “Methods” section).
Abbreviations: BCI, Bayesian credible interval; MDA, mass drug administration; NA, not applicable; STH, soil-transmitted helminth.
Figure 3.Estimated egg reduction rates of Schistosoma mansoni from 414 children in eastern Uganda treated with praziquantel. Individual estimates are stratified by school (A) and by mass drug administration (MDA) exposure category (B). Black points indicate the mean of the posterior distribution, and the gray bars indicate 95% Bayesian credible intervals (BCIs). The hashed lines correspond to the nominal reference threshold of 90% suggested by the World Health Organization. Note that the BCIs have been truncated at 1% and 99%. Category of MDA reflects the previous number of rounds of treatment with praziquantel the schools have received (high is 8 or 9; medium is 5; low is 1).
Estimated Average Egg Reduction Rates of Schistosoma mansoni in 414 Children From 6 Primary Schools in Eastern Uganda Following Treatment With Praziquantel
| MDA Exposure Category | No. | Cleared, No. (%) | ERR, % | School | No. | Cleared, No. (%) | ERR, % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sample (95% CI) | Model (95% BCI) | Sample (95% CI) | Model (95% BCI) | ||||||
| High (8–9 rounds) | 268 | 151 (56.34) | 92.10 (87.42–95.71) | 91.49 (88.23–93.64) | Bwondha | 68 | 40 (58.82) | 94.27 (88.13–98.26) | 94.19 (90.65–96.34) |
| Bugoto | 103 | 62 (60.19) | 89.63 (77.65–96.65) | 91.20 (85.40–94.50) | |||||
| Musubi | 97 | 49 (50.51) | 91.98 (82.35–97.69) | 89.90 (83.53–93.49) | |||||
| Medium (5 rounds)a | 82 | 68 (82.93) | 98.71 (97.50–99.53) | 98.04 (96.13–99.08) | Bukoba | 42 | 37 (88.10) | 98.98 (97.55–99.85) | 98.50 (96.26–99.52) |
| Bukagabo | 40 | 31 (77.50) | 98.58 (96.50–99.64) | 97.56 (94.59–99.01) | |||||
| Low (1 round) | 64 | 45 (70.31) | 98.87 (98.07–99.60) | 97.81 (95.51–98.96) | Kocoge | 64 | 45 (70.31) | 98.87 (98.07–99.60) | 97.81 (95.51–98.96) |
Sample estimates are calculated using equation 1 in “Methods” section, sample egg reduction rates, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) calculated using a block bootstrap approach to account for correlation among egg counts repeatedly measured from the same child. Model estimates and 95% BCIs correspond to the posterior distribution of the average ERR by mass drug administration (MDA) exposure category and by school calculated by marginalizing (averaging) over the appropriate fixed- and random-effects coefficients of the fitted generalized linear mixed model.
Abbreviations: BCI, Bayesian credible interval; ERR, egg reduction rate.
a Estimated from district-level MDA coverage from the Ministry of Health.
Figure 4.Posterior distribution of average egg reduction rates (ERRs) of Schistosoma mansoni in 414 children from 6 primary schools in eastern Uganda treated with praziquantel. The average ERRs are stratified by school (A) and by mass drug administration (MDA) exposure category (B). The posteriors were constructed by marginalizing over the fixed- and random-effects coefficients estimated from the generalized linear mixed model. The colored hashed lines indicate the mean of the posterior. Category of MDA reflects the previous number of rounds with praziquantel the schools have received (high is 8 or 9; medium is 5; low is 1).