Literature DB >> 27432200

Development of a risk prediction model for transfusion in carotid endarterectomy and demonstration of cost-saving potential by avoidance of "type and screen".

Lars Stangenberg1, Thomas Curran2, Fahad Shuja2, Robert Rosenberg3, Feroze Mahmood4, Marc L Schermerhorn5.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Preoperative testing for carotid endarterectomy (CEA) often includes blood typing and antibody screen (T&S). In our institutional experience, however, transfusion for CEA is rare. We assessed transfusion rate and risk factors in a national clinical database to identify a cohort of patients in whom T&S can safely be avoided with the potential for substantial cost savings.
METHODS: With use of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, transfusion events and timing were established for all elective CEAs in 2012-2013. Comorbidities and other characteristics were compared for patients receiving intraoperative or postoperative transfusion and those who did not. After random assignment of the total data to either a training or validation set, a prediction model for transfusion risk was created and subsequently validated.
RESULTS: Of 16,043 patients undergoing CEA in 2012-2013, 276 received at least one transfusion before discharge (1.7%); 42% of transfusions occurred on the day of surgery. Preoperative hematocrit <30% (odds ratio [OR], 57.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 29.6-111.1), history of congestive heart failure (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1-7.1), dependent functional status (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.5-5.1), coagulopathy (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.7-3.6), creatinine concentration ≥1.2 mg/dL (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.6-3.3), preoperative dyspnea (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.4-3.1), and female gender (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.3) predicted transfusion. A risk prediction model based on these data produced a C statistic of 0.85; application of this model to the validation set demonstrated a C statistic of 0.81. In the validation set, 93% of patients received a score of 6 or less, corresponding to an individual predicted transfusion risk of 5% or less. Omitting a T&S in these patients would generate a substantial annual cost saving for National Surgical Quality Improvement Program hospitals.
CONCLUSIONS: Whereas T&S are commonly performed for patients undergoing CEA, transfusion after CEA is rare and well predicted by a transfusion risk score. Avoidance of T&S in this low-risk population provides a substantial cost-saving opportunity without compromise of patient care.
Copyright © 2016 Society for Vascular Surgery. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2016        PMID: 27432200      PMCID: PMC5121067          DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.04.059

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Vasc Surg        ISSN: 0741-5214            Impact factor:   4.268


  19 in total

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2.  Effect of anaemia and cardiovascular disease on surgical mortality and morbidity.

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3.  Risk score for unplanned vascular readmissions.

Authors:  James C Iannuzzi; Ankur Chandra; Kristin N Kelly; Aaron S Rickles; John R T Monson; Fergal J Fleming
Journal:  J Vasc Surg       Date:  2014-01-18       Impact factor: 4.268

4.  A reduction in type and screen: preoperative prediction of RBC transfusions in surgery procedures with intermediate transfusion risks.

Authors:  W A van Klei; K G Moons; A T Leyssius; J T Knape; C L Rutten; D E Grobbee
Journal:  Br J Anaesth       Date:  2001-08       Impact factor: 9.166

Review 5.  Transfusion thresholds and other strategies for guiding allogeneic red blood cell transfusion.

Authors:  Jeffrey L Carson; Paul A Carless; Paul C Hebert
Journal:  Cochrane Database Syst Rev       Date:  2012-04-18

6.  Blood use in cerebrovascular neurosurgery.

Authors:  Daniel E Couture; Dilantha B Ellegala; Aaron S Dumont; Paul D Mintz; Neal F Kassell
Journal:  Stroke       Date:  2002-04       Impact factor: 7.914

7.  Transfusion strategies for acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

Authors:  Càndid Villanueva; Alan Colomo; Alba Bosch; Mar Concepción; Virginia Hernandez-Gea; Carles Aracil; Isabel Graupera; María Poca; Cristina Alvarez-Urturi; Jordi Gordillo; Carlos Guarner-Argente; Miquel Santaló; Eduardo Muñiz; Carlos Guarner
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2013-01-03       Impact factor: 91.245

8.  Prediction of postdischarge venous thromboembolism using a risk assessment model.

Authors:  James C Iannuzzi; Kate C Young; Michael J Kim; David L Gillespie; John R T Monson; Fergal J Fleming
Journal:  J Vasc Surg       Date:  2013-05-14       Impact factor: 4.268

9.  Beneficial effect of carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients with high-grade carotid stenosis.

Authors:  H J M Barnett; D W Taylor; R B Haynes; D L Sackett; S J Peerless; G G Ferguson; A J Fox; R N Rankin; V C Hachinski; D O Wiebers; M Eliasziw
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  1991-08-15       Impact factor: 91.245

10.  Efficacy of carotid endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid stenosis. The Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study Group.

Authors:  R W Hobson; D G Weiss; W S Fields; J Goldstone; W S Moore; J B Towne; C B Wright
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  1993-01-28       Impact factor: 91.245

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  5 in total

1.  A preoperative risk score for transfusion in infrarenal endovascular aneurysm repair to avoid type and cross.

Authors:  Thomas F X O'Donnell; Katie E Shean; Sarah E Deery; Thomas C F Bodewes; Mark C Wyers; Kerry L O'Brien; Robina Matyal; Marc L Schermerhorn
Journal:  J Vasc Surg       Date:  2017-07-26       Impact factor: 4.268

2.  Preoperative anemia is associated with mortality after carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients.

Authors:  Alexander B Pothof; Thomas C F Bodewes; Thomas F X O'Donnell; Sarah E Deery; Katie Shean; Peter A Soden; Gert J de Borst; Marc L Schermerhorn
Journal:  J Vasc Surg       Date:  2017-08-16       Impact factor: 4.268

3.  Development of a preoperative risk score predicting allogeneic red blood cell transfusion in children undergoing spinal fusion.

Authors:  Lisa Eisler; Stanford Chihuri; Lawrence G Lenke; Lena S Sun; David Faraoni; Guohua Li
Journal:  Transfusion       Date:  2021-11-10       Impact factor: 3.157

4.  External Validation of Risk Prediction Models to Improve Selection of Patients for Carotid Endarterectomy.

Authors:  Michiel H F Poorthuis; Reinier A R Herings; Kirsten Dansey; Johanna A A Damen; Jacoba P Greving; Marc L Schermerhorn; Gert J de Borst
Journal:  Stroke       Date:  2021-10-12       Impact factor: 7.914

5.  Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Type and Screens in Select Endonasal Skull Base Surgeries.

Authors:  Aviv Spillinger; Meredith Allen; Patrick Karabon; Houmehr Hojjat; Kerolos Shenouda; Inaya Hajj Hussein; Jeffrey T Jacob; Peter F Svider; Adam J Folbe
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  5 in total

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