Literature DB >> 23683384

Prediction of postdischarge venous thromboembolism using a risk assessment model.

James C Iannuzzi1, Kate C Young, Michael J Kim, David L Gillespie, John R T Monson, Fergal J Fleming.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The risk of postdischarge venous thromboembolism (VTE) (either deep vein or pulmonary embolism) is increasingly recognized yet the prescription of postdischarge thromboprophylaxis is inconsistent. There is a paucity of information to aid clinicians in identifying surgical patients who are at increased risk for postdischarge VTE. This study aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors associated with symptomatic postdischarge VTE and develop a risk score to identify patients who may benefit from extended duration thromboprophylaxis.
METHODS: This was a retrospective study. All nonorthopedic cases in which the patient was discharged alive without inpatient VTE were selected from the 2005-2009 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. A multivariate logistic regression was used to create a risk score for postdischarge VTE prediction. The dataset was split into two-thirds for risk score development and validated in the remaining one-third.
RESULTS: The overall incidence of early postdischarge VTE for 2005-2009 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was 0.3%. The risk score stratified patients into low, moderate, and high risk for postdischarge VTE with the incidence based on the risk score ranging from 0.07% to 2.2%. The risk score had good predictive ability with c-statistic = 0.72 for model development and c-statistic = 0.71 in the validation dataset. Factors associated with postdischarge VTE on multivariate analysis included race, increasing age, steroid use, body mass index ≥30, malignancy, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists class, increasing operative time, length of postsurgical stay, and major postoperative complication.
CONCLUSIONS: This novel postdischarge VTE prediction score utilizes patient, operative, and early outcome factors to accurately identify patients at increased risk of a postdischarge thromboembolic event. The development of a patient- specific postdischarge VTE risk profile may help address the challenge of determining postdischarge prophylaxis requirements.
Copyright © 2013 Society for Vascular Surgery. Published by Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2013        PMID: 23683384     DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2012.12.073

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Vasc Surg        ISSN: 0741-5214            Impact factor:   4.268


  8 in total

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Authors:  Lars Stangenberg; Thomas Curran; Fahad Shuja; Robert Rosenberg; Feroze Mahmood; Marc L Schermerhorn
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2.  Infection and venous thromboembolism in patients undergoing colorectal surgery: what is the relationship?

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3.  Risk factors for venous thromboembolism after vascular surgery and implications for chemoprophylaxis strategies.

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Journal:  J Thromb Thrombolysis       Date:  2016-07       Impact factor: 2.300

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Journal:  Transplantation       Date:  2022-01-04       Impact factor: 5.385

Review 6.  Untapped potential of multicenter studies: a review of cardiovascular risk prediction models revealed inappropriate analyses and wide variation in reporting.

Authors:  L Wynants; D M Kent; D Timmerman; C M Lundquist; B Van Calster
Journal:  Diagn Progn Res       Date:  2019-02-22

7.  Perioperative Short Term Prophylaxis against Deep Vein Thrombosis after Major Abdominal Cancer Surgery: Retrospective Cohort Study.

Authors:  Nuray Colapkulu-Akgul; Ibrahim Ali Ozemir; Damla Beyazadam; Orhan Alimoglu
Journal:  Vasc Specialist Int       Date:  2021-12-31

8.  Impact of surgeon and hospital factors on length of stay after colorectal surgery systematic review.

Authors:  Zubair Bayat; Keegan Guidolin; Basheer Elsolh; Charmaine De Castro; Erin Kennedy; Anand Govindarajan
Journal:  BJS Open       Date:  2022-09-02
  8 in total

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