| Literature DB >> 27267984 |
Soo Hyun Kim1, Jeong Hoon Yeon1, Kyu Nam Park1, Sang Hoon Oh1, Seung Pill Choi1, Young Min Kim1, Han Joon Kim1, Chun Song Youn2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The objective of the study was to test the hypothesis that elevated red cell distribution width (RDW) at admission increases the risk of mortality in older patients admitted to the emergency department (ED).Entities:
Keywords: Erythrocyte indices; Mortality; Older adults
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27267984 PMCID: PMC4896033 DOI: 10.1186/s13049-016-0274-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med ISSN: 1757-7241 Impact factor: 2.953
Fig. 1Subjects included in this study
Baseline characteristics in patients with or without in-hospital mortality and comparison between patients with and without RDW values
| RDW value recorded | No RDW value recorded |
| |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survivors | Non-survivors |
| Survivors | Non-survivors |
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| Demographics | |||||||
| Age | 74.8 ± 7.2 | 74.9 ± 7.6 | 0.931 | 73.8 ± 6.6 | 77.9 ± 8.3 | 0.553 | 0.001 |
| Sex, male | 887 (46.3) | 49 (66.2) | 0.001 | 402 (51.0) | 11 (57.9) | 0.008 | 0.047 |
| Comorbidities | |||||||
| Cancer | 435 (22.7) | 46 (62.2) | < 0.001 | 152 (19.4) | 7 (36.8) | 0.059 | 0.012 |
| DM | 614 (32.0) | 18 (24.3) | 0.162 | 247 (31.5) | 5 (26.3) | 0.633 | 0.831 |
| HTN | 1182 (61.7) | 33 (44.6) | 0.003 | 485 (61.8) | 14 (73.7) | 0.291 | 0.620 |
| CAD | 286 (14.9) | 5 (6.8) | 0.051 | 80 (10.2) | 4 (21.1) | 0.126 | 0.003 |
| CVA | 244 (12.7) | 6 (8.1) | 0.239 | 91 (11.6) | 4 (21.1) | 0.207 | 0.587 |
| CHF | 61 (3.2) | 5 (6.8) | 0.096 | 17 (2.2) | 1 (5.3) | 0.367 | 0.130 |
| CKD | 134 (7.0) | 8 (10.8) | 0.211 | 106 (13.5) | 2 (10.5) | 0.707 | < 0.001 |
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 259 (13.5) | 17 (23.0) | 0.021 | 91 (11.6) | 3 (15.8) | 0.574 | 0.131 |
| Laboratory Data | |||||||
| BUN, mg//dl | 22.5 ± 16.5 | 34.1 ± 20.7 | < 0.001 | 22.2 ± 13.5 | 29.3 ± 16.7 | 0.108 | 0.630 |
| Creatinine, mg/dl | 1.2 ± 1.4 | 1.5 ± 1.0 | 0.023 | 1.3 ± 1.4 | 2.1 ± 3.3 | 0.465 | 0.426 |
| Hb, mg/dl | 12.6 ± 2.1 | 11.2 ± 2.3 | < 0.001 | 12.6 ± 2.3 | 10.0 ± 2.9 | 0.001 | 0.442 |
| MCV, fL | 91.9 ± 5.6 | 93.3 ± 7.6 | 0.118 | 92.0 ± 6.4 | 91.6 ± 4.5 | 0.815 | 0.910 |
| WBC, 109/L | 8.7 ± 4.1 | 10.6 ± 5.1 | 0.003 | 8.7 ± 10.3 | 14.6 ± 9.0 | 0.073 | 0.963 |
| Sodium, mEq/L | 138.5 ± 5.2 | 135.6 ± 7.5 | 0.002 | 139.1 ± 5.1 | 134.3 ± 6.0 | 0.004 | 0.092 |
| CRP, mg/dl | 3.1 ± 6.0 | 9.0 ± 8.2 | < 0.001 | 2.7 ± 5.2 | 4.6 ± 4.0 | 0.273 | 0.097 |
| ESR, mm/h | 41.8 ± 31.4 | 67.9 ± 36.5 | < 0.001 | 37.1 ± 29.8 | 49.1 ± 41.5 | 0.265 | 0.004 |
| RDW, % | 13.8 ± 1.7 | 15.9 ± 2.5 | < 0.001 | NA | NA | NA | < 0.001 |
| Clinical Score | |||||||
| SOFA | 1.9 ± 1.6 | 4.4 ± 2.7 | < 0.001 | 1.9 ± 1.4 | 5.7 ± 2.3 | < 0.001 | 0.501 |
| LOS | |||||||
| Hospital | 4.97 ± 9.03 | 14.00 ± 11.59 | < 0.001 | 3.6 ± 6.0 | 6.0 ± 7.6 | 0.196 | 0.000 |
| ICU | 0.53 ± 2.45 | 4.00 ± 7.87 | < 0.001 | 0.3 ± 2.0 | 1.5 ± 3.4 | 0.135 | 0.001 |
| Vasopressor | 46 (2.4 %) | 35 (47.3 %) | < 0.001 | 8 (1.0) | 6 (31.6) | < 0,.001 | 0.003 |
| Ventilator | 33 (1.7 %) | 22 (29.7 %) | < 0.001 | 3 (0.4) | 4 (21.1) | < 0,.001 | 0.002 |
Abbreviation: DM diabetes mellitus, HTN hypertension, CAD coronary artery disease, CVA cerebrovascular disease, CHF congestive heart failure, CKD chronic kidney disease, BUN blood urea nitrogen, Hb hemoglobin, MCV mean corpuscular volume, WBC white blood cell, CRP C-reactive protein, ESR erythrocyte sedimentation rate, RDW red cell distribution width, SOFA sequential organ failure score, LOS length of stay
Fig. 2RDW according to discharge status
Odds ratios for all-cause in-hospital mortality events
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95 % CI |
| OR | 95 % CI |
| |
| Age | 1.00 | 0.90 – 1.03 | 0.931 | |||
| Sex, male | 2.27 | 1.39 – 3.71 | 0.001 | 1.84 | 1.10 – 3.13 | 0.022 |
| Cancer | 5.59 | 3.46 – 9.06 | < 0.001 | 4.21 | 2.51 – 7.20 | < 0.001 |
| DM | 0.68 | 0.40 – 1.17 | 0.164 | |||
| HTN | 0.50 | 0.31 – 0.80 | 0.004 | 0.48 | 0.28 – 0.79 | 0.004 |
| CAD | 0.41 | 0.17 – 1.03 | 0.059 | |||
| CVA | 0.61 | 0.26 – 1.41 | 0.243 | |||
| CHF | 2.21 | 0.86 – 5.66 | 0.101 | |||
| CKD | 1.61 | 0.76 – 3.43 | 0.215 | |||
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 1.91 | 1.09 – 3.33 | 0.023 | |||
| BUN | 1.02 | 1.01 – 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.03 | 1.02 – 1.04 | < 0.001 |
| Creatinine | 1.09 | 0.98 – 1.22 | 0.114 | |||
| Hb | 0.77 | 0.70 – 0.85 | < 0.001 | |||
| MCV | 1.05 | 1.00 – 1.09 | 0.032 | 1.05 | 1.01 – 1.09 | 0.011 |
| WBC | 1.07 | 1.03 – 1.11 | 0.001 | |||
| Sodium | 0.93 | 0.90 – 0.96 | < 0.001 | 0.95 | 0.92 – 1.00 | 0.026 |
| CRP | 1.09 | 1.06 – 1.11 | < 0.001 | 1.04 | 1.01 – 1.07 | 0.011 |
| ESR | 1.02 | 1.02 – 1.03 | < 0.001 | 1.01 | 1.00 – 1.02 | 0.027 |
| SOFA | 1.56 | 1.42 – 1.72 | < 0.001 | |||
| RDW | 1.43 | 1.32 – 1.56 | < 0.001 | |||
Abbreviation: OR odds ratios, CI confidence interval, DM diabetes mellitus, HTN hypertension, CAD coronary artery disease, CVA cerebrovascular disease, CHF congestive heart failure, CKD chronic kidney disease, BUN blood urea nitrogen, Hb hemoglobin, MCV mean corpuscular volume, WBC white blood cell, CRP C-reactive protein, ESR erythrocyte sedimentation rate, SOFA sequential organ failure score, RDW red cell distribution width
Odds ratios for RDW in the prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality
| RDW as categorical variable | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quartile | 2nd quartile | 3rd quartile | 4th quartile |
| |
| Model 1 | 1 (Reference) | 1.46 (0.44–5.61) | 1.83 (0.59–6.86) | 5.08 (1.94–17.50) | < 0.001 |
| Model 2 | 1 (Reference) | 1.25 (0.36–4.97) | 1.68 (0.53–6.35) | 3.82 (1.42–13.38) | 0.006 |
| RDW as continuous variable | |||||
| Model 1 | 1.284 (1.160–1.422) | < 0.001 | |||
| Model 2 | 1.218 (1.095–1.355) | < 0.001 | |||
| Model 1: Sex + Cancer + HTN + BUN + MCV + Na + CRP + ESR | |||||
| Model 2: Sex + Cancer + HTN + BUN + MCV + NA + CRP + ESR + SOFA | |||||
Abbreviation: RDW red cell distribution width, OR odds ratios; CI confidence interval
Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value for different cutoff point
| RDW | Sensitivity (95 % CI) | Specificity (95 % CI) | PPV (95 % CI) | NPV (95 % CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 12.8 | 94.6 (86.7 – 98.5) | 23.3 (21.4 – 25.2) | 4.5 (3.6–5.7) | 99.1 (97.7 – 99.8) |
| ≥ 13.4 | 83.8 (73.4 – 91.3) | 51.2 (48.9 – 53.4) | 6.2 (4.8 – 7.9) | 98.8 (97.9 – 99.4) |
| ≥ 14.3 | 70.3 (58.5 – 80.3) | 75.3 (73.3 – 77.2) | 9.9 (7.5 – 12.8) | 98.5 (97.7 – 99.1) |
| ≥ 14.5a | 67.6 (55.7 – 78.0) | 79.0 (77.1 – 80.8) | 11 (8.3 – 14.3) | 98.4 (97.7 – 99.0) |
Abbreviation: RDW red cell distribution width, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, CI confidence interval
abest cutoff value
Fig. 3Prognostic value of RDW for the prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality. (1) Crude model (AUC 0.858, 95 % CI 0.842–0.873); (2) Crude model with RDW (AUC 0.873, 95 % CI 0.857–0.887); (3) Crude model with SOFA (AUC 0.894, 95 % CI 0.880–0.907); (4) Crude model with RDW and SOFA (AUC 0.903, 95 % CI 0.889–0.916)