| Literature DB >> 27247957 |
Mohammad Azimi1, Kyle Schmaus1, Valerie Greger2, Dana Neitzel2, Robert Rochelle2, Tuan Dinh1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Compared with conventional genotyping, which typically tests for a limited number of mutations, next-generation DNA sequencing (NGS) provides increased accuracy for carrier screening. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of carrier screening using NGS versus genotyping for 14 of the recessive disorders for which medical society guidelines recommend screening.Entities:
Keywords: Carrier screening; cost effectiveness; genotyping; next‐generation sequencing
Year: 2016 PMID: 27247957 PMCID: PMC4867563 DOI: 10.1002/mgg3.204
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Mol Genet Genomic Med ISSN: 2324-9269 Impact factor: 2.183
Figure 1Decision tree: (A) preconception branch and (B) prenatal and no screening branches.
Key parameters, assumptions, modeling approaches, and sources
| Model parameter | Assumptions and approaches | Sources |
|---|---|---|
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| Decisions of couples identified as carriers during preconception screening |
Probability of conceiving at risk and screening the fetus postconception: 50% (46–54%) | Snowdon and Green ( |
| Decision of couples identified as carriers during prenatal carrier screening | To screen fetus: 80% (50–100%) | Rowley et al. ( |
| Decision following identification of affected fetus | To terminate pregnancy: 75% (50–100%) | Rowley et al. ( |
| Decision following identification of a carrier in one partner | To screen partner: 85% (50–100%) | Rowley et al. ( |
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| Ethnic distribution |
Non‐Hispanic White: 65% | American Congress of Obstetricians and Gynecologists ( |
| Mutation carrier rate | See Appendix S1 | American Congress of Obstetricians and Gynecologists ( |
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| Life expectancy of healthy offspring | Based on United States Life Tables from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention | Arias ( |
| Life expectancy of affected offspring | See Appendix S1 | |
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| Carrier screening (both NGS and genotyping) | $500 ($300–$800) | Averaged from an author survey of U.S. commercial genetic test providers |
| Pregnancy termination | $2614 ($1960–$3267) | Rowley et al. ( |
| Assisted reproductive technology | $41,132 ($30,489–$51,415) | Brock ( |
| Fetal screening | $1500 ($1000–$2000) | Song et al. ( |
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| Genotyping detection rates and NGS mutation detection rates | See Appendix S1 | Scott et al. ( |
ICSI, intracytoplasmic sperm injection; IVF, in vitro fertilization; NGS, next‐generation DNA sequencing; PGD, preimplantation genetic diagnosis.
Summary of results
| Outcomes | No screening | Carrier screening by genotyping | Carrier screening by NGS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | |||
| Number of couples | 1,000,000 | ||
| Number of couples with at least one carrier | 83,421 | ||
| Couples with a single carrier | 81,964 | ||
| Couples with two carriers of the same disorder | 1457 | ||
| Affected births | 364 | 162 | 141 |
| Number of affected births averted | 0 | 202 | 223 |
| LYs gained as compared with no screening | 0 | 7918 | 8636 |
| Costs | |||
| Lifetime treatment costs of 14 recessive disorders | $415 million | $159 million | $140 million |
| ART cost + Termination cost + Traditional prenatal screening of the fetus | $0 million | $5.3 million | $4.7 million |
| Genetic screening costs | $0 | $519 million | $525 million |
| Total lifetime healthcare costs related to recessive disorders (including ART, pregnancy termination, fetal screening) | $415 million | $683 million | $670 million |
| Cost effectiveness | |||
| Cost per LY gained as compared with no screening | $33,812 | $29,498 | |
| Cost per affected birth avoided as compared to no screening | $1.33 million | $1.14 million | |
ART, assisted reproductive technology; LY, life year; NGS, next‐generation DNA sequencing.
Figure 2Projected composition of carrier status by ethnicity (simulated data), all disorders considered. Note the logarithmic y‐axis which shows orders of magnitude difference between number of couples and carrier couples.
Figure 3(A) Number of affected births prevented using next‐generation DNA sequencing (NGS) versus genotyping for carrier screening (simulated data). (B) Total life years gained from cases of genetic disorders averted (simulated data). (C) Healthcare costs for different screening scenarios (simulated data).