| Literature DB >> 27224925 |
Peng Song1, Lei Wu2, Bo Jiang1, Zhijian Liu1, Ke Cao3, Wenxian Guan1.
Abstract
Prognosis of age at diagnosis for gastric cancer (GC) has been investigated in a few studies with inconclusive results. To assess the survival of GC across different age groups, we searched the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1988-2010) and identified 10,092 patients undergoing gastrectomy. Analyses of the associations between age and 5-year GC-specific survival (GCSS) were carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model. When the 50-59 year age group was used as reference group, patients younger than 50 years suffered similar survival rates, and the risk of death increased for patients older than 60 years (hazard ratio [HR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.20), peaking for ages > 80 years (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.46-1.76). Overall, HRs of 5-year GCSS increased steadily with age, even when age was evaluated as a continuous variable. We assessed the survival differences associated with age between three groups, using the cut-off ages of 30 and 50 years. Compared with the elderly group, a high survival rate was observed in the mid-age group, but not in the youngest group. Stratified analysis for sex, race, tumor site, histology and clinical stage yielded consistent results. This study shows that the prognosis of GC varies with age, and young GC patients appear to have a favorable GCSS after surgical treatment. Further studies are warranted to verify our findings.Entities:
Keywords: SEER; age; gastric cancer; prognosis
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27224925 PMCID: PMC5217043 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.9548
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Characteristics and clinical features of gastric cancer patients
| Study Period 1988-2003 | Study Period 2004-2010 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Patients | Deaths | Patients | Deaths | |||||
| No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | ||
| Median 25, IQR 11-109 | Median 30, IQR 14-54 | ||||||||
| < 30 | 30 | 0.6 | 19 | 0.6 | 30 | 0.6 | 11 | 0.4 | < 0.001 |
| 30-39 | 180 | 3.6 | 100 | 3.1 | 147 | 2.9 | 58 | 2.3 | |
| 40-49 | 508 | 10.1 | 282 | 8.7 | 507 | 10.1 | 230 | 8.9 | |
| 50-59 | 898 | 17.8 | 561 | 17.3 | 1046 | 20.7 | 467 | 18.1 | |
| 60-69 | 1354 | 26.8 | 865 | 26.7 | 1356 | 26.9 | 664 | 25.7 | |
| 70-79 | 1488 | 29.5 | 990 | 30.6 | 1296 | 25.7 | 718 | 27.8 | |
| ≥ 80 | 589 | 11.7 | 421 | 13.0 | 663 | 13.1 | 434 | 16.8 | |
| Female | 1970 | 39.0 | 1179 | 36.4 | 1890 | 37.5 | 957 | 37.1 | 0.105 |
| Male | 3077 | 61.0 | 2059 | 63.6 | 3155 | 62.5 | 1625 | 62.9 | |
| White | 3050 | 60.4 | 2062 | 63.7 | 3230 | 64.0 | 1732 | 67.1 | < 0.001 |
| Black | 584 | 11.6 | 370 | 11.4 | 611 | 12.1 | 330 | 12.8 | |
| Other | 1413 | 28.0 | 806 | 24.9 | 1204 | 23.9 | 520 | 20.1 | |
| Cardia | 1206 | 23.9 | 886 | 27.4 | 1395 | 27.7 | 770 | 29.8 | < 0.001 |
| Non-cardia | 2956 | 58.6 | 1718 | 53.1 | 2879 | 57.1 | 1355 | 52.5 | |
| Other | 885 | 17.5 | 634 | 19.6 | 771 | 15.3 | 457 | 17.7 | |
| Intestinal | 927 | 18.4 | 558 | 17.2 | 1211 | 24.0 | 531 | 20.6 | < 0.001 |
| Diffuse | 1474 | 29.2 | 997 | 30.8 | 1491 | 29.6 | 853 | 33.0 | |
| Unknown | 2646 | 52.4 | 1683 | 52.0 | 2343 | 46.4 | 1198 | 46.4 | |
| I | 829 | 16.4 | 211 | 6.5 | 1132 | 22.4 | 199 | 7.7 | < 0.001 |
| II | 1187 | 23.5 | 551 | 17.0 | 1301 | 25.8 | 519 | 20.1 | |
| III | 3031 | 60.1 | 2476 | 76.5 | 2612 | 51.8 | 1864 | 72.2 | |
Two-sided χ2 test for the frequency distributions of patients between the period 1988-2003 and 2004-2010.
Including American Indian, Alaska Native, Asian, Pacific Islander and Unknown.
Including Site overlapping, Unspecified and Unknown.
IQR: interquartile range (from 75th percentile to the 25th percentile).
Figure 1Distribution of sex and TNM stage among age groups for two study periods
A. Study period 1988-2003, B. Study period 2004-2010. The primary vertical axis on the left refers to patient number, whereas the secondary vertical axis on the right side refers to the proportion of patients within various categories.
Figure 2The prognosis of gastric cancer patients for different age groups
A. Kaplan-Meier estimates of gastric cancer-specific survival (GCSS) in different age groups for study period 1988-2003. B. Kaplan-Meier estimates of GCSS in different age groups for study period 2004-2010. C. Estimates of hazard ratios (HRs) of 5-year GCSS changing with age using quartic polynomial regression for study period 1988-2003. D. Estimates of HRs of 5-year GCSS changing with age using quartic polynomial regression for study period 2004-2010. The solid red lines represent HR estimates, and the solid blue lines represent 95% confidence intervals. R2 represent the coefficient of determination.
Analysis of gastric cancer-specific survival across different age groups
| Overall | Non-cardia | Cardia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Death/Patients (%) | HR (95% CI) | Death/Patients (%) | HR (95% CI) | Death/Patients (%) | HR (95% CI) | |
| < 30 | 30/60 (50.0) | 0.93 (0.65-1.34) | 17/35 (48.6) | 0.95 (0.59-1.56) | 7/11 (63.6) | 0.78 (0.37-1.67) |
| 30-39 | 158/327 (48.3) | 0.89 (0.75-1.05) | 81/188 (43.1) | 37/73 (50.9) | 0.72 (0.51-1.01) | |
| 40-49 | 512/1015 (50.4) | 0.93 (0.83-1.03) | 273/591 (46.2) | 1.01 (0.86-1.17) | 132/249 (53.0) | |
| 50-59 | 1028/1944 (52.9) | Reference | 456/1024 (44.5) | reference | 382/620 (61.6) | reference |
| 60-69 | 1529/2710 (56.4) | 745/1476 (50.5) | 499/796 (62.7) | 1.13 (0.99-1.30) | ||
| 70-79 | 1708/2784 (61.4) | 956/1675 (57.1) | 443/652 (67.9) | |||
| ≥ 80 | 855/1252 (68.3) | 545/846 (64.4) | 156/200 (78.0) |
Univariate Cox regression
Multivariate Cox regression, adjusted for sex, race, histology and TNM stage.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 3Estimates of hazard ratios (HRs) of 5-year gastric cancer-specific survival changing among different age groups for entire cohort under different TNM stage
A. The overall group, B. The non-cardia cancer type group. C. The cardia cancer type group. The circles represent the number of patients.
Figure 4Relationship between age and hazard ratio of 5-year gastric cancer-specific survival
A. overall group, B. non-cardia cancer type group. C. cardia cancer type group. The hazard ratio is related to an unspecified baseline hazard function for the reference with all covariates equal to 0. Box plot at the bottom shows the distribution of age.
Figure 5Relationship between age and hazard ratios of 5-year gastric cancer-specific survival under different TNM stage
A. Overall group, B. Non-cardia cancer type group. C. Cardia cancer type group. The hazard ratio is related to an unspecified baseline hazard function for the reference with all covariates equal to 0.
Stratified analysis of age at diagnosis associated with gastric cancer patients' survival
| Extremely young group | Young group | Elderly group | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Death/Patients (%) | HR (95% CI) | Death/Patients (%) | HR (95% CI) | Death/Patients (%) | |
| 30/60 (50.0) | 0.78 (0.54-1.11) | 670/1342 (49.9) | 5120/8690 (58.9) | |||
| 0.033 | ||||||
| Female | 13/26 (50.0) | 0.84 (0.48-1.45) | 280/554 (50.5) | 1843/3280 (56.2) | ||
| Male | 17/34 (50.0) | 0.74 (0.46-1.19) | 390/788 (49.5) | 3277/5410 (60.6) | ||
| < 0.001 | ||||||
| White | 18/38 (30.0) | 0.67 (0.42-1.06) | 430/805 (53.4) | 3346/5437 (61.5) | ||
| Black | 3/5 (60.0) | 1.26 (0.40-3.98) | 115/225 (51.1) | 582/965 (60.3) | ||
| Other | 9/17 (52.9) | 0.98 (0.51-1.89) | 125/312 (40.1) | 1192/2288 (52.1) | ||
| 0.113 | ||||||
| Cardia | 7/11 (63.6) | 0.65 (0.31-1.38) | 169/322 (52.5) | 1480/2268 (65.3) | ||
| Non-cardia | 17/35 (48.6) | 0.67 (0.41-1.09) | 354/779 (45.4) | 2802/5021 (53.8) | ||
| Other | 6/14 (42.9) | 0.53 (0.24-1.19) | 147/241 (61.0) | 938/1401 (67.0) | ||
| < 0.001 | ||||||
| Intestinal | 4/7 (57.1) | 1.04 (0.39-2.80) | 67/160 (41.9) | 1018/1971 (51.7) | ||
| Diffuse | 17/33 (51.5) | 0.64 (0.39-1.03) | 349/649 (53.8) | 1484/2283 (65.0) | ||
| Other | 9/20 (45.0) | 0.76 (0.40-1.48) | 254/533 (47.7) | 2618/4436 (59.0) | ||
| < 0.001 | ||||||
| I | 2/11 (18.2) | 0.85 (0.21-3.42) | 10/225 (4.4) | 398/1725 (23.1) | ||
| II | 4/9 (44.4) | 0.91 (0.34-2.44) | 90/285 (31.6) | 976/2194 (44.5) | ||
| III | 24/40 (60.0) | 570/832 (68.1) | 3746/4771 (78.5) | |||
Univariate Cox regression, using the elderly group as referent.
Two-sided χ2 test for the frequency distributions of patients among the three groups.
Including American Indian, Alaska Native, Asian, Pacific Islander and Unknown.
Including Site overlapping, Unspecified and Unknown.
Multivariate Cox regression, adjusted for sex, race, histology and TNM stage.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 6Kaplan-Meier estimates of gastric cancer-specific survival among three groups (age < 30 years group, age 30-50 years group, age ≥ 50 years group)
A. The overall group, B. Stage I group, C. Stage II group, D. Stage III group.