| Literature DB >> 27145176 |
Nitipong Homwong1,2, Andres Diaz1, Stephanie Rossow1, Max Ciarlet3, Douglas Marthaler1.
Abstract
Rotaviruses (RV) are important causes of diarrhea in animals, especially in domestic animals. Of the 9 RV species, rotavirus A, B, and C (RVA, RVB, and RVC, respectively) had been established as important causes of diarrhea in pigs. The Minnesota Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory receives swine stool samples from North America to determine the etiologic agents of disease. Between November 2009 and October 2011, 7,508 samples from pigs with diarrhea were submitted to determine if enteric pathogens, including RV, were present in the samples. All samples were tested for RVA, RVB, and RVC by real time RT-PCR. The majority of the samples (82%) were positive for RVA, RVB, and/or RVC. To better understand the risk factors associated with RV infections in swine diagnostic samples, three-level mixed-effects logistic regression models (3L-MLMs) were used to estimate associations among RV species, age, and geographical variability within the major swine production regions in North America. The conditional odds ratios (cORs) for RVA and RVB detection were lower for 1-3 day old pigs when compared to any other age group. However, the cOR of RVC detection in 1-3 day old pigs was significantly higher (p < 0.001) than pigs in the 4-20 days old and >55 day old age groups. Furthermore, pigs in the 21-55 day old age group had statistically higher cORs of RV co-detection compared to 1-3 day old pigs (p < 0.001). The 3L-MLMs indicated that RV status was more similar within states than among states or within each region. Our results indicated that 3L-MLMs are a powerful and adaptable tool to handle and analyze large-hierarchical datasets. In addition, our results indicated that, overall, swine RV epidemiology is complex, and RV species are associated with different age groups and vary by regions in North America.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27145176 PMCID: PMC4856330 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0154734
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Percentages of any RV positive samples by state.
The shading represents variation in percentage of positive samples.
Fig 2Percentages of RVA, RVB, and RVC samples by state.
The color represented highest prevalence of the RV species (green represents RVA, purple represents RVB, blue represents RVC while pink represents equal percentages of RVA and RVC.
Fig 3Percentages of positive RVAB, RVAC, RVBC and RVABC sample by state.
Descriptive statistics of RV positive samples by regions.
| Region | Positive for Rotavirus, N (%) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any RV | A | B | C | AB | AC | BC | ABC | Total | |
| Midwest | 4544 (81.3%) | 3435 (61.5%) | 1851 (33.1%) | 2801 (50.1%) | 487 (8.7%) | 870 (15.6%) | 158 (2.8%) | 1014 (18.1%) | 5590 |
| South-central | 644 (85.4%) | 338 (44.8%) | 258 (34.2%) | 469 (62.2%) | 52 (6.9%) | 80 (10.6%) | 43 (5.7%) | 123 (16.3%) | 754 |
| Southeast | 258 (89.6%) | 202 (70.1%) | 91 (31.6%) | 144 (50%) | 30 (10.4%) | 61 (21.2%) | 14 (4.9%) | 37 (12.9%) | 288 |
| Other-USA | 626 (81.6%) | 422 (55.0%) | 175 (22.8%) | 387 (50.5%) | 58 (7.6%) | 123 (16.0%) | 15 (2%) | 81 (10.6%) | 767 |
| Non-USA | 86 (78.9%) | 68 (62.4%) | 13 (11.9%) | 32 (29.4%) | 7 (6.4%) | 16 (14.7%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (1.8%) | 109 |
| Total | 6158 (82%) | 4465 (59.5%) | 2388 (31.8%) | 3833 (51.1%) | 634 (8.4%) | 1150 (15.3%) | 230 (3.1%) | 1257 (16.7%) | 7508 |
1 Total across all RV may exceed the number of samples submitted because a sample may be positive more than one category.
2 Midwest (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, North Dakota, Wisconsin).
South-central (Oklahoma, Texas).
Southeast (North Carolina South Carolina).
Other-USA (South Dakota, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Arizona, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, Vermont, Wyoming).
Non-USA (Mexico and Canada).
Fig 4Percentages of positive RVA, RVB, and RVC samples by month.
Red, green, and blue dots represent the percentage of positive RVA, RVB, and RVC samples, respectively. Time-series were smoothed by Locally Weighted Regression method, and the gray area represents 95% confidence interval for the fitted line.
Model selection for three-level mixed-effects logistic regression models.
| Model | Model specification | AIC/Pseudo-AIC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed effect | Random effect | |||||||||||
| Age | Region | Interaction (Age:Region) | Region | States | RVA | RVB | RVC | RVAB | RVAC | RVBC | RVABC | |
| 1 | ✓ | 8916.7 | 8452.7 | 10162.0 | 4226.4 | 6294.5 | 1998.4 | 6041.7 | ||||
| 2 | ✓ | 10051.9 | 9340.7 | 10353.7 | 4351.2 | 6417.6 | 2037.9 | 6732.7 | ||||
| 3 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 30891.0 | 31344.2 | 29334.9 | 37917.2 | 33945.2 | NA | NA |
| 4 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 30869.3 | 31291.9 | 29244.1 | NA | 33823.6 | NA | 35075.3 | |
| 5 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 30846.2 | 31259 | 29224 | 37757.6 | 33775.5 | 44303.6 | 35011.2 | ||
| COVTEST for Model 5 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||
1AIC for univariate models (Models 1 and 2) and Pseudo-AIC for three-level mixed-effects models (Models 3–5).
2Final model is indicated by lowest Pseudo-AIC.
NA means the models did not converge.
The final model (age as fixed effect, with region and state as random effect) of three-level mixed-effects logistic regression.
| Component | RVA | RVB | RVC | RVAB | RVAC | RVBC | RVABC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–3 days | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4–20 days | 1.96 | 1.86 | 0.53 | 1.72 | 1.26 (0.99–1.61) | 0.91 (0.52–1.58) | 3.80 |
| 21–55 days | 11.56 | 8.06 | 0.96 (0.82–1.12) | 4.15 | 2.33 | 1.83 | 19.40 |
| >55 days | 3.65 | 8.69 | 0.55 | 4.39 | 0.9 (0.68–1.19) | 3.64 | 13.51 |
| Region, γ2 (SE) | 0.032 (0.067) | 0.06 (0.091) | - | - | 0.021 (0.115) | 0.044 (0.162) | 0.074 (0.179) |
| States, τ2 (SE) | 0.113 (0.063) | 0.087 (0.065) | 0.126 (0.051) | 0.004 (0.010) | 0.102 (0.075) | 0.172 (0.122) | 0.152 (0.103) |
| ρ(region) | 0.009 | 0.017 | - | - | 0.006 | 0.013 | 0.021 |
| ρ(States, region) | 0.042 | 0.043 | 0.037 | 0.001 | 0.036 | 0.061 | 0.064 |
| Pseudo-AIC | 30846.23 | 31259.05 | 29224 | 37757.55 | 33775.54 | 44303.59 | 35011.2 |
ap-value < 0.05.
bp-value < 0.01.
cp-value < 0.001.
ρ(region) = γ2 / (γ2+τ2+π2/3), ρ(states, region) = (γ2 +τ2)/ (γ2+τ2+π2/3).
SE is standards of error of means.