| Literature DB >> 27079649 |
Miranda R Jones1, Corinne E Joshu2, Norma Kanarek3, Ana Navas-Acien4, Kelly A Richardson5, Elizabeth A Platz6.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: In the United States, prostate cancer mortality rates have declined in recent decades. Cigarette smoking, a risk factor for prostate cancer death, has also declined. It is unknown whether declines in smoking prevalence produced detectable declines in prostate cancer mortality. We examined state prostate cancer mortality rates in relation to changes in cigarette smoking.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27079649 PMCID: PMC4852753 DOI: 10.5888/pcd13.150454
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Prev Chronic Dis ISSN: 1545-1151 Impact factor: 2.830
Smoking and Mortality Rates for Prostate Cancer and External Causes Among Men Aged 35 Years or Older in 4 States, BRFSS, 1999–2010 and CDC WONDER, 1999–2010
| Characteristic | California | Kentucky | Maryland | Utah |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9,009,384 | 1,114,787 | 1,444,239 | 553,693 |
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| 1999 | 19.9 | 31.7 | 20.9 | 14.8 |
| 2010 | 12.8 | 23.7 | 15.6 | 9.4 |
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| Number of deaths | 36,318 | 4,883 | 6,539 | 2,242 |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 56.1 | 65.7 | 68.4 | 64.2 |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 41.4 | 42.3 | 43.6 | 51.4 |
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| Number | 88,473 | 16,569 | 16,405 | 6,753 |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 89.7 | 123.6 | 103.1 | 115.8 |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 90.0 | 159.4 | 97.0 | 124.2 |
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| 4,603,645 | 1,006,663 | 905,567 | 473,530 |
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| 1999 | 19.7 | 31.9 | 19.0 | 14.4 |
| 2010 | 11.4 | 22.6 | 14.0 | 8.9 |
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| Number | 26,104 | 4,350 | 4,156 | 2,131 |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 57.8 | 63.0 | 56.8 | 63.3 |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 43.6 | 41.2 | 33.9 | 52.5 |
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| Number | 57,594 | 15,575 | 10,580 | 6,086 |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 96.6 | 125.2 | 92.4 | 112.8 |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 110.5 | 168.2 | 101.5 | 127.7 |
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| 550,147 | 73,278 | 371,891 | 5,755 |
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| 1999 | 27.3 | 26.5 | 30.2 | — |
| 2010 | 19.5 | 35.9 | 21.8 | — |
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| Number | 3,970 | 502 | 2,259 | — |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 125.0 | 109.5 | 137.6 | — |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 86.5 | 70.5 | 88.0 | — |
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| Number | 7,430 | 791 | 5,139 | — |
| 1999, per 100,000 | 117.4 | 113.1 | 144.7 | — |
| 2010, per 100,000 | 105.4 | 80.8 | 101.5 | — |
Abbreviations: BRFSS, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; CDC WONDER, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research.
Men aged 35 or older in 2010. The number for overall does not equal the total for whites and blacks because that number includes all men in the state, irrespective of race/ethnicity.
Values for smoking status are weighted percentages (incorporating sampling weights) for 1999 and 2010.
Total deaths from select causes from 1999 to 2010
Insufficient data for current smoking, prostate cancer mortality rates, and mortality from external causes for black men in Utah (≤20 participants for current smoking or ≤20 deaths for mortality outcomes for all years).
FigureTrends in cigarette smoking and prostate cancer mortality rates among men aged 35 years or older, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and CDC WONDER, 1999–2010. Solid lines represent trends in the weighted prevalence of cigarette smoking among men aged 35 years or older, and dashed lines represent trends in age-adjusted prostate cancer mortality rates for men aged 35 years or older. Abbreviation: CDC WONDER, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research.
Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC)a in Current Smoking and Mortality Rates for Prostate Cancer and External Causes Among Men Aged 35 Years or Older in 4 States, by State and Race, BRFSS, 1999–2010, and CDC WONDER, 1999–2010
| Characteristic | California, AAPC (95% CI) | Kentucky, AAPC (95% CI) | Maryland, AAPC (95% CI) | Utah, AAPC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Current smoker | −3.5 (−4.4 to −2.5) | −3.0 (−4.0 to −1.9) | −3.0 (−7.0 to 1.2) | −3.5 (−5.6 to −1.3) |
| Prostate cancer | −2.5 (−2.9 to −2.2) | −3.5 (−4.3 to −2.7) | −3.5 (−4.1 to −3.0) | −2.1 (−3.8 to −0.4) |
| Mortality from external causes | 0.8 (−0.3 to 1.9) | 1.8 (1.0 to 2.5) | −0.4 (−1.8 to 1.1) | 0.5 (−0.1 to 1.2) |
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| Current smoker | −4.0 (−5.2 to −2.9) | −3.4 (−4.7 to −2.1) | −3.9 (−5.2 to −2.7) | −3.8 (−5.9 to −1.7) |
| Prostate cancer mortality rates | −2.4 (−2.8 to −1.9) | −3.4 (−4.4 to −2.4) | −3.7 (−4.6 to −2.9) | −1.8 (−3.5 to 0) |
| Mortality from external causes | 2.1 (1.0 to 3.2) | 2.1 (1.3 to 3.0) | 1.3 (0.4 to 2.2) | 1.1 (0.3 to 1.8) |
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| Current smoker | −1.8 (−4.9 to 1.4) | 0.7 (−3.5 to 5.0) | −5.0 (−7.4 to −2.6) | — |
| Prostate cancer mortality rates | −2.7 (−4.1 to −1.2) | −2.8 (−5.9 to 0.4) | −4.0 (−5.4 to −2.6) | — |
| Mortality from external causes | −0.6 (−4.3 to 3.4) | −2.5 (−4.7 to −0.3) | −2.0 (−3.2 to −0.7) | — |
Abbreviations: AAPC, average annual percentage change; BRFSS, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; CDC WONDER, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research; CI, confidence interval.
Based on weighted prevalence (for current smoking) or mortality rates age adjusted to the 2000 US standard million population (for prostate cancer mortality rates and mortality from external causes) from 1999 through 2010, analyzed by the Joinpoint Regression Program, version 4.1.0 (National Cancer Institute), allowing up to 2 joinpoints.
Data on smoking are from BRFSS 1999–2010 (10); data on mortality rates are from CDC WONDER (11).
Insufficient data for current smoking, prostate cancer mortality rates, and mortality from external causes for black men in Utah (≤20 participants for current smoking or ≤20 deaths for mortality outcomes for all years).
| Year | Weighted Prevalence of Cigarette Smoking, % | Age-Adjusted Prostate Cancer Mortality Rate (per 100,000) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | Kentucky | Maryland | Utah | California | Kentucky | Maryland | Utah | |
| 1999 | 19.9 | 31.7 | 20.9 | 14.8 | 56.1 | 65.7 | 68.4 | 64.2 |
| 2000 | 18.8 | 30.8 | 20.9 | 11.4 | 53.8 | 64.0 | 62.5 | 54.9 |
| 2001 | 18.3 | 29.0 | 23.4 | 14.4 | 51.0 | 53.6 | 62.7 | 59.1 |
| 2002 | 18.8 | 33.8 | 21.3 | 13.5 | 51.8 | 55.9 | 62.4 | 57.1 |
| 2003 | 18.7 | 31.5 | 21.7 | 14.3 | 49.5 | 53.5 | 57.9 | 55.5 |
| 2004 | 15.6 | 28.2 | 20.2 | 10.3 | 48.2 | 53.5 | 57.5 | 48.8 |
| 2005 | 16.5 | 28.2 | 18.2 | 12.6 | 48.1 | 53.6 | 51.4 | 48.6 |
| 2006 | 16.6 | 26.6 | 15.8 | 9.0 | 44.5 | 52.5 | 51.8 | 55.7 |
| 2007 | 15.0 | 25.2 | 16.2 | 13.1 | 45.4 | 48.8 | 52.4 | 57.2 |
| 2008 | 15.8 | 24.1 | 14.0 | 11.1 | 43.6 | 46.7 | 49.5 | 50.2 |
| 2009 | 14.5 | 24.0 | 13.9 | 10.2 | 43.7 | 43.8 | 48.0 | 39.8 |
| 2010 | 12.8 | 23.7 | 15.6 | 9.4 | 41.4 | 42.3 | 43.6 | 51.4 |