| Literature DB >> 27047728 |
Li Li1, Yalin Lei1, Dongyan Pan2, Chen Yu1, Chunyan Si1.
Abstract
Air deterioration caused by pollution has harmed public health. The existing studies on the economic loss caused by a variety of air pollutants in multiple cities are lacking. To understand the effect of different pollutants on public health and to provide the basis of the environmental governance for governments, based on the dose-response relation and the willingness to pay, this paper used the latest available data of the inhalable particulate matter (PM10) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) from January 2015 to June 2015 in 74 cities by establishing the lowest and the highest limit scenarios. The results show that (1) in the lowest and highest limit scenario, the health-related economic loss caused by PM10 and SO2 represented 1.63 and 2.32 % of the GDP, respectively; (2) For a single city, in the lowest and the highest limit scenarios, the highest economic loss of the public health effect caused by PM10 and SO2 was observed in Chongqing; the highest economic loss of the public health effect per capita occurred in Hebei Baoding. The highest proportion of the health-related economic loss accounting for GDP was found in Hebei Xingtai. The main reason is that the terrain conditions are not conducive to the spread of air pollutants in Chongqing, Baoding and Xingtai, and the three cities are typical heavy industrial cities that are based on coal resources. Therefore, this paper proposes to improve the energy structure, use the advanced production process, reasonably control the urban population growth, and adopt the emissions trading system in order to reduce the economic loss caused by the effects of air pollution on public health.Entities:
Keywords: 74 cities; Air pollution; China; The economic loss; The public health effect
Year: 2016 PMID: 27047728 PMCID: PMC4816944 DOI: 10.1186/s40064-016-2024-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Springerplus ISSN: 2193-1801
The dose–response relationship and the loss value estimation of the public health effects
| Coefficient of the dose–response relationship | Loss value estimation (yuan, the price in 2002) | Loss value estimation (yuan, the mean price from January 2015 to June 2015) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The lower limit scenario | The highest limit scenario | Ho and Jorgenson’s estimation | Modified estimation | |
| Effects of PM10 on public health | ||||
| Premature death | 1.3 | 2.6 | 370,000 | 528,370.2 |
| Hospitalization caused by respiratory disease | 12 | 12 | 1751 | 2500.5 |
| Emergency | 235 | 235 | 142 | 202.8 |
| Number of restriction days | 18,400 | 57,500 | 14 | 20 |
| Lower respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 23 | 23 | 80 | 114.2 |
| Asthma | 1770 | 2608 | 2.5 | 3.57 |
| Chronic bronchitis | 61 | 61 | 48,000 | 68,545.33 |
| Respiratory symptoms | 49,820 | 183,000 | 3.7 | 5.28 |
| Effects of SO2 on public health | ||||
| Premature death | 1 | 2.6 | 370,000 | 528,370.2 |
| Chest discomfort | 10,000 | 10,000 | 6.2 | 8.85 |
| Lower respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 5 | 5 | 6.2 | 8.85 |
Source: Ho and Jorgenson (2007)
Fig. 1Monthly mean concentration of SO2 in China’s 74 cities
Fig. 2Monthly mean concentration of PM10 in China’s 74 cities
The total lowest economic loss caused by the effects of air pollutants on public health in 74 cities
| Coefficient of the dose–response relation | Cases | Loss value estimation (yuan, the mean price from January 2015 to June 2015) | Economic loss (million yuan) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effects of PM10 on public health | ||||
| Premature death | 1.3 | 70,014 | 528,370.2 | 36,993.31 |
| Hospitalization caused by respiratory disease | 12 | 646,282 | 2500.5 | 1616.03 |
| Emergency | 235 | 12,656,359 | 202.8 | 2566.71 |
| Number of restriction days | 18,400 | 990,965,979 | 20 | 19,819.32 |
| The lowest respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 23 | 1,238,707 | 114.2 | 141.46 |
| Asthma | 1770 | 95,326,619 | 3.57 | 340.32 |
| Chronic bronchitis | 61 | 3,285,268 | 68,545.33 | 225,189.78 |
| Respiratory symptoms | 49,820 | 2,683,148,101 | 5.28 | 14,167.02 |
| Total economic loss of the public health effect caused by PM10 | 300,833.95 | |||
| Effects of SO2 on public health | ||||
| Premature death | 1 | 14,903 | 528,370.2 | 7874.30 |
| Chest discomfort | 10,000 | 149,030,000 | 8.85 | 1318.92 |
| The lowest respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 5 | 74,515 | 8.85 | 0.66 |
| Total economic loss caused by the effects of SO2 on public health effect | 9193.88 | |||
| Total economic loss related to public health effects | 310,027.82 | |||
| Economic loss related to public health effects per capita | 598 yuan | |||
| GDP in the 74 cities | 18,987,854 | |||
| Total economic loss of the public health effects accounting for the GDP | 1.63 % | |||
The total highest economic loss of the public health effect caused by the air pollutant in 74 cities
| The coefficient of the dose–response relation | Cases | the loss value estimation (yuan, the mean price from January 2015 to June 2015) | economic loss (million yuan) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PM10’s public health effect | ||||
| Premature death | 2.6 | 140,028 | 528,370.2 | 73,986.62 |
| Hospitalization caused by respiratory disease | 12 | 646,282 | 2500.5 | 1616.03 |
| Emergency | 235 | 12,656,359 | 202.8 | 2566.71 |
| The number of restriction days | 57,500 | 3,096,768,683 | 20 | 61,935.37 |
| Lower respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 23 | 1,238,707 | 114.2 | 141.46 |
| Asthma | 2608 | 140,458,656 | 3.57 | 501.44 |
| Chronic bronchitis | 61 | 3,285,268 | 68,545.33 | 225,189.78 |
| Respiratory symptoms | 183,000 | 9,855,802,940 | 5.28 | 52,038.64 |
| The total economic loss of the public health effect caused by PM10 | 417,976.05 | |||
| SO2’s public health effect | ||||
| Premature death | 2.6 | 38,748 | 528,370.2 | 20,473.29 |
| Chest discomfort | 10,000 | 149,030,000 | 8.85 | 1318.92 |
| Lower respiratory tract infections and childhood asthma | 5 | 74,515 | 8.85 | 0.66 |
| The total economic loss of the public health effect caused by SO2 | 21,792.86 | |||
| The total economic loss of the public health effect | 439,768.91 | |||
| Economic loss related to public health effects per capita | 848 yuan | |||
| The GDP in 74 cities | 18,987,854 | |||
| The total economic loss of the public health effect accounts for the GDP | 2.32 % | |||
Fig. 3The 10 cities with the highest economic loss (million yuan)
Fig. 4The 10 cities with the highest health-related economic loss per capita (yuan/per person)
Fig. 5The 10 cities with the highest proportion of health-relate economic loss accounting for GDP (%)
Fig. 6The 10 cities with the highest economic loss (million yuan)
Fig. 7The 10 cities with the highest health-related economic loss per capita (yuan/per person)
Fig. 8The 10 cities with the highest proportion of the health-related economic loss accounting for GDP (%)