| Literature DB >> 27010654 |
Hyun Mo Yang1, José Luiz Boldrini1, Artur César Fassoni1,2, Luiz Fernando Souza Freitas1, Miller Ceron Gomez1, Karla Katerine Barboza de Lima1, Valmir Roberto Andrade3, André Ricardo Ribas Freitas4.
Abstract
Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27010654 PMCID: PMC4807111 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0152186
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240