| Literature DB >> 26987406 |
Lester Kwiatkowski1, Brian Gaylord2, Tessa Hill2,3, Jessica Hosfelt2,3, Kristy J Kroeker2,4, Yana Nebuchina1, Aaron Ninokawa2, Ann D Russell2,3, Emily B Rivest2, Marine Sesboüé1, Ken Caldeira1.
Abstract
Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) are causing ocean acidification, lowering seawater aragonite (CaCO3) saturation state (Ω arag), with potentially substantial impacts on marine ecosystems over the 21(st) Century. Calcifying organisms have exhibited reduced calcification under lower saturation state conditions in aquaria. However, the in situ sensitivity of calcifying ecosystems to future ocean acidification remains unknown. Here we assess the community level sensitivity of calcification to local CO2-induced acidification caused by natural respiration in an unperturbed, biodiverse, temperate intertidal ecosystem. We find that on hourly timescales nighttime community calcification is strongly influenced by Ω arag, with greater net calcium carbonate dissolution under more acidic conditions. Daytime calcification however, is not detectably affected by Ω arag. If the short-term sensitivity of community calcification to Ω arag is representative of the long-term sensitivity to ocean acidification, nighttime dissolution in these intertidal ecosystems could more than double by 2050, with significant ecological and economic consequences.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 26987406 PMCID: PMC4796880 DOI: 10.1038/srep22984
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Study site characterisation.
(a) An aerial photo of Horseshoe Cove, Bodega Marine Reserve, California and the location of the tide pool study site on the Northern California coast (38.3°N, 123.1°W), (b) the mean depth, volume and primary producer community cover and (c) the invertebrate community in each of the tide pools. The map is produced using R version 3.0.3 software (https://www.r-project.org/).
Figure 2Carbonate chemistry parameters.
(a) total alkalinity (A; μmol kg−1), (b) dissolved inorganic carbon (C; μmol kg−1), (c) pCO2 (μatm), (d) pH, (e) CO32− concentration (μmol kg−1), (f) aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) and (g) calcite saturation state (Ωcal) against time of day for all experimental time periods in each of the tide pools. Dashed grey lines show the approximate times of sunrise and sunset. Daytime data were collected in 2014 and nighttime data in 2015.
Figure 3Temporal cycles in community calcification (Gnet) and production (Pnet).
(a) Gnet (mmol C−1 m−2 h−1) and (b) Pnet (mmol C−1 m−2 h−1) against time of day in each of the tide pools. Dashed grey lines show the approximate times of sunrise and sunset. Daytime data were collected in 2014 and nighttime data in 2015.
Statistical model parameter estimates for daytime and nighttime calcification.
| Pool | Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PARmm | 25.74 | 4.00 | 0.34 |
| 2 | Pnet | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.71 |
| PARmm | 8.62 | 1.60 | ||
| Tf | 0.55 | 0.11 | ||
| 3 | PARmm | 25.43 | 4.16 | 0.33 |
| 4 | Pnet | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.45 |
| 1 | Ωarag | 6.16 | 1.32 | 0.47 |
| Pnet | 0.37 | 0.12 | ||
| 2 | Ωarag | 7.91 | 1.45 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Ωarag | 4.17 | 1.11 | 0.62 |
| Tf | 0.60 | 0.22 | ||
| 4 | Ωarag | 8.70 | 1.66 | 0.53 |
| Pnet | 0.26 | 0.08 | ||
The optimal models of daytime and nighttime net calcification (Gnet) in each of the tide pools. During the night Ωarag is the only potential explanatory variable in the optimal model of each tide pool. However during the day Ωarag is found to offer no additional explanatory power in any of the tide pools. In each model all explanatory variables are significant at the p < 0.01 level.
Figure 4Nighttime community calcification and Ωarag sensitivities/projections.
(a) Nighttime Gnet (mmol C−1 m−2 h−1) against aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) in each of the tide pools. Regression lines are significant at the p < 0.05 level. (b) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global Ωarag anomalies relative to 1990–2000 mean values for the Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6 (RCP 2.6; blue) and 8.5 (RCP 8.5; red). Ωarag anomalies are multimodel ensemble mean values calculated from 8 CMIP5 models with fully coupled ocean biogeochemistry schemes. RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 respectively represent the most extreme mitigation and business-as-usual RCP scenarios conducted in CMIP5.