Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a prognostic marker in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.

BACKGROUND: There is no reliable biomarker for predicting the prognosis of patients who undergo radical cystectomy for bladder cancer. Recent studies have shown that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) could function as a useful prognostic factor in several types of malignancies. This study aimed to assess the usefulness of NLR in bladder cancer.
METHODS: A total of 74 patients who underwent radical cystectomy in our institutions from 1999 to 2014 were analyzed. The NLR was calculated using the patients' neutrophil and lymphocyte counts before radical cystectomy. An immunohistochemical analysis was also performed to detect tumor infiltrating neutrophils (CD66b) and lymphocytes (CD8) in bladder cancer specimens.
RESULTS: A univariate analysis showed that the patients with a high NLR (≥2.38; HR = 4.84; p = 0.007), high C-reactive protein level (>0.08; HR = 10.06; p = 0.030), or pathological lymph node metastasis (HR = 4.73; p = 0.030) had a significantly higher risk of cancer-specific mortality. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests further revealed that NLR was strongly correlated with overall survival (p = 0.018), but not progression-free survival (p = 0.137). In a multivariate analysis, all of these were found to be independent risk factors (HR = 4.62, 10.8, and 12.35, respectively). The number of CD8-positive lymphocytes was significantly increased in high-grade (p = 0.001) and muscle-invasive (p = 0.012) tumors, in comparison to low-grade and non-muscle-invasive tumors, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS: The NLR predicted the prognosis of patients who underwent radical cystectomy and might therefore function as a reliable biomarker in cases of invasive bladder cancer.

Background

Urinary bladder cancer is one of the most commonly diagnosed malignancies [1]. Two-thirds to three-fourths of patients with bladder tumor initially present with non-muscle-invasive (pTa or pT1) disease that can often be treated with conservative approaches, however, many patients suffer from recurrence, occasionally with grade and/or stage progression. In contrast, for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer the gold standard treatment is radical cystectomy. Radical cystectomy is also occasionally performed in patients with stage Ta-1 or Tis tumors that are resistant to intravesical instillation therapy [2]. Though radical cystectomy has some therapeutic benefits, it is a potentially invasive surgery which requires urinary diversion. Thus, a new marker to predict the prognosis is needed to determine whether patients should receive radical cystectomy.

Previous reports have indicated a variety of tissue- or urine-based biomarkers that can be used for predicting the recurrence and progression of bladder cancer; these have often been PCR- or immunohistochemistry-based methods [3]. A simple, inexpensive and highly accurate method would be preferable for daily clinical use. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), which can be easily calculated from routine complete blood counts (CBCs) in peripheral blood samples has been suggested as a predictor, not only for the systemic inflammatory response in critical care patients [4] but also for the prognosis of some solid malignancies including bladder cancer [2, 5–13]. Additionally, the NLR can be obtained retrospectively even in the postoperative follow-up because CBCs are routinely examined in various stages of bladder cancer therapy. In the current study, we assessed the utility of the NLR in the prediction of the prognosis of patients with bladder cancer who underwent radical cystectomy.

Methods

Patients

A total of 74 patients underwent radical cystectomy for bladder cancer in Yokohama City University Hospital (Yokohama, Japan) from February 1999 to April 2014. All patients were Japanese. Written informed consent was obtained from each patient, and the institutional review board of the hospital approved this study. The patients were followed up every three months for two years postoeratively and then every 6 months thereafter by either cystoscopy or CT.

Clinical and laboratory assessments

The NLR was calculated using neutrophil and lymphocyte counts via CBCs that were obtained a few days before surgery. CBCs include the number of blood cells, platelets, and white blood cells with differentiation. Other variables, including C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), were simultaneously obtained. We determined the cut-off points of the NLR, CRP, and LDH, based on the sensitivity and specificity levels derived from area under receiver operator characteristics (AUROC) curves plotted for disease progression or death. None of the patients demonstrated either systemic inflammation or blood disease at the time of the blood examinations.

Immunohistochemistry

A bladder cancer tissue microarray (TMA) was obtained from US Biomax (Rockville, MD, USA). The prognostic data were unavailable for these cases. Immunohistochemical staining was performed for both CD66b and CD8 to detect tumor infiltrating neutrophils and lymphocytes, respectively. An immunohistochemical analysis was performed, as described previously, using a primary antibody to CD66b (clone G10F5, diluted at 1:200, BD Biosciences, San Jose, CA, USA) or CD8 (clone C8/144B, diluted at 1:100, DAKO Corporation, Carpenteria, CA, USA) [14]. The slides were then examined by a single pathologist (HM) blinded to the sample identity. The total number of CD68-positive or CD8-positive cells was counted in each TMA core.

Statistical analysis

The patients’ characteristics and preoperative factors were analyzed by Mann–Whitney U and chi-square tests. Multivariate logistic regression models were used for detecting the individual factors. The Kaplan-Meier product limit estimator was used to estimate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Survival duration was defined as the time between radical cystectomy and tumor progression or death. The log-rank test was performed for comparison. A P value of <0.05 was considered to be statistically significant.

Results

Patients’ characteristics

The median and mean (± SD) ages of the 74 patients (male, n = 58; female, n = 16) were found to be 65 and 64.1 (±9.7) years at 24.2 and 29.6 (±24.2) months of follow-up after radical cystectomy, respectively. The time of diagnosis varied in each patient, however, no differences were observed regarding when the patients received RC. The clinicopathologic data of these patients, such as the ECOG-performance status, the performance of neoadjuvant/adjuvant systemic chemotherapy, the clinical/pathological T stage, the presence of lymph node metastasis, and the surgical margin, are summarized in Table 1. There was no correlation between tumor invasiveness and various factors, including age, sex, and tumor size. To exclude any difference in the diagnostic time, we classified the patients into two groups according to the time of diagnosis and no differences were observed.

Table 1

Patient characteristics

	Total (n = 74)	NLR < 2.38	NLR ≥ 2.38	p-value
Age
<65 years	32 (43.2 %)	24 (52.9 %)	8 (34.8 %)	0.324
≥65 years	42 (56.8 %)	27 (47.1 %)	15 (65.2 %)
Gender
Female	16 (21.6 %)	11 (21.6 %)	5 (21.7 %)	0.987
Male	58 (78.4 %)	40 (78.4 %)	18 (78.3 %)
ECOG-PS
0	68 (91.9 %)	48 (94.1 %)	20 (87.0 %)	0.270
≥1	6 (8.1 %)	3 (5.9 %)	3 (13.0 %)
Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy
No	64 (86.5 %)	45 (88.2 %)	19 (82.6 %)	0.847
Yes	10 (13.5 %)	6 (11.8 %)	4 (17.4 %)
Clinical T stage
≤2	38 (51.4 %)	26 (51.0 %)	12 (52.2 %)	0.924
≥3	36 (48.6 %)	25 (49.0 %)	11 (47.8 %)
Clinical Lymph Node Metastasis
No	70 (94.6 %)	48 (94.1 %)	22 (95.7 %)	0.633
Yes	4 (5.4 %)	3 (5.9 %)	1 (4.3 %)
Surgical Margin
Negative	68 (91.9 %)	45 (88.2 %)	23 (100.0 %)	0.097
Positive	6 (8.1 %)	6 (11.8 %)	0 (0.0 %)
Adjuvant chemotherapy
No	49 (66.2 %)	35 (68.6 %)	14 (60.9 %)	0.514
Yes	25 (33.8 %)	16 (31.4 %)	9 (39.1 %)
Pathological T stage
≤2	53 (71.6 %)	37 (72.5 %)	16 (69.6 %)	0.792
≥3	21 (28.4 %)	14 (27.5 %)	7 (30.4 %)
Pathological Lymph Node Metastasis
No	64 (86.5 %)	43 (84.3 %)	21 (91.3 %)	0.339
Yes	10 (13.5 %)	8 (15.7 %)	2 (8.7 %)

ECOG-PS Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status

The NLR cut-off value

Based on the AUROC curve, the NLR cut-off point was determined to be 2.38 for both progression and death (AUROC: 0.544 and 0.633, respectively) [Fig. 1]. There were no statistically significant differences in the baseline characteristics of patients with NLRs of <2.38 in comparison to those with NLRs of ≥2.38. Similarly, the cut-off values of CRP (0.08) and LDH (158) were set (data not shown).

Fig. 1

Value of the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve

The NLR value and patient outcomes

We first performed a univariate analysis to assess the risk of death after radical cystectomy. The NLR (HR = 4.84, p = 0.007), CRP (HR = 10.06, p = 0.030), and the presence of pathological lymph node metastasis (HR = 4.73, p = 0.030) were correlated with significantly higher risks of death (Table 2). In a multivariate analysis, the NLR (HR = 4.62, p = 0.030), CRP (HR = 10.80, p = 0.045), and pathological lymph node metastasis (HR = 12.35, p = 0.009) were also found to be significantly associated with OS [Table 2]. A Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test further revealed that a high NLR was correlated with a significantly lower rate of OS, in comparison to a low NLR (p = 0.018; Fig. 2). However, the association between the NLR and disease progression was not statistically significant (p = 0.137).

Table 2

Univariate and multivariate analyses of factors for the OS

		Median OS	Univariate analysis			Multivariate analysis
	n	(mean ± SD)	HR	95%CI	p-value	HR	95%CI	p-value
Age
<65 years	32	2122 (2221.6 ± 1725.5)	1	0.50-4.73	0.453
≥65 years	42	718 (1071.4 ± 1003.6)	1.54
Gender
Female	16	767 (1891.9 ± 1536.9)	1	0.50-12.02	0.272
Male	58	980 (1479.6 ± 13743.5)	2.44
ECOG-PS
0	68	1286 (1673.7 ± 1413.1)	1	0.7021.22	0.121
≥1	6	302 (379.3 ± 319.4)	3.86
NLR
<2.38	51	1250.5 (1576.6 ± 1375.0)	1	1.54-15.23	0.007	1	1.16-18.34	0.030
≥2.38	23	797.5 (1551.3 ± 1487.5)	4.84			4.62
CPR
<0.08	23	1427 (1461.3 ± 1091.4)	1	1.24-81.27	0.030	1	1.06-110.29	0.045
≥0.08	51	772 (1617.2 ± 1533.2)	10.06			10.8
LDH
<158	20	1286 (1464.7 ± 1205.3)	1	0.36-4.47	0.712
≥158	54	808 (1607.3 ± 1565.7)	1.27
Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy
No	64	1244 (1535.9 ± 1339.8)	1	0.15-4.10	0.772
Yes	10	331 (1779.3 ± 2228.4)	0.78
Clinical T stage
≤2	38	980 (1828.6 ± 1722.9)	1	0.39-3.47	0.781
≥3	36	818 (1294.5 ± 1114.1)	1.67
Clinical Lymph Node Metastasis
No	70	818 (1566.6 ± 1492.3)	1	0.11-11.57	0.921
Yes	4	1671 (1607.3 ± 615.3)	1.13
Sugical Margin
Negative	68	11271.5 (1616.1 ± 1431.6)	1	0.85-7.74	0.095
Positive	6	707 (1287.8 ± 2064.0)	2.56
Adjuvant chemotherapy
No	49	722 (1189.7 ± 1200.8)	1	0.48-4.52	0.493
Yes	25	2154 (2311.7 ± 1624.5)	1.48
Pathological T stage
≤2	53	1112 (1586.9 ± 1466.4)	1	0.32-3.52	0.914
≥3	21	982 (1437.4 ± 1603.1)	1.07
Pathological Lymph Node Metastasis
No	64	1244 (1609.8 ± 1466.4)	1	1.17-19.17	0.030	1	1.85-82.47	0.009
Yes	10	718 (1305.9 ± 1523.6)	4.73			12.35

OS: overall survival, ECOG-PS: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, NLR: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ration

CPR: C-reactive protein, LHD: lactate dehydrogenase

Fig. 2

Progression-free and overall survivals according to the NLR

Tumor infiltrating lymphocytes and tumor grade/stage

CD66b-positve cells were only observed in a few cases (Fig. 3). Therefore, we analyzed the relationship between the number of tumor infiltrating CD8-positive lymphocytes (Fig. 4) and the tumor grade or stage. The number of CD8-positive lymphocytes was significantly increased in high-grade (mean ± SD: 29.4 ± 23.5) and muscle-invasive (23.8 ± 22.4) tumors, in comparison to low-grade (15.1 ± 17.1; p = 0.001) and non-muscle-invasive (15.1 ± 17.8; p = 0.012) tumors. The number of CD8-positive cells did not differ significantly in benign urothelial tissues (mean ± SD: 21.6 ± 12.7) and urothelial carcinomas (19.1 ± 20.0) (p = 0.291).

Fig. 3

Immunohistochemistry of CD66b in the bladder TMA. Occasional CD66b-positive neutrophils (arrowheads) are seen in the stromal tissue. Original magnification, x400

Fig. 4

Immunohistochemistry of CD8 in the bladder TMA. Infiltrating CD8-positive lymphocytes are present mainly in the stromal (a, original magnification x100; b, original magnification x200) or intratumoral (c, original magnification x100; d, original magnification x200) compartments

Discussion

There is increasing evidence to show that the presence of systemic inflammation is correlated with poorer cancer-specific survival in several solid tumors, such as colorectal carcinoma [6, 15–20]. Moreover, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications have been suggested to reduce the risk of developing bladder cancer, which implies a critical correlation between inflammation and bladder tumorigenesis [16, 21]. This study revealed systemic inflammation including CRP was an independent risk factor to estimate the prognosis. The presence of an inflammatory response can be determined by both the expression of CRP and an elevation in the NLR [4, 6, 22]. The latter has indeed been shown to be associated with a poorer prognosis in patients with some solid tumors [4, 6, 11, 23, 24]. The proposed mechanisms include increasing the supply of growth factors, survival factors, pro-antigenic factors, extracellular matrix-modifying enzymes that can facilitate invasion and metastasis, and inductive signals that may lead to epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition [25, 26].. The interaction between the tumor and the immune system of the host not only promotes tumor cell proliferation and metastasis but also activates the inflammatory cascade in the host, which leads to the further deterioration of the general condition of cancer patients [27]. The NLR, as an independent parameter, has been shown to be significantly correlated with serum CRP levels [28]. However, another study [2], found that the NLR was not a powerful predictor of survival. Thus, there is a biological rationale for using the NLR, as a measure of systemic host response when evaluating the association between inflammation and cancer outcomes [26].

It has been proposed that the NLR can be used to estimate the magnitude of systemic inflammation in cancer patients [5, 29–31]. It can easily be calculated from routine CBCs with differentials [26]. CBCs are usually determined in the clinical check-ups, thus it is possible to apply the NLR to all patients, both preoperatively and postoperatively. Thus, the NLR is a useful tool when considering additional therapy after radical cystectomy. We also attempted to investigate the numbers of CD66b-positive neutrophils and CD8-positive lymphocytes in separate sets of bladder cancer tissues. An immunohistochemical analysis showed that CD8-positive cells were present in the majority of cases, whereas CD66b-positve cells were seen only in a few cases. Higher numbers of CD8-positive lymphocytes were strongly correlated with a higher tumor grade or stage. In a previous immunohistochemical study involving 56 cystectomy cases, a high CD8 density (defined as the presence of ≥60 intra-tumoral CD8-positive cells per high-power field) was observed in 10 of 45 (22 %) muscle-invasive tumors, while it was not observed in any of 11 non-muscle-invasive tumors [32]. In contrast, although all of the cystectomy cases in which the NLR was assessed in the present study exhibited muscle-invasive tumors, we found no significant difference in the NLRs of patients with different pT or pN stages. Thus, there appeared to be no strong correlation between the number of CD8-positive lymphocytes in the tissue specimens and the NLR in blood in bladder cancer patients. Nevertheless, in a previous study using tissue specimens, a high CD8 density was only associated with a favorable prognosis in ≥ pT1 tumors, which supports the prognostic significance of the NLR via CBCs [32].

The present study showed that the NLR was an independent prognostic factor in bladder cancer patients who underwent radical cystectomy. Tumor characteristics are known to assist in the prediction of the risk of disease recurrence and progression [33]. The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk table has been commonly used to predict progression [33-36]. In order to further improve the prediction, new biomarkers are needed. In bladder cancer, several studies have shown the NLR to be a prognostic factor [2, 26, 28, 37–39]. On the other hand, the association between the NLR and tumor progression remains controversial (Table 3). These studies showed that a higher NLR was correlated with a worse prognosis in patients with bladder cancer, while others indicated that the NLR was not recognized to be correlated with OS [2, 26, 28, 37, 38]. In patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer, an NLR of >2.41 tended to be correlated with recurrence and progression after transurethral resection of bladder tumors [33]. In the present study, a high NLR was found to be a risk factor for death in patients with invasive bladder cancer who underwent radical cystectomy.

Table 3

The association between the NLR and the prognosis of urothelial carcinoma

Study	Year	Number of patients	Cut-off value	Prognosis (high vs low NLR)	Hazard ratio (low NLR was set as 1)
Bladder
Gondo et al. [28]	2012	189	2.5	not mentioned (OS)	1.946, p==0.0015
Demirtas et al. [2]	2013	201	2.5	no significant differences	N/A
Krane et al. [37]	2013	68	2.5	23 vs 36 months (CSS)	2.25
Hermanns et al. [26]	2014	424	3	43 % vs 64 % (OS)	1.67, p < 0.001
Temraz et al. [38]	2014	68	2.87	2.7 vs 6.0 years (OS)	1.88
Mano et al. [33]	2014	107 (NMIBC)	2.41		3.74, p = 0.004
Viers et al. [39]	2014	unknown	unknown		1.03, p = 0.01
Kayner et al. [40]	2014	291	2.50	NMIBC vs MIBC	p = 0.028
Current study	2014	74	2.38	52.6 vs 51.7 months (OS)	4.84, p = 0.007
Upper urinary tract
Azuma et al. [41]	2013	137	2.5	29.4 % vs 81.3 % (OS)	6.14, p < 0.0001
Dalpiaz et al. [9]	2013	202	2.7	27 vs 44.5 months (OS)	3.073, p < 0.001

NLR: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ration, NMIBC: non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer, MIBC: muscle-invasive bladder cancer, OS: overall survival, CSS: cancer-specific survival

The AUROC determined the cut-off value of the NLR to be 2.38 in the present study. Kayner et al. reported that MIBC showed a higher NLR compared with NMIBC, and the cut-off point was set as 2.50 in their study [40]. Several studies in advanced pancreatic cancer showed NLR cut-off values of approximately 5 [5]. In intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma [6], and in patients with liver metastasis from colorectal carcinoma [25], the NLR cut-off value was also set as 5. In urologic cancers, NLR cut-off values of approximately 5 (prostate cancer) or from 2 to 5 (renal cell carcinoma) have been used [41]. In urothelial carcinoma, NLR cut-off values of 2.41-3.0 have been reported [2, 26, 37, 38, 40, 42]. Our cut-off point for the NLR was thus somewhat lower than the values of previous reports.

The present study is associated with several limitations. First, this is a retrospective study, which may have led selection bias. Second, we did not perform mechanistic experiments to determine the roles of neutrophils and/or lymphocytes in bladder cancer progression. Nonetheless, the current results support the findings of previous studies which indicate correlations between NLR/inflammation and the clinical outcome of patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer. The NLR may thus be useful in the prediction of prognosis in bladder cancer patients after radical cystectomy.

Conclusions

The current study demonstrated the usefulness of the NLR in the prediction of OS in patients with advanced stage bladder cancer. The NLR was thus found to be an independent prognostic marker for predicting the prognosis. The preoperative NLR predicted prognosis in patients who underwent radical cystectomy and might therefore function as a reliable biomarker for invasive bladder cancer.

Availability of supporting data

Due to ethical restrictions, the raw data underlying this paper are available upon request to the corresponding author.