Changes in neutrophil/lymphocyte and platelet/lymphocyte ratios after chemotherapy correlate with chemotherapy response and prediction of prognosis in patients with unresectable gastric cancer.

The aim of the study was to investigate the application value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in the prediction of chemotherapy response and prognosis in patients with advanced gastric cancer. In total, 120 patients with unresectable gastric cancer were included and separated into two groups according to the median values of NLR or PLR (NLR low: <4.62 or NLR high: ≥4.62 and PLR low: <235 or PLR high: ≥235, respectively). Low baseline NLR level correlated with improved clinicopathological characteristics, including smaller tumor size, well differentiation and less metastasis. Low baseline PLR level also associated with less metastasis. Patients with a low baseline level of NLR or PLR had an improved response to chemotherapy. Patients with a higher baseline NLR and PLR had decreased progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) ratios. Alterations in the NLR and PLR levels were associated with therapeutic efficacy and prognosis. The patients who remained in or switched to the low NLR level subgroup subsequent to first-line chemotherapy had an improved response and improved OS ratios, compared to the patients remaining in or switching to the high NLR level group. Similar results were observed when the PLR level was investigated. In conclusion, baseline NLR and PLR measurements, as well as changes of NLR and PLR following chemotherapy can predict the prognostic results in patients with unresectable gastric cancer.

Introduction

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fourth most common cancer and the second cause of cancer-related mortalities worldwide (1,2). Countries in East Asia (including China, Japan and Korea) have a high incidence of GC (>40 cases/100,000 men). Data for individual countries have shown that GC is the most common cancer type in Japan and the second most common in China and Korea (3). Although early diagnosis and treatment improved prognosis significantly (4,5), the 5-year survival rate remains at only 10–15% among individuals with advanced disease (6).

The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) is associated with the outcome of several types of cancer (7). It has been shown that neutrophils, lymphocytes and platelets are important in tumor-induced SIR (8). Based on this hypothesis, the quantification of these blood counts has been investigated in various malignant tumors as markers of SIR (9,10).

Of these markers, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been identified as a promising diagnostic prospect. Investigations have demonstrated that NLR and PLR are highly repeatable, cost-effective and widely available (11). NLR is diagnostically valuable in certain pathologies characterized by systemic or local inflammatory response, such as diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, ulcerative colitis, inflammatory arthritis (12–14), as well as various types of cancer, including colon cancer, gastric cancer, esophageal cancer, ovarian cancer, lung cancer and breast cancer (15–20). PLR is considered to be a marker of endogenous residual anticancer preinflammatory and precoagulative response that arises in malignancies. These biomarkers combine the evident preinflammatory and precoagulative status in cancer with the endogenous residual anticancer ability (21).

The aim of the present study was to examine whether NLR and PLR served as sensitive markers and prognostic factors in patients with unresectable GC. In addition, the relationship between the changes of NLR and PLR following chemotherapy and prognosis was investigated.

Materials and methods

Subjects and inclusion criteria

The study was conducted as a retrospective investigation of GC patients that had been referred to the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University (Jiangsu, China) between June 2010 and 2011. Approval for the study was granted by the Medical Ethics Committees of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. Clinical and pathological records of all the patients participating in the study were reviewed periodically.

In total, 120 unresectable GC patients were included in this study. Patient characteristics are provided in Tables I and II. The mean age of the 120 patients was 68 years (range, 32–82 years), and 75 patients were male and 45 were female. The inclusion criteria were: i) patients with histologically or cytologically confirmed recurrent or metastatic GC; ii) age >18 years; iii) Karnofsky performance status (KPS) score of ≥70; iv) patients with a predicted survival of ≥3 months; v) naive to antitumor treatment or the post-operative adjuvant chemotherapy was performed ≥6 months after the previous dose of chemotherapy; vi) in the case of patients scheduled for radiotherapy on the target lesion, radiotherapy was required to have been terminated for at ≥3 months; vii) patients with at least one measurable lesion (at least 10×10 mm on CT or MRI); and viii) patients who met the following laboratory criteria: white blood cells (WBC) ≥4.0×109/l, absolute neutrophil count (ANC) ≥1.5×109/l, platelet (PLT) ≥100×109/l, serum bilirubin ≤ upper limit of normal (ULN), ALT, AST and ALP ≤ ULN ×2.5 (if without liver metastasis) or ≤ ULN ×5 (if with liver metastasis), urea nitrogen ≤ ULN ×1.25, and creatinine ≤ ULN ×1.25.

Table I.

Relationship between baseline NLR level and clinicopathological characteristics.

	NLR
Clinicopathological characteristics	n	Low (n)	High (n)	χ2	P-value
Gender
Men	75	37	38	0.0356	0.850
Women	45	23	22
Age (years)
<65	67	31	36	0.8448	0.358
≥65	53	29	24
Tumor size (cm)
<5	82	47	35	5.5456	0.018[a]
≥5	38	13	25
Lauren type
Intestinal type	68	35	33	0.1357	0.713
Diffuse type	52	25	27
Distant metastasis
No	31	26	5	19.1809	<0.001[b]
Yes	89	34	55
Degree of differentiation
Highly differentiated	34	23	11	5.9097	0.015[a]
Moderately and poorly differentiated	86	37	49
HER-2
0-+	78	39	39	0.000	1.000
++-+++	42	21	21
Ki-67
<15%	67	36	31	0.3580	0.845
≥15%	53	24	29

P<0.05.

P<0.01. NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.

Table II.

Relationship between baseline PLR level and clinicopathological characteristics.

	PLR
Clinicopathological characteristics	n	Low (n)	High (n)	χ2	P-value
Gender
Men	75	39	36	0.320	0.572
Women	45	21	24
Age (years)
<65	67	36	31	0.8448	0.358
≥65	53	24	29
Tumor size (cm)
<5	82	38	44	2.9405	0.086
≥5	38	24	14
Lauren type
Intestinal type	68	32	36	0.5430	0.461
Diffuse type	52	28	24
Distant metastasis
No	31	4	27	23.0083	<0.001[a]
Yes	89	56	33
Degree of differentiation
Highly differentiated	34	14	20	2.0906	0.148
Moderately and poorly differentiated	86	48	38
HER-2
0-+	78	40	38	0.1465	0.702
++-+++	42	20	22
Ki-67
<15%	67	32	35	0.5813	0.304
≥15%	53	28	25

P<0.01. PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio.

Blood samples

Peripheral venous blood (5–7 ml) was collected into a sterile ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA) tube. The blood samples were obtained between 6:30 and 7:30 a.m. in order to standardize the known impact of circulating hormones (circadian rhythm) on the number and subtype distribution of the various white blood cell indices. Hematological parameters were analyzed within 30 min after collection using a hematology analyser (Sysmex XE-2100; Sysmex, Kobe, Japan). Neutrophil (103/µl), lymphocyte (103/µl) and platelet (103/µl) counts were recorded. The results were expressed in 103/µl. NLR and PLR were calculated as the ratio of the neutrophils and platelets to lymphocytes, respectively. Mean value was used for NLR and PLR as normal distribution was absent. The patients were divided into two groups according to the mean value of NLR or PLR [(NLR low, <4.62 or NLR high, ≥4.62; and PLR low, <235 or PLR high, ≥235, respectively].

Chemotherapy and evaluation

Patients received first-line chemotherapy as outlined in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) clinical practice guideline for GC (2006, first edition). 5-FU/leucovorin (LV), 5-FU-based, cisplatin (CDDP)-based, oxaliplatin (L-OHP)-based, taxane-based and irinotecan (CPT-11)-based, ECF treatments were employed. Computed tomography (CT) scan was performed for the assessment of response every 2 months and evaluated according to the criteria of Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) 1.1 (22).

The responses to chemoradiotherapy including complete remission, regression, stable disease and disease progression, as well as overall and disease-free survival were recorded. Survival time was measured from the date of chemoradiotherapy until the patient succumbed or last clinical evaluation. Following first-line chemotherapy, disease progression after chemoradiotherapy (n=44) was defined as lack of response to chemoradiotherapy. By contrast, stable disease, complete response or disease regression following chemoradiotherapy was defined as response to chemoradiotherapy (n=76).

Follow-up

The responses to chemotherapy including complete remission, regression, stable disease and disease progression, as well as overall and progression-free survival were recorded. Survival time was defined as the time from the date of chemoradiotherapy until the patient succumbed or last clinical evaluation. Patients were followed up regularly for 40 months. The prognostic analyses were performed to determine the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Statistical analysis

Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed for each outcome parameter, using a backwards elimination technique to derive a potentially suitable set of predictors. The association between NLR or PLR levels and chemotherapeutic efficacy was examined and assessed using the χ2 tests. For the analysis of survival data, Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed, and statistical analysis was carried out using the log-rank test. OS was defined as the time from the initiation of chemotherapy to the patient succumbing to any cause. P<0.05 was considered to indicate statistically significant results. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 19.0 software (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).

Results

Relationship of baseline NLR and PLR levels and clinicopathologic characteristics

A low baseline NLR level correlated with improved clinicopathological characteristics, including smaller tumor size (χ2=5.5456, P=0.018), high differentiation (χ2=5.9097, P=0.015) and less metastasis (χ2=19.1809, P<0.001) (Table I). A low baseline PLR level was also associated with less metastasis (χ2=23.0083, P<0.001) (Table II).

Baseline NLR and PLR levels predict chemotherapeutic efficacy

The associations between the baseline NLR or PLR level and chemotherapeutic efficacy are shown in Tables III and IV, respectively. Patients with a low baseline level of NLR or PLR had improved response to chemotherapy (χ2=5.167, P=0.023; χ2=7.033, P=0.008), suggesting the baseline level of NLR or PLR predicts response to chemotherapy.

Table III.

Relationship between NLR baseline levels and chemotherapeutic efficacy.

NLR levels	PR + SD (n=76)	PD (n=44)	χ2	P-value
Low (n=60)	44	16	5.167	0.023
High (n=60)	32	28

NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio. PR, partial response; SD, stable disease; PD, progressive disease.

Table IV.

Relationship between PLR baseline levels and chemotherapeutic efficacy.

PLR levels	PR + SD (n=76)	PD (n=44)	χ2	P-value
Low (n=60)	45	15	7.033	0.008
High (n=60)	31	29

PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio. PR, partial response; SD, stable disease; PD, progressive disease.

Baseline NLR and PLR levels predict outcomes

Median OS for all the patients was 13 months (10.45–15.55 months) with a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 5 months (4.11–5.89) (Fig. 1A and B). Follow-up for survivors was 40 months. The Kaplan-Meier plots were used to determine the effect of NLR and PLR status on OS and PFS (Fig. 1C–F). The median OS and PFS of the high NLR group were 10 months (8.23–11.77) and 3 months (2.24–3.76), respectively, while that of the low NLR group were 18 months (13.53–22.47) and 6 months (4.79–7.21). Significant differences were identified between the OS and PFS of the two groups (P<0.001). Similarly, the median OS was 10 months (8.23–11.77) in the high PLR group and 18 months (13.53–22.48) in the low PLR group (P<0.001). The median PFS was 3 months (2.24–3.76) in the high PLR group and 6 months (4.79–7.21) in the low PLR group (P<0.001). Thus, the patients with higher baseline NLR and PLR levels had decreased survival ratios.

Figure 1.

Association between the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) levels and outcomes. Predicted probability of (A) progression-free survival (PFS) and (B) overall survival (OS). (C) The PFS and (D) OS according to NLR. (E) The PFS and (F) OS according to PLR.

Changes in NLR and PLR levels are associated with chemotherapeutic efficacy

To determine the association between changes in the NLR or PLR level and chemotherapeutic efficacy, the blood samples were obtained and CT evaluation was performed simultaneously after the first-line chemotherapy. Forty-seven patients with a low baseline NLR level remained in this group subsequent to first-line chemotherapy (Table V). By contrast, 13 patients from this group were transferred to the high NLR level group. Twenty-four patients with a high baseline NLR level retained this level after first-line chemotherapy. By contrast, 36 patients with a high baseline NLR level were transferred to the low NLR level group. Patients who remained in or were transferred to the low NLR level subgroup following first-line chemotherapy exhibited improved response, compared to patients who remained in or were transferred to the high NLR level group. Similar results were observed when the PLR level was investigated (Table VI).

Table V.

Relationship between changes in the NLR level and chemotherapeutic efficacy.

Pre-chemotherapy	Post-chemotherapy	PR + SD (n=76)	PD (n=44)	χ2	P-value
Low (n=60)	Low (n=47)	39	8	4.831	0.0279
	High (n=13)	7	6
High (n=60)	Low (n=24)	18	6	10.00	0.0016
	High (n=36)	12	24

NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.

Table VI.

Relationship between changes in the PLR level and chemotherapeutic efficacy.

Pre-chemotherapy	Post-chemotherapy	PR + SD (n=76)	PD (n=44)	χ2	P-value
Low (n=60)	Low (n=48)	42	6	15.745	<0.001
	High (n=12)	4	8
High (n=60)	Low (n=23)	17	6	8.531	0.0035
	High (n=37)	13	24

PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio.

Changes in NLR and PLR levels predict outcomes

The Kaplan-Meier plots were used to determine the effect of changes in the NLR and PLR status for OS and PFS (Fig. 2). The median OS and PFS of patients whose NLR levels increased following first-line chemotherapy were 9 months (7.07–10.93) and 3 months (2.43–3.57), respectively, while that of patients with decreased NLR were 20 months (17.25–22.75) and 7 months (5.94–8.05), respectively. Significant differences were identified for OS and PFS for the two groups (P<0.001). Similarly, the median OS was 9 months (7.45–10.55) in the PLR-increased group and 20 months (17.93–22.07) in the PLR-decreased group (P<0.001). Median PFS was 3 months (2.41–3.59) in the PLR-increased group and 7 months (6.97–9.03) in the PLR-decreased group (P<0.001). Thus, the patients with increased NLR and PLR levels had decreased survival ratios.

Figure 2.

Relationship between changes in the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) levels following chemotherapy and the outcomes. (A) The progression-free survival (PFS) and (B) OS according to changes in NLR. (C) The PFS and (D) OS according to changes in PLR.

Discussion

Inflammation, recognized as the ‘seventh hallmark of cancer’, contributes to tumor proliferation, angiogenesis, metastasis, and resistance to hormonal and chemotherapy (23). Clinical and epidemiological studies have shown the connection between GC and chronic inflammation; thus, the pathogenesis of GC is an inflammation-driven malignancy (24–26).

Although the precise pathophysiological mechanisms involved in the association between inflammation and tumor cells remain unclear, there is growing interest in a clinical interpretation of these interactions, resulting in the establishment of novel biomarkers of cancer (27). Of these, biomarkers obtained from routine blood tests have been recently developed (15–20,28). Increased NLR and PLR levels have been shown to be correlated with the increase in cancer-associated SIR, and indicate advanced stage in several types of malignancy (29). Elevated NLR has also been shown to predict poor outcomes in colorectal cancer patients undergoing primary resection and in patients undergoing hepatectomy for liver metastases (15,30). A number of studies do not support the utilization of PLR level as an independent prognostic factor of survival in contrast to NLR, which is widely accepted in the majority of relevant studies. This discrepancy may be due to the prethrombotic profile of the underlying cancer type. For cancers associated with high thrombotic risk, such as pancreatic cancer, PLR is a potential prognostic factor. However, the use of PLR as a prognostic factor may not be precise with regard to relatively hypocoagulative cancer types, such as breast cancer (11). Previous results have demonstrated that GC was hypercoagulative (31). Thus, based on previous and the present results, baseline NLR and PLR levels may be applied as biomarkers in GC. In the present study, we observed that changes of the NLR and PLR levels were consistent with chemotherapeutic efficacy and prognosis, suggesting changes in the NLR and PLR levels following treatment may also provide valuable prognostic information.

Neutrophils are actively involved in systemic and local inflammatory response via multiple mechanisms, such as releasing pro-inflammatory factors. They can promote tumor growth and metastasis by remodeling the extracellular matrix. They release reactive oxygen species (ROS), nitric oxide (NO), arginase, and suppress the T-cell response (32). Increased neutrophil count and low serum albumin levels have been shown to be the independent predictors of outcome following hepatic resection for metastatic colorectal cancer (33). Preclinical studies have also indicated that neutrophils may act as tumor-promoting leukocytes by the transforming growth factor-β-induced signaling pathway (34).

Platelets play an important and multifaceted role in cancer progression (35). During hematogenous dissemination, the ability of circulating tumor cells to interact with platelets is believed to promote tumor cell survival within the circulation and increase the arrest of tumor cell emboli within the microcirculation (36,37), thereby facilitating metastasis. Interaction with platelet is currently gaining acceptance as a key intermediate step in the process of blood-borne metastasis (35). Pre-clinical animal models have demonstrated that pharmacologically- or genetically-induced thrombocytopenia and platelet function defects are associated with reduced metastasis (38,39). These observations have led to the use of antiplatelet and anticoagulation agents to prevent metastasis in experimental models and human cancer patients (35).

Besides the effects of platelets on cancer progression, counts and function of platelets may also be affected in many types of cancer. The release of pro-inflammatory cytokines by cancer cells, such as interleukin-1 (IL-1), IL-3 and IL-6, clearly promote the proliferation and differentiation of early progenitor cells, such as megakaryocyte progenitors, resulting in the gradual establishment of thrombocytosis (40,41). Elevated serum concentrations of IL-6 were significantly higher in individuals with gastric, colon and prostate cancers (42,43). Additionally, high levels of IL-6 and C-reactive protein play important roles in the growth process and progression of GC (44). The stimulation from cancer-released cytokines led to an increased detection of more primitive types of circulating platelets (45). Thus, the evaluation of the platelet count and functional status is consistent with the progression of malignancy (46,47).

On the other hand, lymphocytes, usually CD3+ T cells and NK cells, possess potent anti-cancer activities that potentially affect growth and/or metastasis in various types of cancer (48). The number of lymphocytes is an undisputed prognostic marker in surgical oncology, reflecting the endogenous anticancer ability of the immune system (49,50). Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes in particular have been extensively studied, and appear to have an anti-tumorigenic role in colorectal cancer (51,52). A high density of CD8+ T-cell infiltration independently predicted superior survival (53).

In summary, the results of the present study explain the reason for elevated NLR and PLR enhancing malignant progression, and low levels of NLR and PLR conferring a more favorable prognosis. The normalization of NLR and PLR values after treatment may indicate resolution of intestinal inflammation. The present findings suggest that the baseline NLR and PLR levels may be used in the prediction of a chemotherapeutic response and prognosis in unresectable GC. Furthermore, changes in the NLR and PLR levels were consistent with the chemotherapeutic response and may also be useful in predicting outcomes. Considering the high GC morbidity and less developed economic condition in China, these non-invasive, convenient and inexpensive biomarkers may be beneficial with regard to the treatment of GC.