Levels of plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA prior and subsequent to treatment predicts the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

The level of Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) in the plasma prior and subsequent to treatment is a reliable biomarker for the screening, diagnosis, monitoring and prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The present retrospective study aimed to determine whether pre- and post-treatment levels of plasma EBV-DNA were predictive of survival in a large sample of patients with NPC. The level of plasma EBV-DNA in 637 NPC patients prior and subsequent to treatment was determined by quantitative polymerase chain reaction. The value of pre- and post-treatment plasma EBV-DNA in predicting the survival of NPC patients was then analyzed. The results revealed that pre-treatment plasma EBV-DNA loads were significantly higher in patients with NPC than those in healthy controls (P<0.001). The percentage of patients with positive plasma EBV-DNA was markedly higher prior to treatment (70.64%; median, 1150 copies/ml; range, 0-9.75×106 copies/ml) than following treatment (25.99%; median, 0 copies/ml; range, 0-3.83×106 copies/ml) (P<0.001). Patients with a high plasma EBV-DNA load presented with a higher clinical tumor classification, lymph node status, metastatic status and overall cancer stage. The risk of NPC relapse and mortality was higher in patients with pre-treatment plasma EBV-DNA levels of ≥1,500 copies/ml than that in patients with <1,500 copies/ml. Furthermore, the risk of relapse and mortality was higher in patients with positive post-treatment plasma EBV-DNA than in patients with negative post-treatment plasma EBV-DNA. Detectable post-treatment plasma EBV-DNA was the most significant prognostic factor to affect relapse-free survival, whilst metastasis was the prognostic factor with the greatest effect on overall survival. These data indicated that pre- and post-treatment levels of plasma EBV-DNA were able to predict the prognosis of NPC. This finding may provide novel references for research and clinical practice.