| Literature DB >> 26716905 |
Qiang Fu1, Yuan Chang2, Lin Zhou2, Huimin An3, Yu Zhu3, Le Xu4, Weijuan Zhang5, Jiejie Xu1.
Abstract
Chemokine (C-C motif) receptor 8 (CCR8) could drive cancer progress through recruiting certain immune cells. Recent evidences revealed the chemotaxis of CCR8+ human malignant tumor cells towards lymph node, and a significantly increased CCR8 expression in renal carcinomas patients. To assess the clinical association between CCR8 expression and the risk of post-surgery recurrence in patients with clear-cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC), we detected intratumoral CCR8 expression in 472 post-nephrectomy ccRCC patients retrospectively enrolled. Positive CCR8 staining tumor cell occurred in 26.1% (123 of 472) non-metastatic ccRCC cases, and the positive expression was associated with increased risks of recurrence (Log-Rank P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, CCR8 expression was identified as an independent prognostic factor (P = 0.008) and entered into a newly-built nomogram together with T stage, Fuhrman grade, tumor size, necrosis and lymphovascular invasion. Calibration curves showed optimal agreement between predictions and observations, while its C-index was higher than that of Leibovich score for predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) of localised RCC patients (0.854 vs 0.836, respectively; P = 0.044). The practical prognostic nomogram model may help clinicians in decision making and design of clinical studies.Entities:
Keywords: chemokine (C-C motif) receptor 8; clear-cell renal cell carcinoma; prognostic factor; recurrence-free survival
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Year: 2016 PMID: 26716905 PMCID: PMC4885002 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.6761
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Figure 1Prognostic power of CCR8 in diverse Leibovich risk groups
A. Typical immunohistochemistry staining images of CCR8 and isotype IgG in ccRCC tumor tissues. B. Kaplan-Meier analysis of RFS in entire ccRCC patients according to intratumoral CCR8 expression. C.-E. Kaplan-Meier analysis of RFS according to intratumoral CCR8 expression in C. Leibovich low risk, D. Leibovich intermediate risk, E. Leibovich high risk patients. Abbreviation: RFS, recurrence-free survival; CCR8, CC chemokine receptor 8.
Correlations between CCR8 expression and clinical characteristics in non-metastatic ccRCC patients
| CCR8 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All patients ( | Negative ( | Positive ( | |||||
| Variables | Cases (%) | 6-yr RFS | Cases | 6-yr RFS | Cases | 6-yr RFS | |
| Age at surgery, yr | |||||||
| Median (IQR) | 55 (46 to 63) | 55 (46 to 63) | 56 (47 to 61) | 0.895 | |||
| ≤55 | 239 (50.5%) | 83.3±3.0 | 179 | 85.9±3.3 | 60 | 75.0±6.1 | S |
| >55 | 233 (49.5%) | 82.5±2.6 | 170 | 89.1±2.5 | 63 | 65.3±6.3 | S |
| Gender | 0.134 | ||||||
| Female | 137 (29.0%) | 86.1±3.2 | 108 | 91.8±2.8 | 29 | 64.4±9.7 | S |
| Male | 335 (71.0%) | 81.6±2.5 | 241 | 85.5±2.8 | 94 | 71.6±5.0 | S |
| ECOG-PS | 0.261 | ||||||
| 0 | 393 (83.3%) | 87.6±1.9 | 295 | 90.9±2.0 | 98 | 78.1±4.3 | S |
| ≥1 | 79 (16.7%) | 51.9±7.6 | 54 | 64.9±8.2 | 25 | 19.9±12.1 | S |
| Surgery | 0.676 | ||||||
| Partial nephrectomy | 227 (48.1%) | 88.6±2.2 | 170 | 90.6±2.3 | 57 | 82.1±5.5 | S |
| Radical nephrectomy | 245 (51.9%) | 77.9±3.0 | 179 | 84.8±3.2 | 66 | 59.5±6.5 | N |
| Tumor size, cm | |||||||
| Median (IQR) | 4.0 (2.6 to 5.0) | 4.0 (2.9 to 5.0) | 3.5 (2.5 to 5.5) | 0.805 | |||
| ≤4.0 | 296 (62.7%) | 89.2±2.1 | 214 | 93.6±2.1 | 82 | 78.2±4.7 | S |
| >4.0 | 176 (37.3%) | 71.3±3.9 | 135 | 77.1±4.0 | 41 | 48.9±9.7 | S |
| Pathological T stage | 0.518 | ||||||
| pT1 | 330 (69.9%) | 88.3±2.0 | 244 | 91.9±2.1 | 86 | 78.1±4.6 | S |
| pT2 | 33 ( 7.0%) | 78.6±7.2 | 27 | 80.0±8.0 | 6 | 77.8±17.9 | N |
| pT3 | 109 (23.1%) | 71.1±4.7 | 78 | 79.0±5.0 | 31 | 49.9±9.9 | S |
| Fuhrman grade | 0.017 | ||||||
| 1 | 90 (19.1%) | 94.3±2.5 | 66 | 96.9±2.1 | 24 | 87.3±6.9 | S |
| 2 | 217 (46.0%) | 92.2±1.9 | 172 | 95.6±1.6 | 45 | 79.4±6.1 | S |
| 3 | 107 (22.6%) | 70.6±6.9 | 77 | 76.4±7.7 | 30 | 56.2±11.2 | S |
| 4 | 58 (12.3%) | 41.3±7.7 | 34 | 40.2±10.0 | 24 | 43.6±12.0 | N |
| LVI | 0.005 | ||||||
| Absent | 353 (74.8%) | 89.0±2.0 | 273 | 91.5±2.1 | 80 | 80.4±4.7 | S |
| Present | 119 (25.2%) | 63.7±4.9 | 76 | 72.8±5.5 | 43 | 49.6±8.3 | N |
| Sarcomatoid features | 0.804 | ||||||
| None | 459 (97.2%) | 84.3±1.9 | 339 | 89.2±2.0 | 120 | 70.4±4.4 | S |
| Present | 13 ( 2.8%) | 23.1±17.7 | 10 | 40.0±15.5 | 3 | 66.7±27.2 | N |
| Coagulative necrosis | 0.002 | ||||||
| None | 377 (79.9%) | 88.5±1.9 | 291 | 90.8±2.1 | 86 | 81.1±4.4 | S |
| Present | 95 (20.1%) | 58.9±5.7 | 58 | 70.8±6.3 | 37 | 38.1±9.6 | S |
| Follow-up duration, mo | |||||||
| Median (IQR) | 73.0 (72.0 to 74.0) | 73.0 (72.0 to 74.0) | 72.0 (71.0 to 73.0) | 0.092 | |||
Abbreviation: CCR8, CC chemokine receptor 8; RFS, recurrence-free survival; ccRCC, clear-cell renal cell carcinoma; ECOG-PS, Eastern cooperative Oncology Group performance status; LVI, lymphovascular invasion; IQR, interquartile range; S, significant (Log-rank test P < 0.05); N, non-significant (Log-rank test P ≥ 0.05).
Outcome estimation is limited to the largest survival time when it is censored.
Fisher's exact test to assess the correlation between variables and CCR8.
Wilcoxon rank-sum test.
Log-rank test of equality of survival distributions for the different levels of CCR8.
Proportional hazard model for RFS prediction of non-metastatic ccRCC patients
| Base model | Bootstrap validate model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||
| Age at surgery (Continuous by 5-yr increment) | 1.090 (0.973 to 1.222) | 0.137 | Adjusted | |
| Gender (Male | 1.559 (0.876 to 2.777) | 0.131 | Adjusted | |
| ECOG-PS (≥1 | 1.310 (0.671 to 2.556) | 0.429 | 1.444 (0.592 to 3.456) | 0.426 |
| Tumor size (Continuous, cm) | 1.358 (1.220 to 1.511) | <0.001 | 1.375 (1.183 to 1.613) | 0.003 |
| Pathological T stage (pT1 | <0.001 | 0.001 | ||
| pT2 | 2.034 (0.815 to 5.076) | 0.128 | 1.724 (0.496 to 5.501) | 0.226 |
| pT3 | 4.022 (2.042 to 7.920) | <0.001 | 3.906 (1.428 to 7.996) | 0.003 |
| Fuhrman grade (1+2 | <0.001 | 0.001 | ||
| 3 | 2.206 (1.152 to 4.224) | 0.017 | 2.300 (1.058 to 4.821) | 0.018 |
| 4 | 4.038 (1.994 to 8.180) | <0.001 | 3.985 (1.602 to 9.422) | 0.001 |
| LVI (Present | 2.943 (1.742 to 4.969) | <0.001 | 2.727 (1.366 to 5.124) | 0.002 |
| Sarcomatoid features (Present | 5.442 (2.060 to 14.374) | 0.001 | 6.250 (1.000 to 37.115) | 0.042 |
| Coagulative necrosis (Present | 2.724 (1.566 to 4.739) | <0.001 | 2.582 (1.361 to 4.993) | 0.002 |
| CCR8 (Positive | 2.014 (1.224 to 3.315) | 0.006 | 2.198 (1.154 to 4.154) | 0.008 |
Abbreviation: CCR8, CC chemokine receptor 8; RFS, recurrence-free survival; ccRCC, clear-cell renal cell carcinoma; ECOG-PS, Eastern cooperative Oncology Group performance status; LVI, lymphovascular invasion.
The bootstrap validate model is calculated on the basis of adjusted survival function for age and gender by the time of surgery. Bootstrapping with 1000 resamples were used.
Figure 2Multivariate analyses of conventional prognostic features in diverse Leibovich risk groups
The relative hazard of each feature for recurrence are scaled in logarithmic form, P-values of CCR8 expression pertinence to recurrence-free survival are highlighted. Abbreviation: LVI, lymphovascular invasion; RFS, recurrence-free survival; CCR8, CC chemokine receptor 8.
Figure 3Built-up prognostic nomogram and calibration plots for RFS prediction of postoperative ccRCC patients
A. Six independent prognostic factors including pathological T stage, Fuhrman grade, tumor size, coagulative necrosis, LVI presentation and CCR8 expression were identified and entered into the nomogram to predict 6-year recurrence risk and recurrence-free survival. B. Calibration curves for predicting 6-year RFS of ccRCC patients. The nomogram-predicted RFS is plotted on the x-axis, actual RFS (solid red circles) and bootstrapped RFS (blue hollow triangle) are plotted on the y-axis, a plot along the 45-degree (dash line) indicate a perfect calibration in which the predicted probabilities are identical to the actual outcomes. Abbreviation: LVI, lymphovascular invasion; RFS, recurrence-free survival; CCR8, CC chemokine receptor 8.
Prognostication comparison of built-up nomogram and original Leibovich model
| C-index (95%CI) | AIC | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients group | No. of patients (%) | Nomogram | Leibovich | Coefficient (95%CI) | Nomogram | Leibovich | |
| Overall | 472 (100%) | 0.854 (0.811 to 0.896) | 0.836 (0.790 to 0.882) | 0.037 (0.013 to 0.061) | 0.010 | 706.0 | 738.2 |
| TNM stage I+II | 345 (73.1%) | 0.819 (0.750 to 0.888) | 0.768 (0.696 to 0.839) | 0.051 (0.001 to 0.101) | 0.044 | 404.8 | 410.0 |
| UISS low or intermediate risk | 438 (92.8%) | 0.847 (0.790 to 0.903) | 0.797 (0.738 to 0.856) | 0.048 (0.015 to 0.082) | 0.005 | 559.7 | 593.9 |
| SSIGN low or intermediate risk | 458 (97.0%) | 0.848 (0.796 to 0.900) | 0.801 (0.746 to 0.856) | 0.049 (0.018 to 0.079) | 0.002 | 608.5 | 645.0 |
Abbreviation: C-index, concordance index; AIC, Akaike's information criterion; UISS, UCLA Integrated Staging System; SSIGN, Mayo clinic stage, size, grade, and necrosis; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
C-index, 95%CI and AIC are calculated from 1000 bootstrap samples to protect from overfitting.