| Literature DB >> 26712777 |
Margaret Ralston1, Enid Schatz2,3,4, Jane Menken5,6, Francesc Xavier Gómez-Olivé7,8, Stephen Tollman9,10,11.
Abstract
Social protection grants play a critical role in survival and livelihoods of elderly individuals in South Africa. Rarely is it possible to assess how well a social program reaches its target population. Using a 2010 survey and Agincourt Health Demographic Surveillance System census data we conduct multivariate logistic regression to predict pension receipt in rural South Africa. We find only 80% of age-eligible individuals report pension receipt. Pension non-recipients tend to be male, have poor socio-economic status, live in smaller households, be of Mozambican origin, and have poorer physical function; while older persons living in households receiving other grants are more likely to report pension receipt. We conclude that a reservoir of older persons exists who meet eligibility criteria but who are not yet receiving pensions. Ensuring that they and their households are properly linked to all available social services--whether for child or old-age social grants--is likely to have beneficial and synergistic effects.Entities:
Keywords: Africa; South Africa; ageing; pension; self-reported disability; socio-economic status
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26712777 PMCID: PMC4730476 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13010085
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Percent reporting pension receipt by sex and 5-year age group, Agincourt HDSS and WHO-SAGE 2010; % (N).
| WHO-SAGE | Agincourt HDSS | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men ( | Women ( | Men ( | Women ( | |
| Age Groups | ||||
| 50 to 54 | 3.3% (7/214) | 2.2% (18/816) | 1.2% (11/907) | 1.5% (19/1283) |
| 55 to 59 | 11.1% (27/244) | 10.7% (80/750) | 5.8% (46/792) | 9.5% (102/1070) |
| 60 to 64 | 73.9% (198/268) | 79.3% (518/653) | 53.8% (331/615) | 75.2% (627/834) |
| 65 to 69 | 84.3% (193/229) | 84.4% (499/591) | 72.9% (274/376) | 81.5% (566/694) |
| 70 to 74 | 88.1% (215/244) | 86.8% (488/562) | 81.2% (315/388) | 84.0% (553/659) |
| 75 plus | 83.1% (275/331) | 86.1% (951/1104) | 80.0% (375/469) | 84.6% (1088/1286) |
| % of 50–59 reporting pension | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
| % of pension eligible (60+) reporting pension | 82.2% | 84.4% | 70.1% | 81.6% |
Description of adults 60+ by pension receipt, Agincourt HDSS and WHO-SAGE 2010.
| Pensioners ( | Non-Pensioners ( | Total ( | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 68.4% | 52.0% | −9.9 * | 64.9% | 0–1 |
| South African | 72.3% | 53.2% | −12.0 * | 68.3% | 0–1 |
| In partnership | 42.2% | 44.1% | 1.1 | 42.6% | 0–1 |
| No formal education | 69.3% | 66.0% | −2.0 * | 68.6% | 0–1 |
| Currently working | 13.4% | 36.8% | 17.9 * | 18.4% | 0–1 |
| Bad self-rated health b | 20.3% | 23.6% | 1.8 | 20.8% | 0–1 |
| Child grant in household | 61.2% | 56.4% | −2.9 * | 60.2% | 0–1 |
| Other grant in household | 7.9% | 5.0% | −3.3 * | 7.3% | 0–1 |
| Current working adult in household | 62.6% | 63.7% | 0.7 | 62.8% | 0–1 |
| Only individuals 60 plus in household | 9.0% | 10.3% | 1.3 | 9.3% | 0–1 |
| Skip generation household | 1.2% | 0.6% | −1.8 * | 1.1% | 0–1 |
| Three generation household | 72.0% | 74.0% | −0.6 | 73% | 0–1 |
| Age: Mean (SD) | 71.9 (8.4) | 68.8 (8.8) | −10.6 * | 71.3 (8.5) | 60–106 |
| Household size: Mean (SD) | 7.2 (4.2) | 7.6 (4.7) | 2.8 * | 7.3 (4.3) | 1–39 |
| Percent of household under 15: Mean (SD) | 23.2 (17.5) | 23.6 (17.1) | 0.6 | 23.3 (17.4) | 0–75 |
| WHODAS disability Score II (0 = BEST); Mean (SD) b | 19.03 (19.3) | 13.5 (19.6) | −8.3 * | 17.8 (19.5) | 0–100 |
Notes: a Compares differences in means of pensioners and non-pensioners (t-statistic reported); b Sample WHO-SAGE N = 3673 (non-pensioners = 554; pensioners = 3119); * p < 0.05 (two-tailed).
Description of adults 60+ permanently in the Agincourt sub-district by response status to WHO-SAGE, 2010.
| Respondents ( | Non-Respondents ( | Total ( | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pension receipt | 84% | 59% | −19.4 * | 78% | 0–1 |
| Female | 73% | 42% | −21.5 * | 65% | 0–1 |
| South African | 68% | 66% | −1.2 | 68% | 0–1 |
| In partnership | 37% | 53% | 10.1 * | 41% | 0–1 |
| No formal education | 71% | 64% | −4.4 * | 69% | 0–1 |
| Currently working | 12% | 38% | 22.1 * | 18% | 0–1 |
| Child grant in household | 59% | 62% | 2.5 * | 60% | 0–1 |
| Other grant in household | 8% | 6% | −2.2 * | 7% | 0–1 |
| Current working adult in household | 60% | 63% | 1.0 | 60% | 0–1 |
| SES score: Mean (SD) | 2.5(.42) | 2.6(.43) | 4.5 * | 2.5 | 0.9–3.8 |
| Age: Mean (SD) | 72 (8.4) | 69 (8.5) | −10.3 * | 71 (8.5) | 60–106 |
| Household size: Mean (SD) | 7 (4.2) | 7.8 (4.4) | 6.7 * | 7.2 (4.3) | 1–39 |
| Percent of household under 15: Mean (SD) | 23 (17.8) | 24 (16.6) | 1.4 | 23 (17.5) | 0–75 |
Notes: a Compares differences in means of respondents and non-respondents; * p < 0.05.
Figure 1Distribution of socioeconomic status for persons 60 years and older by reported pension receipt, Agincourt HDSS 2010; N = 4915.
Logistic regression odds ratios and (95% CI) predicting reported pension receipt for adults 60+, Agincourt HDSS and WHO-SAGE 2010.
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 1.842 *** | 1.799 *** | 1.029 | 1.574 ** |
| (1.541–2.202) | (1.504–2.152) | (0.795–1.333) | (1.218–2.033) | |
| South African | 2.714 *** | 2.568 *** | 1.481 ** | 2.938 *** |
| (2.309–3.190) | (2.157–3.056) | (1.155–1.899) | (2.366–3.648) | |
| In partnership | 1.676 *** | 1.613 *** | 1.598 *** | 1.839 *** |
| (1.389–2.023) | (1.332–1.952) | (1.321–1.934) | (1.432–2.361) | |
| Age | 1.031 *** | 1.032 *** | 1.033 *** | 1.040 *** |
| (1.020–1.042) | (1.022–1.044) | (1.022–1.044) | (1.025–1.054) | |
| No formal education | 1.129 | 1.164 | 1.150 | 1.005 |
| (0.957–1.332) | (0.985–1.376) | (0.971–1.362) | (0.803–1.257) | |
| Currently working | 0.334 *** | 0.324 *** | 0.318 *** | 0.665 ** |
| (0.280–0.399) | (0.271–0.388) | (0.265–0.380) | (0.500–0.883) | |
| SES score | - | 1.427 ** | 1.446 ** | 1.543 ** |
| (1.153–1.766) | (1.171–1.786) | (1.174–2.028) | ||
| Household size | - | 0.954 *** | 0.952 *** | 0.943 *** |
| (0.935–0.972) | (0.934–0.971) | (0.918–0.968) | ||
| Child grant in household | - | 1.760 *** | 1.760 *** | 2.025 *** |
| (1.479–2.096) | (1.476–2.100) | (1.617–2.535) | ||
| Other grant in household | - | 1.742 ** | 1.716 ** | 1.580 ** |
| (1.262–2.406) | (1.242–2.370) | (1.056–2.363) | ||
| South African * Female | - | - | 2.527 *** | - |
| (1.867–3.420) | ||||
| Bad self-rated health | - | - | - | 0.823 |
| (0.650–1.041) | ||||
| Disability score | - | - | - | 0.990 *** |
| (0.984–0.995) | ||||
| N | 4915 | 4915 | 4915 | 3685 |
Notes: Clustered by household; * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01; *** p < 0.001 (two-tailed).
Figure 2Predicted probability of receiving the pension by gender and nationality, Agincourt HDSS 2010; N = 4915. Figure derived from Model 3 in Table 3, with all variables but Female and South African set at their means.