| Literature DB >> 26657296 |
Li Zhang1, Zuo-Lin Xiang1, Zhao-Chong Zeng1, Jia Fan2, Zhao-You Tang2, Xiao-Mei Zhao1.
Abstract
We developed an efficient microRNA (miRNA) model that could predict the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We first evaluated a training cohort of 192 HCC patients after hepatectomy and found five LNM associated predictive factors: vascular invasion, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, miR-145, miR-31, and miR-92a. The five statistically independent factors were used to develop a predictive model. The predictive value of the miRNA-based model was confirmed in a validation cohort of 209 consecutive HCC patients. The prediction model was scored for LNM risk from 0 to 8. The cutoff value 4 was used to distinguish high-risk and low-risk groups. The model sensitivity and specificity was 69.6 and 80.2%, respectively, during 5 years in the validation cohort. And the area under the curve (AUC) for the miRNA-based prognostic model was 0.860. The 5-year positive and negative predictive values of the model in the validation cohort were 30.3 and 95.5%, respectively. Cox regression analysis revealed that the LNM hazard ratio of the high-risk versus low-risk groups was 11.751 (95% CI, 5.110-27.021; P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. In conclusion, the miRNA-based model is reliable and accurate for the early prediction of LNM in patients with HCC.Entities:
Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma; in situ hybridization; lymph node metastasis; microRNA; prediction model
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26657296 PMCID: PMC4823129 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.6534
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Figure 1Expression of miR-145, miR-31, miR-92a, and miR-10b in hepatocellular carcinoma tissue microarrays
Representative miR-145, miR-31, miR-92a, and miR-10b staining. Negative intratumoral expression of miR-145 A. positive intratumoral expression of miR-145 B. negative intratumoral expression of miR-31 C. positive intratumoral expression of miR-31 D. negative intratumoral expression of miR-92a E. positive intratumoral expression of miR-92a F. low intratumoral expression of miR-10b G. and high intratumoral expression of miR-10b H. Magnification × 200.
Clinicopathological characteristics of the study population
| Variable | Training cohort | Validation cohort | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | NLNM | LNM | All | NLNM | LNM | |||
| Age | ||||||||
| ≤ 51 | 94 | 82 | 12 | 0.742 | 102 | 88 | 14 | 0.220 |
| >51 | 98 | 87 | 11 | 107 | 98 | 9 | ||
| Gender | ||||||||
| male | 168 | 149 | 19 | 0.674 | 182 | 163 | 19 | 0.728 |
| female | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | ||
| HBsAg | ||||||||
| negative | 53 | 46 | 7 | 0.746 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 0.634 |
| positive | 139 | 123 | 16 | 155 | 137 | 18 | ||
| HCV-Ab | ||||||||
| negative | 188 | 165 | 23 | 0.457 | 205 | 182 | 23 | 0.479 |
| positive | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ||
| AFP | ||||||||
| ≤20 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 0.111 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 0.391 |
| >20 | 143 | 129 | 14 | 152 | 137 | 15 | ||
| ALT | ||||||||
| ≤40 | 112 | 100 | 12 | 0.523 | 121 | 108 | 13 | 0.888 |
| >40 | 80 | 69 | 11 | 88 | 78 | 10 | ||
| γ-GT | ||||||||
| ≤50 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 0.558 | 74 | 68 | 6 | 0.322 |
| >50 | 123 | 107 | 16 | 135 | 118 | 17 | ||
| Liver cirrhosis | ||||||||
| no | 31 | 27 | 4 | 1.000 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 0.599 |
| yes | 161 | 142 | 19 | 176 | 158 | 18 | ||
| Child-Pugh score | ||||||||
| A | 190 | 167 | 23 | 0.601 | 207 | 184 | 23 | 0.618 |
| B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||
| Tumor differentiation | ||||||||
| I–II | 140 | 124 | 16 | 0.700 | 153 | 135 | 18 | 0.562 |
| III–IV | 52 | 45 | 7 | 56 | 51 | 5 | ||
| Tumor size, cm | ||||||||
| ≤5 | 98 | 87 | 11 | 0.742 | 108 | 95 | 13 | 0.622 |
| >5 | 94 | 82 | 12 | 101 | 91 | 10 | ||
| Tumor number | ||||||||
| single | 139 | 123 | 16 | 0.746 | 153 | 138 | 15 | 0.359 |
| multiple | 53 | 46 | 7 | 56 | 48 | 8 | ||
| Tumor encapsulation | ||||||||
| complete | 98 | 83 | 15 | 0.147 | 107 | 93 | 14 | 0.325 |
| none | 94 | 86 | 8 | 102 | 93 | 9 | ||
| Vascular invasion | ||||||||
| no | 165 | 154 | 11 | < 0.001* | 164 | 152 | 12 | 0.003* |
| yes | 27 | 15 | 12 | 45 | 34 | 11 | ||
| BCLC stage | ||||||||
| 0-A | 169 | 156 | 13 | < 0.001* | 177 | 166 | 11 | < 0.001* |
| B-C | 23 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 20 | 12 | ||
| MiR-145 | ||||||||
| negative | 145 | 138 | 7 | < 0.001* | 155 | 146 | 9 | 0.001* |
| positive | 47 | 31 | 16 | 54 | 40 | 14 | ||
| MiR-31 | ||||||||
| negative | 157 | 147 | 10 | < 0.001* | 170 | 166 | 4 | < 0.001* |
| positive | 35 | 22 | 13 | 39 | 20 | 19 | ||
| MiR-92a | ||||||||
| negative | 137 | 132 | 5 | < 0.001* | 143 | 141 | 2 | < 0.001* |
| positive | 55 | 37 | 18 | 66 | 45 | 21 | ||
| MiR-10b | ||||||||
| low expression | 133 | 117 | 16 | 0.974 | 144 | 130 | 14 | 0.378 |
| high expression | 59 | 52 | 7 | 65 | 56 | 9 | ||
HBsAg hepatitis B surface antigen, HCV-Ab hepatitis C virus antibody, AFP a-fetoprotein, ALT alanine aminotransferase, γ-GT γ-glutamyl transferase, BCLC stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage,* significance values.
Univariate analysis of clinicopathological factors associated with lymph node metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma in the training cohort
| Clinicopathological factors | Univariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio | 95% CI | ||
| Age | |||
| ≤ 51 | 1 | 0.402-3.479 | 0.761 |
| >51 | 1.182 | ||
| Gender | |||
| male | 1 | 0.383-1.970 | 0.736 |
| female | 0.868 | ||
| HBsAg | |||
| negative | 1 | 0.344-2.047 | 0.701 |
| positive | 0.840 | ||
| HCV-Ab | |||
| negative | 1 | 0.000–1.094E7 | 0.757 |
| positive | 0.048 | ||
| AFP | |||
| ≤20 | 1 | 0.255-1.364 | 0.217 |
| >20 | 0.590 | ||
| ALT | |||
| ≤40 | 1 | 0.637-3.286 | 0.337 |
| >40 | 1.447 | ||
| γ-GT | |||
| ≤50 | 1 | 0.963-5.929 | 0.060 |
| >50 | 2.389 | ||
| Liver cirrhosis | |||
| no | 1 | 0.281-2.438 | 0.731 |
| yes | 0.827 | ||
| Child-Pugh score | |||
| A | 1 | 0.000-4.640E4 | 0.666 |
| B | 0.048 | ||
| Tumor differentiation | |||
| I–II | 1 | 0.431-2.574 | 0.910 |
| III–IV | 1.053 | ||
| Tumor size, cm | |||
| ≤5 | 1 | 0.634-3.269 | 0.383 |
| >5 | 1.440 | ||
| Tumor number | |||
| single | 1 | 0.458-2.710 | 0.811 |
| multiple | 1.115 | ||
| Tumor encapsulation | |||
| complete | 1 | 0.187-1.049 | 0.064 |
| none | 0.443 | ||
| Vascular invasion | |||
| no | 1 | 4.577-24.284 | < 0.001* |
| yes | 10.543 | ||
| BCLC stage | |||
| 0-A | 1 | 1.050-6.765 | 0.039* |
| B-C | 2.665 | ||
| MiR-145 | |||
| negative | 1 | 1.123-5.777 | 0.025* |
| positive | 2.547 | ||
| MiR-31 | |||
| negative | 1 | 3.164-16.657 | < 0.001* |
| positive | 7.260 | ||
| MiR-92a | |||
| negative | 1 | 2.214-13.137 | < 0.001* |
| positive | 5.393 | ||
| MiR-10b | |||
| low expression | 1 | 0.334-1.981 | 0.650 |
| high expression | 0.814 | ||
HBsAg hepatitis B surface antigen, HCV-Ab hepatitis C virus antibody, AFP a-fetoprotein, ALT alanine aminotransferase, γ-GT γ-glutamyl transferase, BCLC stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, CI, confidence interval. * significance values.
Multivariate analysis of significant clinicopathological factors associated with lymph node metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma in the training cohort
| Clinicopathological factors | Multivariate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| χ2 score | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | ||
| Vascular invasion | ||||
| no | 1 | 2.010-13.199 | 0.001* | |
| yes | 11.665 | 5.151 | ||
| BCLC stage | ||||
| 0–A | 1 | 1.204-6.984 | 0.018* | |
| B–C | 5.632 | 2.899 | ||
| MiR-145 | ||||
| negative | 1 | 1.295-10.176 | 0.014* | |
| positive | 6.011 | 3.630 | ||
| MiR-31 | ||||
| negative | 1 | 1.427-8.613 | 0.006* | |
| positive | 7.485 | 3.506 | ||
| MiR-92a | ||||
| negative | 1 | 1.098-10.833 | 0.034* | |
| positive | 4.496 | 3.449 | ||
Variables were adopted for their prognostic significance on univariate analysis.
BCLC stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, CI confidence interval, * significance values.
Components of the lymph node metastasis prediction score
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Vascular invasion | |
| no | 0 |
| yes | 2.6 |
| BCLC stage | |
| 0-A | 0 |
| B-C | 1.3 |
| MiR-145 | |
| negative | 0 |
| positive | 1.3 |
| MiR-31 | |
| negative | 0 |
| positive | 1.7 |
| MiR-92a | |
| negative | 0 |
| positive | 1 |
BCLC stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, Scores ≤4 indicates low risk and >4 indicates high risk.