| Literature DB >> 26463498 |
Jasper V Been1,2,3,4, Lisa Szatkowski5, Tjeerd-Pieter van Staa6,7, Hubert G Leufkens7, Onno C van Schayck2,4, Aziz Sheikh2,4,8, Frank de Vries4,7,9,10, Patrick Souverein7.
Abstract
We investigated the association between introduction of smoke-free legislation in the UK (March 2006 for Scotland, April 2007 for Wales and Northern Ireland, and July 2007 for England) and the incidence of respiratory diseases among children. We extracted monthly counts of new diagnoses of wheezing/asthma and RTIs among children aged 0-12 years from all general practices in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink during 1997-2012. Interrupted time series analyses were performed using generalised additive mixed models, adjusting for underlying incidence trends, population size changes, seasonal factors, and pandemic influenza, as appropriate. 366,642 new wheezing/asthma diagnoses and 4,324,789 RTIs were observed over 9,536,003 patient-years. There was no statistically significant change in the incidence of wheezing/asthma after introduction of smoke-free legislation in England (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.94, 95% CI 0.81-1.09) or any other UK country (Scotland: IRR 0.99, 95% CI 0.83-1.19; Wales: IRR 1.09, 95% CI 0.89-1.35; Northern Ireland: IRR 0.96, 95% CI 0.76-1.22). Similarly no statistically significant changes in RTI incidence were demonstrated (England: IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.86-1.06; Scotland: IRR 0.96, 95% CI 0.83-1.11; Wales: IRR 0.97, 95% CI 0.86-1.09; Northern Ireland: IRR 0.90, 95% CI 0.79-1.03). There were no demonstrable reductions in the incidence of paediatric wheezing/asthma or RTIs following introduction of smoke-free legislation in the UK.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 26463498 PMCID: PMC4604467 DOI: 10.1038/srep15246
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Event counts and patient-years observed by diagnosis, country, and age group.
| Country, age group | Asthma | Respiratory tract infections | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Events (n) | Patient-years observed (n) | Mean incidence per 1,000 patient-months | All RTI events (n) | URTI events (n) | LRTI events (n) | Patient-years observed (n) | Mean RTI incidence per 1,000 patient-months | Mean URTI incidence per 1,000 patient-months | Mean LRTI incidence per 1,000 patient-months | |
| England | ||||||||||
| 0–4 years | 197,942 | 2,220,194 | 7.4 | 2,030,265 | 1,949,508 | 92,166 | 2,679,568 | 63.1 | 60.6 | 2.9 |
| 5–12 years | 96,092 | 3,500,493 | 2.3 | 1,525,504 | 1,503,407 | 23,467 | 4,940,896 | 25.7 | 25.4 | 0.4 |
| Total | 294,034 | 5,720,687 | 4.3 | 3,555,769 | 3,452,915 | 115,633 | 7,620,464 | 38.9 | 37.8 | 1.3 |
| Scotland | ||||||||||
| 0–4 years | 18,905 | 252,940 | 6.2 | 150,990 | 144,936 | 6,870 | 295,511 | 42.6 | 40.9 | 1.9 |
| 5–12 years | 10,372 | 408,272 | 2.1 | 118,462 | 116,979 | 1,598 | 557,239 | 17.7 | 17.5 | 0.2 |
| Total | 29,277 | 661,212 | 3.7 | 269,452 | 261,915 | 8,468 | 852,750 | 26.3 | 25.6 | 0.8 |
| Wales | ||||||||||
| 0–4 years | 19,067 | 206,206 | 7.7 | 200,546 | 191,956 | 9,697 | 250,071 | 66.8 | 64.0 | 3.2 |
| 5–12 years | 9,344 | 334,719 | 2.3 | 165,071 | 162,645 | 2,559 | 473,702 | 29.0 | 28.6 | 0.5 |
| Total | 28,411 | 540,925 | 4.4 | 365,617 | 354,601 | 12,256 | 723,773 | 42.1 | 40.8 | 1.4 |
| Northern Ireland | ||||||||||
| 0–4 years | 10,681 | 87,983 | 10.1 | 75,931 | 72,843 | 3,526 | 115,320 | 54.9 | 52.6 | 2.5 |
| 5–12 years | 4,239 | 140,867 | 2.5 | 58,020 | 57,196 | 869 | 223,695 | 21.6 | 21.3 | 0.3 |
| Total | 14,920 | 228,850 | 5.4 | 133,951 | 130,039 | 4,395 | 339,015 | 33.0 | 32.0 | 1.1 |
| All countries | ||||||||||
| 0–4 years | 246,595 | 2,770,073 | 7.4 | 2,457,732 | 2,359,243 | 112,259 | 3,340,470 | 61.3 | 58.9 | 2.8 |
| 5–12 years | 120,047 | 4,394,408 | 2.3 | 1,867,057 | 1,840,227 | 28,493 | 6,195,533 | 25.1 | 24.8 | 0.4 |
| Total | 366,642 | 7,151,674 | 4.3 | 4,324,789 | 4,199,470 | 140,752 | 9,536,003 | 37.8 | 36.7 | 1.2 |
RTI = respiratory tract infection; URTI = upper respiratory tract infection; LRTI = lower respiratory tract infection.
Figure 1Incidence trends in new wheezing/asthma diagnoses.
(A) England; (B) Scotland; (C) Wales; (D) Northern Ireland. Dashed line indicates introduction of smoke-free legislation.
Figure 2Incidence trends in new respiratory tract infection (RTI) diagnoses.
(A) England; (B) Scotland; (C) Wales; (D) Northern Ireland. Dashed line indicates introduction of smoke-free legislation.
Impact of smoke-free legislation on primary outcomes.
| Country | Asthma | Respiratory tract infections | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR | 95% CI | p-value | IRR | 95% CI | p-value | |
| England | 0.94 | 0.81–1.09 | 0.412 | 0.95 | 0.86–1.06 | 0.399 |
| Scotland | 0.99 | 0.83–1.19 | 0.946 | 0.96 | 0.83–1.12 | 0.620 |
| Wales | 1.09 | 0.89–1.35 | 0.406 | 0.97 | 0.86–1.09 | 0.641 |
| Northern Ireland | 0.96 | 0.76–1.22 | 0.745 | 0.90 | 0.79–1.03 | 0.132 |
See Supplementary Table S1 online for details of the variables included in each model. IRR = incidence rate ratio; CI = confidence interval.
Figure 3Incidence trends in upper and lower respiratory tract infection episodes in England.
(A) upper respiratory tract infections (URTI); (B) lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI). Dashed line indicates introduction of smoke-free legislation. Note the different scales on the y-axis.
Figure 4Incidence trends in new wheezing/asthma diagnoses in England according to age group.
(A) 0–4 years; (B) 5–12 years. Dashed line indicates introduction of smoke-free legislation. Note the different scales on the y-axis.
Figure 5Incidence trends in respiratory tract infection (RTI) episodes in England according to age group.
(A) 0–4 years; (B) 5–12 years. Dashed line indicates introduction of smoke-free legislation. Note the different scales on the y-axis.
Impact of smoke-free legislation in England on primary outcomes by age group.
| Age group | Asthma | Respiratory tract infections | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR | 95% CI | p-value | IRR | 95% CI | p-value | |
| 0–4 years | 0.96 | 0.84–1.10 | 0.580 | 0.97 | 0.88–1.08 | 0.621 |
| 5–12 years | 0.92 | 0.77–1.10 | 0.367 | 0.90 | 0.78–1.03 | 0.114 |
See Supplementary Table S1 online for details of the variables included in each model. IRR = incidence rate ratio; CI = confidence interval.