| Literature DB >> 26225221 |
C Pichardo-Almarza1, L Metcalf2, A Finkelstein3, V Diaz-Zuccarini2.
Abstract
More than 100,000 people have participated in controlled trials of statins (lowering cholesterol drugs) since the introduction of lovastatin in the 1980s. Meta-analyses of this data have shown that statins have a beneficial effect on treated groups compared to control groups, reducing cardiovascular risk. Inhibiting the HMG-CoA reductase in the liver, statins can reduce cholesterol levels, thus reducing LDL levels in circulation. Published data from intravascular ultrasound studies (IVUS) was used in this work to develop and validate a unique integrative system model; this consisted of analyzing control groups from two randomized controlled statins trials (24/97 subjects respectively), one treated group (40 subjects, simvastatin trial), and 27 male subjects (simvastatin, pharmacokinetic study). The model allows to simulate the pharmacokinetics of statins and its effect on the dynamics of lipoproteins (e.g., LDL) and the inflammatory pathway while simultaneously exploring the effect of flow-related variables (e.g., wall shear stress) on atherosclerosis progression.Entities:
Year: 2014 PMID: 26225221 PMCID: PMC4337252 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ISSN: 2163-8306
Figure 1(a) Simplified diagram of the integrative systems model proposed. (b) Fatty streak formation: Main mechanisms considered in the atherosclerosis model. (c) Simplified diagram of the atherosclerosis model showing variables and kinetic rate constants.
Figure 2(a) Comparison of simulation results (%TAV - 10 years of plaque growth) with growth trends reported in literature for control groups. (b) PK of simvastatin and simvastatin acid using the pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics (PKPD) model proposed. (c) LDL dynamic response to a daily dose of 40 mg of simvastatin during 12 months. (d) Comparison of simulation results for the plaque growth (%TAV) with the Jensen et al.32 study. In panel (a), time = 0 months is the time when the plaque starts to grow. In panels (b–d), time = 0 months is the time when the therapy starts.
Figure 3(a) “Growth” as implemented in the model. The arterial lumen (in red) would be remodeled as a consequence of plaque formation and development in time (in yellow). (b) Method for analysis of atheroma area. The left panel shows a representative intravascular ultrasound cross section. The right panel illustrates the boundaries planimetered for the external elastic membrane (EEM) and lumen and how the atheroma area is calculated. Image published by Nicholls et al.49 Copyright Elsevier (2006).
Figure 4Diagram of the pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics (PKPD) model used in this work and proposed by Kim et al.1
Systems pharmacology model: parameter values
| Symbol | Quantity | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Model of atherosclerosis | ||
| Foam cell formation constant | 9.25 × 10−24 | |
| Diffusion of monocytes out of the plaque | 5.75 × 10−6 | |
| Diffusion of LDL out of the plaque | 2.4 × 10−5 | |
| Diffusion of macrophages out of the plaque | 5.75 × 10−6 | |
| Diffusion of foam cells out of the plaque | 5.75 × 10−6 | |
| LDL oxidation rate constant | 3 ×10−4 | |
| Blood viscosity | 0.004 | |
| WSS threshold for monocyte wall transport | 1 | |
| ρ1 (s−1) | Rate of differentiation of monocytes into macrophages | 1.15 × 10−6 |
| Initial lumen radius | 0.03 | |
| Rate constant in Eq. | 5.5 × 10−13 | |
| Δ | Endothelial pressure difference | 2400 |
| Blood flow | 0.0075 | |
| Concentration of monocytes in blood | 5.5 × 108 | |
| σ | Endothelial reflection coefficient | 0.997 |
| PKPD Model | ||
| CL2(L/hr) | Clearance compartment 2 | 1740 |
| V2(L) | Volume compartment 2 | 8980 |
| CL3(L/hr) | Clearance compartment 3 | 383 |
| V3 (L) | Volume compartment 3 | 1190 |
| Ka (1/hr) | Absorption rate constant | 2.76 |
| Kin (nmol/L/hr) | Production rate of LDL | 29.52 |
| Emax | Max. effect due to the drug | 0.489 |
| EC50 (ng/ml) | Blood concentration at half max. effect | 0.0868 |
| LDLbaseline (nmol/L) | Baseline LDL | 1400 |
| Kout | Elimination rate constant for LDL | Kin/LDLbaseline |
Value proposed for this model.
Intravascular ultrasound progression/regression studies
| Study | Type | Year | Treatment | Follow-up (months) | % Change of TAV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESTABLISH | RCT | 2004 | Atorvastatin | 24 | 6 | 13.1% |
| Control | 24 | 8.7% | ||||
| ENCORE II | RCT | 2009 | Nifedipine | 97 | 18–24 | 5.0% |
| Placebo | 96 | 3.2% | ||||
| Jensen et al. | Non-RCT | 2004 | Simvastatin | 40 | 12 | 6.3% |
RCT, randomized controlled trial.
Parameter values for the synthetic population
| LDL levels in blood: |
| Mean = 1402 nmol/l |
| Median = 1396 nmol/l |
| Standard deviation = 141 |
| 5th and 95th percentile = (1190 – 1644) |
| Blood viscosity: |
| Mean = 0.004 Pa s |
| Median = 0.004 Pa s |
| Standard deviation= 8e-5 |
| 5th and 95th percentile = (0.0039 – 0.0041) |
| Lumen radius: |
| Mean = 0.03 dm |
| Median = 0.03 dm |
| Standard deviation= 0.0015 |
| 5th and 95th percentile = (0.0277 – 0.0325) |