Caroline A Kim1, Dae Hyun Kim1,2. 1. Division of Gerontology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts. 2. Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To examine whether the benefit of statins varied according to cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality of the treated population. DESIGN: Meta-analysis and meta-regression of 16 randomized placebo-controlled trials. SETTING: Community and hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Statin- (n = 59,671) and placebo-treated (n = 59,707) individuals with and without CV disease (mean age 55 to 75). MEASUREMENTS: Meta-regression was used to model relative risks (RRs) of major CV events (myocardial infarction and stroke) and total mortality for statins versus placebo as a function of CV and non-CV mortality risks of the study population. RESULTS: Every 1% increase in 5-year non-CV mortality risk of the study population was associated with a 3.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2 to 6.3%) greater RR of major CV events and a 4.4% (95% CI = 2.1 to 6.9%) greater RR of total mortality. (Higher RRs indicate smaller benefits.) CV mortality was not associated with statin effects (P > .05). In stratified analysis according to CV (≥5.3% vs <5.3%) and non-CV mortality (≥3.8% vs <3.8%) of the study population, statins had little mortality benefit in populations with high non-CV mortality, regardless of CV mortality (random-effects pooled RR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.72 to 0.91, for low CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.76 to 1.06 for low CV and high non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.72 to 0.87 for high CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.02 for high CV and high non-CV mortality). The CV event reduction was also attenuated in populations with high non-CV mortality (random-effects pooled RR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.75, for low CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.66 to 0.81 for low CV and high non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.69 to 0.87 for high CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.74 to 0.92 for high CV and high non-CV mortality). CONCLUSION: Benefits of statins may depend on the non-CV mortality risk of the treated population. This should be confirmed using individual-level data.
OBJECTIVES: To examine whether the benefit of statins varied according to cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality of the treated population. DESIGN: Meta-analysis and meta-regression of 16 randomized placebo-controlled trials. SETTING: Community and hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Statin- (n = 59,671) and placebo-treated (n = 59,707) individuals with and without CV disease (mean age 55 to 75). MEASUREMENTS: Meta-regression was used to model relative risks (RRs) of major CV events (myocardial infarction and stroke) and total mortality for statins versus placebo as a function of CV and non-CV mortality risks of the study population. RESULTS: Every 1% increase in 5-year non-CV mortality risk of the study population was associated with a 3.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2 to 6.3%) greater RR of major CV events and a 4.4% (95% CI = 2.1 to 6.9%) greater RR of total mortality. (Higher RRs indicate smaller benefits.) CV mortality was not associated with statin effects (P > .05). In stratified analysis according to CV (≥5.3% vs <5.3%) and non-CV mortality (≥3.8% vs <3.8%) of the study population, statins had little mortality benefit in populations with high non-CV mortality, regardless of CV mortality (random-effects pooled RR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.72 to 0.91, for low CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.76 to 1.06 for low CV and high non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.72 to 0.87 for high CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.02 for high CV and high non-CV mortality). The CV event reduction was also attenuated in populations with high non-CV mortality (random-effects pooled RR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.60 to 0.75, for low CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.66 to 0.81 for low CV and high non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.69 to 0.87 for high CV and low non-CV mortality; random-effects pooled RR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.74 to 0.92 for high CV and high non-CV mortality). CONCLUSION: Benefits of statins may depend on the non-CV mortality risk of the treated population. This should be confirmed using individual-level data.
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