| Literature DB >> 26158725 |
Min Hyung Kim1, Jin Young Ahn2, Je Eun Song2, Heun Choi2, Hea Won Ann2, Jae Kyoung Kim2, Jung Ho Kim2, Yong Duk Jeon2, Sun Bean Kim2, Su Jin Jeong2, Nam Su Ku2, Sang Hoon Han2, Young Goo Song2, Jun Young Choi2, Young Sam Kim3, June Myung Kim2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Sepsis, including severe sepsis and septic shock, is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) are considered as good diagnostic markers for sepsis. Thus, initial CRP and albumin levels were combined to ascertain their value as an independent predictor of 180-day mortality in patients with severe sepsis and septic shock.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 26158725 PMCID: PMC4497596 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132109
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Baseline features of the enrolled patients.
| Total | |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Age (years) | 65.06±14.39 |
| Male Gender | 352(52.54) |
|
| |
| CRP (mg/dL) | 15.22±1.12 |
| Albumin (g/L) | 31.41±7.17 |
| CRP | 5.298±4.258 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | 11.56±10.02 |
| Albumin (g/L) at 72 h | 27.01±5.57 |
| CRP | 4.58±4.15 |
| Procalcitonin (ug/L) | 35.75±53.52 |
| WBC (x103/mm3) | 13221.47±10568.73 |
| BUN (mg/dL) | 34.34±28.43 |
| Cr (mg/dL) | 2.10±1.87 |
| Lactate (mmol/L) | 4.14±3.46 |
|
| |
| CVP | 524/670 (78.21) |
| MAP | 646/670 (96.41) |
| ScvO2
| 574/670 (85.67) |
|
| |
| DM | 215/670(32.09) |
| COPD | 64/670(9.55) |
| CHF | 68/670(10.15) |
| CRF | 69/670(10.31) |
| Chronic liver disease | 64/670(9.55) |
| Malignancy | 233/670(37.89) |
| SOFA score | 8(6–10) |
|
| 117.96±130.26 |
The data was divided into two groups according to survival status at 180 days. Data are expressed as the mean ± SD / median (Q1-Q3) or N (%).
Abbreviations
1CRP, C-reactive protein
2WBC, white blood cell count
3BUN, blood urea nitrogen
4Cr, creatinine
5CVP, central venous pressure (Goal of CVP in EGDT protocol: 8-12mm Hg)
6MAP, mean arterial pressure(Goal of CVP in EGDT protocol: >65 and ≤90mm Hg) and
7SCvO2, central venous oxygen saturation(Goal of CVP in EGDT protocol: >70%)
8DM, diabetes mellitus
9 COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
10CHF, congestive heart failure
11CRF, chronic renal failure
12SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment.
a the number of patients who had available data was 524
b the number of patients who had available data was 596
c the number of patients who had available data was 496
d the number of patients who had available data was 148
e the number of patients who had available data was 663.
Cox proportional hazards analysis for 180-day mortality (CRP/albumin ratio at admission).
| Variable | Univariate HR | 95% CI |
| Multivariate HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (per 1-y increase) | 1.02 | 1.01–1.03 |
| 1.02 | 1.01–1.03 |
|
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 1 | |||||
| Female | 0.64 | 0.48–0.86 |
| 0.90 | 0.66–1.22 | 0.48 |
| SOFA score | 1.00 | 1.000–1.003 |
| 1.12 | 1.07–1.180 |
|
| CRP at admission | 1.002 | 1.001–1.004 |
| |||
| Albumin at admission | 0.90 | 0.88–0.92 |
| |||
| CRP/albumin at admission | 1.04 | 1.00–1.08 |
| 1.06 | 1.03–1.10 |
|
| Lactate at admission | 1.14 | 1.11–1.18 |
| 1.10 | 1.05–1.14 |
|
| Malignancy | 1.76 | 1.31–2.36 |
| 1.24 | 0.79–1.95 | 0.344 |
1The hazard ratio (HR) for death is expressed per 1-y increase in age, female to male in gender, per 1 unit increase in the SOFA score, 1 mg/L increase in CRP, 1 g/dL decrease in albumin, 1 increase in CRP (mg/dL)/albumin(g/dL), 1 mmol/dL increase in lactate and having malignancy to having no malignancy.
The multivariate analysis was adjusted for covariates such as age, gender, CRP/albumin ratio, SOFA score, lactate level and having malignancy or not, for each variable. Abbreviations: SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; CRP, C-reactive protein
Cox proportional hazards analysis for 180-day mortality (CRP/albumin ratio at 72 h after admission).
| Variable | Univariate HR | 95% CI |
| Multivariate HR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (per 1-y increase) | 1.02 | 1.01–1.03 | 0.006 | 1.02 | 1.00–1.03 |
|
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 1 | |||||
| Female | 0.64 | 0.48–0.86 |
| 0.70 | 0.48–1.03 | 0.067 |
| SOFA score | 1.197 | 1.15–1.25 |
| 1.12 | 1.06–1.19 |
|
| CRP at 72 h | 1.00 | 1.00–1.003 | 0.176 | |||
| Albumin at 72 h | 0.86 | 0.83–0.9 |
| |||
| CRP/albumin at 72 h | 1.08 | 1.05–1.11 |
| 1.02 | 0.98–1.06 | 0.348 |
| Lactate at admission | 1.14 | 1.11–1.18 |
| 1.06 | 1.01–1.12 |
|
| Malignancy | 1.76 | 1.31–2.36 |
| 1.19 | 0.71–2.00 | 0.512 |
1The hazard ratio (HR) for death is expressed per 1-y increase in age, female to male in gender, per 1 score increase in the SOFA score, 1 mg/L increase in CRP, 1 g/L decrease in albumin, 1 increase in CRP(mg/dL)/albumin(g/L), 1 mmol/dL increase in lactate and having malignancy to having no malignancy.
The multivariate analysis was adjusted for covariates such as age, gender, CRP/albumin ratio, SOFA score, lactate level and having malignancy or not, for each variable. Abbreviation: SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; CRP, C-reactive protein.
Fig 1Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of CRP and CRP/albumin ratio in predicting 180-day mortality.
The area under curve (AUC) for the CRP/albumin ratio is higher compared to CRP alone (p<0.001).
Comparison of the diagnostic performance of each factor in predicting 180-day mortality.
| Day 180 | TN | FN | FP | TP | Cut-off point | Sensitivity | Specificity | Accuracy | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRP at admission | 147 | 28 | 328 | 157 | >67.5 | 84.86(79.70–90.03) | 30.95(26.79–35.10) | 46.06(42.26–49.86) | 32.37(28.21–36.53) | 84.00(78.56–89.43) |
| CRP/Albumin at admission | 290 | 72 | 185 | 113 | >5.09 | 61.08(54.06–68.11) | 61.05(56.67–65.44) | 61.06(57.34–64.78) | 37.92(32.41–43.43) | 80.11(76.00–84.22) |
| CRP at 72 h | 130 | 29 | 263 | 99 | >47.13 | 77.34(70.09–84.60) | 33.08(28.43–37.73) | 43.95(39.69–48.22) | 27.34(22.76–31.94) | 81.76(75.76–87.76) |
| CRP/Albumin at 72 h | 84 | 15 | 285 | 112 | >0.91 | 88.19(82.58–93.80) | 22.76(18.49–27.04) | 39.51(35.21–43.82) | 28.21(23.78–32.63) | 84.85(77.79–91.91) |
Figures in brackets indicate the 95% confidence intervals of each value. Figures in TN, FN, FP, and TP indicate the numbers of patients included in each group. Abbreviations: CRP, C-reactive protein; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; FP, false positive; TP, true positive; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
Fig 2Kaplan-Meier analysis of the cumulative percentage of surviving patients at 180-days according to the different CRP/albumin levels.
Patients with higher levels of CRP/albumin ratio had a reduced survival rate. Solid line, CRP/albumin ratio ≤5.09; dashed line, CRP/albumin ratio >5.09.