Literature DB >> 26052471

Assessing Measles Transmission in the United States Following a Large Outbreak in California.

Seth Blumberg1, Lee Worden2, Wayne Enanoria3, Sarah Ackley3, Michael Deiner, Fengchen Liu2, Daozhou Gao2, Thomas Lietman4, Travis Porco4.   

Abstract

The recent increase in measles cases in California may raise questions regarding the continuing success of measles control. To determine whether the dynamics of measles is qualitatively different in comparison to previous years, we assess whether the 2014-2015 measles outbreak associated with an Anaheim theme park is consistent with subcriticality by calculating maximum-likelihood estimates for the effective reproduction numbe given this year's outbreak, using the Galton-Watson branching process model. We find that the dynamics after the initial transmission event are consistent with prior transmission, but does not exclude the possibilty that the effective reproduction number has increased.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Measles; effective reproduction number; infectious diseases; transmission chain

Year:  2015        PMID： 26052471      PMCID： PMC4455058          DOI： 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.b497624d7043b1aecfbfd3dfda3e344a

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PLoS Curr        ISSN： 2157-3999


  13 in total

Review 1.  Epidemiology of transmissible diseases after elimination.

Authors:  G De Serres; N J Gay; C P Farrington
Journal:  Am J Epidemiol       Date:  2000-06-01       Impact factor: 4.897

2.  Measles in the United States during the postelimination era.

Authors:  Amy Parker Fiebelkorn; Susan B Redd; Kathleen Gallagher; Paul A Rota; Jennifer Rota; William Bellini; Jane Seward
Journal:  J Infect Dis       Date:  2010-10-07       Impact factor: 5.226

3.  Measles cases exceed 100 in US outbreak.

Authors:  Michael McCarthy
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2015-02-03

4.  Comparing methods for estimating R0 from the size distribution of subcritical transmission chains.

Authors:  S Blumberg; J O Lloyd-Smith
Journal:  Epidemics       Date:  2013-06-03       Impact factor: 4.396

5.  Measles outbreak linked to Disney theme parks reaches five states and Mexico.

Authors:  Michael McCarthy
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2015-01-23

6.  Substandard vaccination compliance and the 2015 measles outbreak.

Authors:  Maimuna S Majumder; Emily L Cohn; Sumiko R Mekaru; Jane E Huston; John S Brownstein
Journal:  JAMA Pediatr       Date:  2015-05       Impact factor: 16.193

7.  Inference of R(0) and transmission heterogeneity from the size distribution of stuttering chains.

Authors:  Seth Blumberg; James O Lloyd-Smith
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2013-05-02       Impact factor: 4.475

8.  Detecting differential transmissibilities that affect the size of self-limited outbreaks.

Authors:  Seth Blumberg; Sebastian Funk; Juliet R C Pulliam
Journal:  PLoS Pathog       Date:  2014-10-30       Impact factor: 6.823

9.  Measles - United States, January 4-April 2, 2015.

Authors:  Nakia S Clemmons; Paul A Gastanaduy; Amy Parker Fiebelkorn; Susan B Redd; Gregory S Wallace
Journal:  MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep       Date:  2015-04-17       Impact factor: 17.586

10.  National, state, and selected local area vaccination coverage among children aged 19-35 months - United States, 2013.

Authors:  Laurie D Elam-Evans; David Yankey; James A Singleton; Maureen Kolasa
Journal:  MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep       Date:  2014-08-29       Impact factor: 17.586
View more
  12 in total

1.  Facebook and Twitter vaccine sentiment in response to measles outbreaks.

Authors:  Michael S Deiner; Cherie Fathy; Jessica Kim; Katherine Niemeyer; David Ramirez; Sarah F Ackley; Fengchen Liu; Thomas M Lietman; Travis C Porco
Journal:  Health Informatics J       Date:  2017-11-17       Impact factor: 2.681

2.  Genotype-Specific Measles Transmissibility: A Branching Process Analysis.

Authors:  Sarah F Ackley; Jill K Hacker; Wayne T A Enanoria; Lee Worden; Seth Blumberg; Travis C Porco; Jennifer Zipprich
Journal:  Clin Infect Dis       Date:  2018-04-03       Impact factor: 9.079

3.  An open-access database of infectious disease transmission trees to explore superspreader epidemiology.

Authors:  Juliana C Taube; Paige B Miller; John M Drake
Journal:  PLoS Biol       Date:  2022-06-22       Impact factor: 9.593

4.  Spatial Clustering of Vaccine Exemptions on the Risk of a Measles Outbreak.

Authors:  Ashley Gromis; Ka-Yuet Liu
Journal:  Pediatrics       Date:  2022-01-01       Impact factor: 9.703

5.  An Agent-Based Model of School Closing in Under-Vacccinated Communities During Measles Outbreaks.

Authors:  Wayne M Getz; Colin Carlson; Eric Dougherty; Travis C Porco Francis; Richard Salter
Journal:  Agent Dir Simul Symp       Date:  2016-04

6.  Spatial heterogeneity in projected leprosy trends in India.

Authors:  Cara E Brook; Roxanne Beauclair; Olina Ngwenya; Lee Worden; Martial Ndeffo-Mbah; Thomas M Lietman; Sudhir K Satpathy; Alison P Galvani; Travis C Porco
Journal:  Parasit Vectors       Date:  2015-10-22       Impact factor: 3.876

7.  Global Transmission Dynamics of Measles in the Measles Elimination Era.

Authors:  Yuki Furuse; Hitoshi Oshitani
Journal:  Viruses       Date:  2017-04-16       Impact factor: 5.048

8.  Waiting time to infectious disease emergence.

Authors:  Christopher J Dibble; Eamon B O'Dea; Andrew W Park; John M Drake
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2016-10       Impact factor: 4.118

9.  The Effect of Contact Investigations and Public Health Interventions in the Control and Prevention of Measles Transmission: A Simulation Study.

Authors:  Wayne T A Enanoria; Fengchen Liu; Jennifer Zipprich; Kathleen Harriman; Sarah Ackley; Seth Blumberg; Lee Worden; Travis C Porco
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2016-12-12       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  Products of Compartmental Models in Epidemiology.

Authors:  Lee Worden; Travis C Porco
Journal:  Comput Math Methods Med       Date:  2017-08-16       Impact factor: 2.238
View more

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.