| Literature DB >> 25886170 |
Marta Cervantes-Amat1,2, Gonzalo López-Abente3,4,5, Nuria Aragonés6,7,8, Marina Pollán9,10,11, Roberto Pastor-Barriuso12,13,14, Beatriz Pérez-Gómez15,16,17.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In Spain, cervical cancer prevention is based on opportunistic screening, due to the disease's traditionally low incidence and mortality rates. Changes in sexual behaviour, tourism and migration have, however, modified the probability of exposure to human papilloma virus among Spaniards. This study thus sought to evaluate recent cervical cancer mortality trends in Spain.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25886170 PMCID: PMC4408572 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-015-1306-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Cervical cancer deaths (original and corrected): Spain,1981-2012
| Cervical cancer deaths (C53) | All uterine cancer deaths (C53-C55) | U-NOSadeaths (C55) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original | Corrected |
| N | % of all deaths | % recoded as cervical cancer (C53) | |
|
|
| |||||
|
| 16669 | 26699 | 59899 | 22762 | 38% | 44% |
|
| ||||||
| 1981-1985 | 1760 | 4954 | 9400 | 6392 | 68% | 50% |
| 1986-1990 | 2314 | 4611 | 9082 | 4813 | 53% | 47% |
| 1991-1995 | 2624 | 4201 | 9038 | 3525 | 39% | 45% |
| 1996-2000 | 2749 | 3783 | 8928 | 2500 | 28% | 41% |
| 2001-2005 | 2741 | 3526 | 9000 | 2160 | 24% | 36% |
| 2006-2010 | 3139 | 3953 | 9992 | 2198 | 22% | 37% |
| 2011-2012 | 1342 | 1669 | 4459 | 936 | 21% | 35% |
|
| ||||||
| <45 years | 2541 | 3339 | 3704 | 926 | 25% | 88% |
| 45 to 64 years | 6471 | 10081 | 17279 | 6220 | 36% | 57% |
| > = 65 years | 7657 | 13279 | 38916 | 15566 | 40% | 37% |
|
| ||||||
|
| ||||||
| Galicia | 1401 | 2368 | 4982 | 2142 | 43% | 45% |
| Asturias | 605 | 921 | 2173 | 717 | 33% | 44% |
| Cantabria | 243 | 360 | 860 | 267 | 31% | 44% |
| Basque Country | 710 | 1160 | 2852 | 1027 | 36% | 44% |
| Navarre | 131 | 248 | 719 | 288 | 40% | 41% |
|
| ||||||
| Castile & Leon | 852 | 1497 | 3647 | 1459 | 40% | 44% |
| Castile-La Mancha | 557 | 1035 | 2560 | 1075 | 42% | 44% |
| Extremadura | 274 | 583 | 1462 | 702 | 48% | 44% |
| Madrid | 1906 | 2728 | 6011 | 1863 | 31% | 45% |
| Aragon | 369 | 746 | 1975 | 869 | 44% | 43% |
| La Rioja | 77 | 144 | 395 | 150 | 38% | 45% |
|
| ||||||
| Catalonia | 2776 | 4254 | 9612 | 3364 | 35% | 44% |
| Valencian Region | 1765 | 2897 | 6532 | 2547 | 39% | 44% |
| Murcia | 438 | 718 | 1624 | 617 | 38% | 45% |
| Andalusia | 2963 | 4892 | 10402 | 4265 | 41% | 45% |
|
| ||||||
| Balearic Islands | 546 | 769 | 1465 | 498 | 34% | 45% |
| Canary Islands | 976 | 1260 | 2432 | 632 | 26% | 45% |
|
| ||||||
| Ceuta | 40 | 61 | 101 | 45 | 45% | 47% |
| Melilla | 40 | 58 | 95 | 32 | 34% | 55% |
aNOS: not otherwise specified.
Figure 1Cervical cancer mortality in Spain (1981–2012). Observed age-standardised rates and estimated trends for women, both overall and by age group. Points: observed age-standardised rates. Lines (dashed and solid): modelled age-standardised rates (modelled data results from Joinpoint).
Age-standardised cervical cancer mortality rates (deaths per 100,000 women): trends in Spain,1981-2012
| % women >15yrs never screened++ | Age-standardised mortality rates (100,000 women-year) | Average annual percentage change | Annual percentage change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths | 1981 | 1986 | 1991 | 1996 | 2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 1981 | 1981-2012 | First period | Change point | Second period | Change point | Third period | ||||||||
|
| 1985 | 1990 | 1995 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2012 | 2012 | % | (95% CI) | % | (95% CI) | Year | (95% CI) | % | (95% CI) | Year | (95% CI) | % | (95% CI) | ||
|
| 27 | 26699 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
|
| 2003 | (2001–05) | 0.1 | (−0.9;1.2) | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20-44 years | 28 | 3328 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
|
| 0.1 | (−1.2;1.5) | 1995 | (1990–00) |
|
| ||||
| 45–64 years | 14 | 10081 | 9.7 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 6.6 |
|
|
|
| 2003 | (2000–06) | 1.4 | (−0.1;2.9) | ||||
| ≥65 years | 43 | 13279 | 17.6 | 15.3 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 11.0 |
|
|
|
| 2003 | (2000–05) | −0.1 | (−1.9;1.7) | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Galicia | 40 | 2368 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 4.0 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Asturias | 30 | 921 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Cantabria | 41 | 360 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Basque Country | 19 | 1160 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Navarre | 25 | 248 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
|
| ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Castile & Leon | 27 | 1497 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Castile-La Mancha | 33 | 1035 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
|
| 2002 | (1991–05) | 3.1 | (−0.9;7.2) | ||||
| Extremadura | 39 | 583 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.7 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Madrid | 21 | 2728 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Aragon | 31 | 746 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
|
| ||||||||||
| La Rioja | 23 | 144 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | −1.7 | (−4.1;0.7) | ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Catalonia | 20 | 4254 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
|
| 2004 | (1984–07) | 3.6 | (−2.2;9.6) | 2010 | (2001–10) | −12.3 | (−32.2;13.3) |
| Valencian Region | 21 | 2897 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
|
| 2002 | (1990–09) | 0.8 | (−1.6;3.2) | ||||
| Murcia | 33 | 718 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Andalusia | 40 | 4892 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
|
|
|
| 2004 | (1993–08) | 0.3 | (−2.2;2.9) | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Balearic Islands | 22 | 769 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 5.0 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Canary Islands | 15 | 1260 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
|
| ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ceuta | 30 | 61 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 5.8 | ||||||||||||
| Melilla | 58 | 58 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 6.2 | ||||||||||||
* total number of cases for the whole period: 11 cases; rates not shown.
+Joinpoint regression trend analyses by age group and geographical region.
Bold text: Statistically significant annual percentage change. ++% women aged >15 years reporting no citology screening test (Pap smear) in their lives by 2012 (National Health Surveys).
Figure 2Cervical cancer mortality in Spain (1981–2010); age-period-cohort analysis. a) Deviance table for age-period-cohort models; b) Trends in age-specific rates by birth cohort; c) Cross-sectional age effect for an average period; d) Curvature of period and cohort effects and change points in cohort curvature (vertical grey lines).