| Literature DB >> 25853001 |
Jahangir Am Khan1, Rashidul Alam Mahumud2.
Abstract
South-East Asian Regional (SEAR) countries range from low- to middle-income countries and have considerable differences in mix of public and private sector expenditure on health. This study intends to estimate the income-elasticities of healthcare expenditure in public and private sectors separately for investigating whether healthcare is a 'necessity' or 'luxury' for citizens of these countries. Panel data from 9 SEAR countries over 16 years (1995-2010) were employed. Fixed- and random-effect models were fitted to estimate income-elasticity of public, private and total healthcare expenditure. Results showed that one percent point increase in GDP per capita increased private expenditure on healthcare by 1.128%, while public expenditure increased by only 0.412%. Inclusion of three-year lagged variables of GDP per capita in the models did not have remarkable influence on the findings. The citizens of SEAR countries consider healthcare as a necessity while provided through public sector and a luxury when delivered by private sector. By increasing the public provisions of healthcare, more redistribution of healthcare resources can be ensured, which can accelerate the journey of SEAR countries towards universal health coverage.Entities:
Keywords: Fixed- and Random effect models; Healthcare expenditure; Income-elasticity; Public- and private sectors; South-East Asian Region; Universal health coverage
Year: 2015 PMID: 25853001 PMCID: PMC4384960 DOI: 10.1186/s13561-014-0038-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Health Econ Rev ISSN: 2191-1991
Variables employed in the analysis by countries
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| 12.5 | 137.6 | 29.0 | 39.5 | 226.3 | 21.0 | 64.5 | 166.1 | 84.6 | 86.8 |
| (10.2-14.7) | (105.8-169.4) | (23.3-34.8) | (31.5-47.4) | (161.2-291.3) | (16.6-25.3) | (54.6-74.3) | (129.8-202.4) | (72.6-96.5) | (72.5-101.0) | |
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| 19.9 | 34.1 | 54.8 | 29.3 | 106.8 | 28.6 | 52.8 | 56.1 | 7.6 | 43.3 |
| (15.0-24.7) | (31.7-36.6) | (46.7-63.0) | (25.1-33.5) | (95.8-117.7) | (27.4-29.7) | (45.7-59.9) | (50.5-61.7) | (6.2-9.1) | (38.5 -48.2) | |
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| 32.3 | 171.7 | 83.89 | 68.8 | 333.0 | 49.5 | 117.2 | 222.2 | 92.2 | 130.1 |
| (25.3-39.39) | (139.2-204.3) | (70.1-97.7) | (56.8-80.7) | (257.7-408.3) | (44.4-54.6) | (100.4-134.0) | (189.5-255.0) | (79.4-105.0) | (112.4-147.8) | |
| GDP per capita2) | 1123.1 | 3348.2 | 2106.8 | 3090.3 | 5374.2 | 938.4 | 3435.6 | 6355.6 | 1077.5 | 3034.5 |
| (1003.4-1242.8) | (2871.7-3824.7) | (1813.4-2400.3) | (2842.4-3338.1) | (4591.1-6157.2) | (893.8-982.9) | (3049.9-3821.3) | (5919.0-6792.2) | (986.7-1168.3) | (2717.4-3351.6) | |
| Female population, %3) | 48.9 | 48.2 | 48.2 | 50.1 | 49.6 | 50.3 | 50.3 | 50.7 | 48.9 | 49.4 |
| (48.8-49.0) | (47.7-48.7) | (48.2-48.3) | (50.0-50.1) | (49.2-49.4) | (50.2-50.3) | (50.2 - 50.5) | (50.6-50.8) | (48.8-48.9) | (49.3 -49.6) | |
| Urban population, %3) | 24.9 | 28.4 | 28.7 | 43.9 | 32.1 | 14.3 | 15.5 | 31.9 | 25.4 | 27.2 |
| (23.8-26.0) | (25.9-30.9) | (27.9-29.5) | (41.6-46.3) | (29.4-34.8) | (13.3-15.2) | (15.3-15.8) | (31.3-32.6) | (24.4-26.3) | (25.8 -28.7) | |
| Elderly population, %3) | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 4.8 |
| (4.1-4.3) | (4.2-4.5) | (4.3-4.6) | (4.7-5.2) | (3.9-4.7) | (3.6-3.9) | (6.7-7.4) | (7.0-8.1) | (2.4-2.7) | (4.5-5.1) | |
| Life expectancy at birth, years | 65.9 | 62.9 | 62.7 | 66.6 | 72.2 | 63.7 | 72.3 | 73.0 | 57.8 | 66.3 |
| (64.8-67.0) | (61.2-64.7) | (61.8-63.6) | (65.7-67.4) | (70.2-74.1) | (61.8-65.6) | (71.1-73.4) | (72.7-73.3) | (56.0-59.6) | (65.4-67.2) | |
| N | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | (13-17) | 144-153 |
Notes: 1)Mean and 95% confidence intervals are reported, 2)In international dollar, 3)As a percentage of total population.
Figure 1Trend of health expenditure per capita (PPP adjusted US$) in SEAR Countries over 1995 -2010.
Correlation matrix of independent variables used in the analyses
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| GDP per capita | 1.000 | ||||
| Female population | 0.298 (0.0002)*** | 1.000 | |||
| Elderly population | 0.708 (0.000)*** | 0.559 (0.000)*** | 1.000 | ||
| Urban population | 0.457 (0.000)*** | -0.109 (0.178) | 0.113 (0.163) | 1.000 | |
| Life expectancy at birth | 0.778 (0.000)*** | 0.491 (0.000)*** | 0.791 (0.000)*** | 0.221 (0.0062)*** | 1.000 |
Notes: ***, ** and * denotes significant at 1%, 5% and 10% risk level respectively.
Estimated effect of national income (GDP per capita) on health expenditure per capita in SEAR countries
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| Constant | - 9.442(0.000)*** | - 8.312(0.000) *** | - 7.838(0.001)*** | - 7.837(0.000)*** | - 22.029(0.000)*** | - 21.34(0.000)*** |
| GDP per capita1) | 0.7293(0.000) *** | 0.7255(0.000)*** | 0.412(0.004)*** | 0.449(0.001)*** | 1.128(0.000)*** | 1.101(0.000)*** |
| Female population | 0.1087(0.002)** | 0.0864(0.015)*** | 0.068(0.091)* | 0.067(0.100)* | 0.323(0.000)*** | 0.309(0.000)*** |
| Urban population | 0.0240(0.001)*** | 0.0205(0.002)** | 0.026(0.002)*** | 0.027(0.000)*** | 0.014(0.101)* | 0.010(0.208) |
| Elderly population | 0.0749(0.041)* | 0.0634(0.089)* | 0.206(0.000)*** | 0.192(0.000)*** | - 0.301(0.000)*** | - 0.288(0.000)*** |
| Life expectancy at birth | 0.0297(0.001)*** | 0.0323(0.000)*** | 0.054(0.000)*** | 0.052(0.000)*** | 0.029(0.009)*** | 0.032(0.002)*** |
| Observation (N) | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 |
| R2(R-squared) | ||||||
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| 0.8651 | 0.8643 | 0.8752 | 0.8750 | 0.6859 | 0.6853 |
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| 0.4924 | 0.5093 | 0.2837 | 0.2974 | 0.4195 | 0.4462 |
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| 0.5501 | 0.5666 | 0.3875 | 0.4005 | 0.4346 | 0.4590 |
| F-statistics | 161.61(0.000)*** | - | 176.66 (0.000)*** | - | 55.04(0.000)*** | - |
| Wald chi2 (5) | - | 686.58 (0.000)*** | - | 830.37(0.000)*** | - | 280.63 (0.000)*** |
| Hausman test | Chi2 (5) = 26.37 (0.0001)*** | Chi2 (5) = 13.11 (0.022)* | Chi2 (5) = 4.04 (0.5431) | |||
Notes: 1) Natural logged, ***, ** and * denotes significant at 1%, 5% and 10% risk level respectively.
Estimated effect of national income (natural logged GDP per capita) considering three-year lagged sustainable income change as well as demographic structure and health condition on health expenditure per capita in SEAR countries
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| Constant | - 10.579(0.000)*** | - 4.698(0.028)*** | - 9.009(0.000)*** | - 11.218(0.001)*** | -22.458(0.000)*** | - 2.669(0.310) |
| GDP per capita1) | 0.918(0.002)*** | 1.862(0.018)*** | 0.684(0.058)** | 2.001(0.114) | 1.452(0.000)*** | 1.939(0.046)** |
| Lag 1 of GDP per capita1) | - 0.062(0.834) | - 0.429(0.598) | - 0.155(0.668) | 0.007(0.996) | - 0.239(0.495) | - 1.221(0.224) |
| Lag 2 of GDP per capita1) | - 0.034(0.734) | - 0.026(0.927) | - 0.012(0.924) | - 0.007(0.988) | - 0.057(0.625) | - 0.059(0.868) |
| Lag 3 of GDP per capita1) | 0.036(0.640) | 0.009(0.967) | 0.022(0.816) | - 0.158(0.634) | - 0.016(0.858) | 0.217(0.395) |
| Female population | 0.128(0.000)*** | - 0.005(0.915) | 0.092(0.035)** | 0.083(0.234) | 0.326(0.000)* | - 0.057(0.291) |
| Urban population | 0.025(0.002)*** | - 0.025(0.000)*** | 0.030(0.002)*** | - 0.026(0.000)*** | 0.008(0.402) | - 0.025(0.000)*** |
| Elderly population | 0.061(0.135) | - 0.234(0.000)*** | 0.197(0.000)*** | - 0.316(0.000)*** | - 0.319(0.000)*** | - 0.151(0.001)*** |
| Life expectancy at birth | 0.018(0.139) | 0.005(0.680) | 0.038(0.012)*** | - 0.015(0.421) | 0.036(0.014)*** | 0.054(0.000)*** |
| Observation (N) | 125 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 125 |
| R2(R-squared) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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| 0.8548 | 0.3816 | 0.8542 | 0.2026 | 0.6807 | 0.3627 |
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| 0.4869 | 0.8485 | 0.2897 | 0.7167 | 0.4507 | 0.7119 |
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| 0.5363 | 0.8037 | 0.3936 | 0.7091 | 0.4500 | 0.6629 |
| F-statistics | 79.46(0.000)*** | - | 79.08 (0.000)*** | - | 28.78(0.000)*** | - |
| Wald chi2 (5) | - | 475.01(0.000)*** | - | 282.81(0.000)*** | - | 228.11(0.000)*** |
| Hausman test | Chi2 (8) =102.88 (0.000)*** | Chi2 (8) =108.51 (0.000)*** | Chi2 (8) =104.02 (0.000)*** | |||
NB: 1) Natural logged, ***, ** and * denotes significant at 1%, 5% and 10% risk level respectively.