| Literature DB >> 25722883 |
Lampros Kousoulas1, Florian W R Vondran1, Paulina Syryca1, Juergen Klempnauer1, Harald Schrem1, Frank Lehner1.
Abstract
Renal transplantation is the treatment of choice for patients suffering end-stage renal disease, but as the long-term renal allograft survival is limited, most transplant recipients will face graft loss and will be considered for a retransplantation. The goal of this study was to evaluate the patient and graft survival of the 61 renal transplant recipients after second or subsequent renal transplantation, transplanted in our institution between 1990 and 2010, and to identify risk factors related to inferior outcomes. Actuarial patient survival was 98.3%, 94.8%, and 88.2% after one, three, and five years, respectively. Actuarial graft survival was 86.8%, 80%, and 78.1% after one, three, and five years, respectively. Risk-adjusted analysis revealed that only age at the time of last transplantation had a significant influence on patient survival, whereas graft survival was influenced by multiple immunological and surgical factors, such as the number of HLA mismatches, the type of immunosuppression, the number of surgical complications, need of reoperation, primary graft nonfunction, and acute rejection episodes. In conclusion, third and subsequent renal transplantation constitute a valid therapeutic option, but inferior outcomes should be expected among elderly patients, hyperimmunized recipients, and recipients with multiple operations at the site of last renal transplantation.Entities:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25722883 PMCID: PMC4333330 DOI: 10.1155/2015/712049
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Transplant ISSN: 2090-0007
The distributions of variables in the investigated cohort are shown.
| Distribution of recipient variables |
| Mean (median) | SD | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number and percentage of female patients | 29 (47.5%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Blood groups | ||||
| 0 | 15 (24.6%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| A | 35 (57.4%) | |||
| B | 2 (3.3%) | |||
| AB | 9 (14.8%) | |||
| Age at last transplant in years | n.a. | 39.3 (39) | 10.8 | 20–63 |
| Number of kidney transplants/patient | n.a. | 3.3 (3) | 0.5 | 3–5 |
| PRA max. in % | n.a. | 72.8 (81.0) | 29.0 | 0–100 |
| PRA max. in groups | ||||
| 0–30% | 7 (11.5%) | |||
| >30–70% | 16 (26.2%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| >70% | 38 (62.3%) | |||
| PRA at transplant in % | n.a. | 43.7 (40) | 38.4 | 0–100 |
| PRA at transplant in groups | ||||
| 0–30% | 23 (37.7%) | |||
| >30–70% | 17 (27.9%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| >70% | 21 (34.4%) | |||
| Number of HLA-DR mismatches | ||||
| 0 | 33 (54.1%) | |||
| 1 | 21 (34.4%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| 2 | 7 (11.5%) | |||
| Number of all HLA mismatches | n.a. | 1.8 (2) | 1.5 | 0–5 |
| Number of all HLA mismatches in groups | ||||
| 0–2 | 39 (63.9%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| 3–6 | 22 (36.1%) | |||
| Plasmapheresis | 25 (41.0%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Induction therapy | 46 (75.4%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Type of induction therapy: | ||||
| Basiliximab (yes/no) | 15 (24.1%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Thymoglobulin (yes/no) | 31 (50.8%) | |||
| Cyclosporine based protocol | 44 (72.1%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Tacrolimus based protocol | 17 (27.9%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Mycophenolate mofetil therapy | 56 (91.8%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Azathioprine therapy | 5 (8.2%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Living donation | 2 (3.3%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Postmortem donation after brain death | 59 (96.7%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Simultaneous nephrectomy of previous graft | 14 (23.0%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of previous operations | n.a. | 1.9 (2) | 0.7 | 0–4 |
| Operating time in min | n.a. | 163.8 (160) | 59.6 | 70–390 |
| Cold ischemic time in min | n.a. | 1140 (1175) | 384 | 105–2104 |
| Number of surgical complications | n.a. | 0.6 (0) | 0.8 | 0–3 |
| Reoperations due to complications | 13 (21.3%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Primary graft non-function | 12 (19.7%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Acute graft rejection episodes | 31 (50.8%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Chronic graft rejection | 4 (6.6%) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
SD = standard deviation; n.a. = not applicable.
The univariate influences of the investigated variables on patient survival are shown.
| Recipient variables |
| Hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recipient sex | 0.191 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Recipient blood group | 0.547 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Age in years at last transplantation | 0.016 | 1.068 | 1.012–1.128 |
| Number of kidney transplants | 0.583 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in % | 0.231 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.386 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in % | 0.607 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.578 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of HLA-DR mismatches | 0.918 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of all HLA mismatches | 0.656 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of all HLA mismatches in groups (0–2, 3–6) | 0.348 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Plasmapheresis (yes/no) | 0.719 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Induction therapy (yes/no) | 0.321 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Type of induction therapy | 0.180 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Cyclosporine versus tacrolimus based therapy | 0.066 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine therapy | 0.430 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Living donor versus deceased donor | 0.482 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Simultaneous nephrectomy of previous graft (yes/no) | 0.532 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of previous operations at transplant site | 0.265 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Operating time in minutes | 0.359 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Cold ischemic time in minutes | 0.632 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Surgical complications (yes/no) | 0.294 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of surgical complications | 0.029 | 2.275 | 1.088–4.757 |
| Reoperation due to a complication (yes/no) | 0.054 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Primary graft non-function (yes/no) | 0.998 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Acute graft rejection episodes (yes/no) | 0.267 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Chronic graft rejection (yes/no) | 0.487 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Graft loss (yes/no) | 0.563 | n.a. | n.a. |
Univariate Cox regression analysis, n.a. = not applicable.
Those variables with significant influences on patient survival in univariate Cox regression analysis and their independent influences on patient survival in multivariate Cox regression analysis are shown.
| Recipient variables |
| Hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age in years | 0.016 | 1.068 | 1.012–1.128 |
| Number of surgical complications | 0.077 | n.a. | n.a. |
n.a. = not applicable.
Figure 1(a) The ROC-curve for age in years is shown for the prediction of mortality during follow-up. The area under the curve (AUROC) indicates potential prognostic value (AUROC = 0.723; 95% CI: 0.588–0.857). Multivariate Cox regression revealed age as a significant independent risk factor for mortality during follow-up. The cut-off value for age in years at last transplant chosen with the best Youden index for the prediction of mortality was 43 years. (b) Survival of patients who are ≤ 43 years old is significantly superior as compared to those who are older than 43 years at the time of their last kidney transplant (P = 0.005; Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, log rank test).
The univariate influences of the investigated variables on graft survival are shown (univariate Cox regression analysis).
| Recipient variables |
| Hazard ratio | 95% confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recipient sex | 0.604 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Recipient blood group | 0.562 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Age in years at last transplantation | 0.433 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of kidney transplants | 0.653 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in % | 0.460 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.480 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in % | 0.412 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.427 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of HLA-DR mismatches | 0.441 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of all HLA mismatches | 0.004 | 1.657 | 1.180–2.326 |
| Number of all HLA mismatches in groups (0–2, 3–6) | 0.002 | 4.440 | 1.691–11.655 |
| Plasmapheresis (yes/no) | 0.410 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Induction therapy (yes/no) | 0.334 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Type of induction therapy | 0.261 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Cyclosporine versus tacrolimus based therapy | 0.028 | 3.176 | 1.131–8.916 |
| Mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine therapy | 0.839 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Living donor versus deceased donor | 0.374 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Simultaneous nephrectomy of previous graft (yes/no) | 0.535 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of previous operations at transplant site | 0.463 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Operating time in minutes | 0.958 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Cold ischemic time in minutes | 0.914 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Surgical complications (yes/no) | 0.059 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of surgical complications | 0.003 | 2.225 | 1.318–3.758 |
| Reoperation due to a complication (yes/no) | 0.026 | 3.013 | 1.144–7.939 |
| Primary graft nonfunction (yes/no) | <0.001 | 6.384 | 2.290–17.797 |
| Acute graft rejection episodes (yes/no) | 0.005 | 4.872 | 1.602–14.816 |
| Chronic graft rejection (yes/no) | 0.888 | n.a. | n.a. |
Figure 2The influences of a primary graft nonfunction (a) and acute allograft rejection episodes during follow-up (b) on graft survival censored for death with functioning graft are shown (Kaplan-Meier survival analysis). The log rank test reveals that the differences in graft survival are statistically significant (P < 0.001 and P = 0.002, resp.).
The univariate influences of the investigated variables on primary nonfunction of the graft are shown (univariate binary logistic regression analysis).
| Recipient variables |
| Odds ratio | 95% confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recipient sex | 0.849 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Recipient blood group | 0.167 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Age in years at last transplantation | 0.374 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of kidney transplants | 0.526 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in % | 0.942 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA max. in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.609 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in % | 0.706 | n.a. | n.a. |
| PRA at last transplant in groups (0–30%, >30–70%, and >70%) | 0.323 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of HLA-DR mismatches | 0.024 | 2.867 | 1.150–7.148 |
| Number of all HLA mismatches | 0.016 | 1.827 | 1.120–2.982 |
| Number of all HLA mismatches in groups (0–2, 3–6) | 0.004 | 8.308 | 1.944–35.502 |
| Plasmapheresis (yes/no) | 0.479 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Induction therapy (yes/no) | 0.998 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Type of induction therapy | 0.010 | 4.316 | 1.422–13.100 |
| Cyclosporine versus tacrolimus based therapy | 0.234 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine therapy | 0.248 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Living donor deceased donor | 0.477 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Simultaneous nephrectomy of previous graft (yes/no) | 0.851 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Number of previous operations at transplant site | 0.334 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Operating time in minutes | 0.796 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Cold ischemic time in minutes | 0.763 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Surgical complications (yes/no) | 0.003 | 24.933 | 2.941–210.938 |
| Number of surgical complications | 0.001 | 7.223 | 2.206–23.648 |
| Reoperation due to a complication (yes/no) | 0.257 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Acute graft rejection episodes (yes/no) | 0.221 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Chronic graft rejection (yes/no) | 0.782 | n.a. | n.a. |
Figure 3The significant influence of a primary immunosuppressive protocol based on cyclosporine versus a primary immunosuppressive protocol based on tacrolimus on graft survival is shown (P = 0.016; Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with log rank test).