Literature DB >> 25521381

Choice certainty is informed by both evidence and decision time.

Roozbeh Kiani1, Leah Corthell2, Michael N Shadlen3.   

Abstract

"Degree of certainty" refers to the subjective belief, prior to feedback, that a decision is correct. A reliable estimate of certainty is essential for prediction, learning from mistakes, and planning subsequent actions when outcomes are not immediate. It is generally thought that certainty is informed by a neural representation of evidence at the time of a decision. Here we show that certainty is also informed by the time taken to form the decision. Human subjects reported simultaneously their choice and confidence about the direction of a noisy display of moving dots. Certainty was inversely correlated with reaction times and directly correlated with motion strength. Moreover, these correlations were preserved even for error responses, a finding that contradicts existing explanations of certainty based on signal detection theory. We also contrived a stimulus manipulation that led to longer decision times without affecting choice accuracy, thus demonstrating that deliberation time itself informs the estimate of certainty. We suggest that elapsed decision time informs certainty because it serves as a proxy for task difficulty.
Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Entities:  

Mesh:

Year:  2014        PMID: 25521381      PMCID: PMC4271191          DOI: 10.1016/j.neuron.2014.12.015

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Neuron        ISSN: 0896-6273            Impact factor:   17.173


  68 in total

1.  Neural correlates of a decision in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex of the macaque.

Authors:  J N Kim; M N Shadlen
Journal:  Nat Neurosci       Date:  1999-02       Impact factor: 24.884

2.  A stochastic model for individual choice behavior.

Authors:  R J AUDLEY
Journal:  Psychol Rev       Date:  1960-01       Impact factor: 8.934

3.  Bayesian inference with probabilistic population codes.

Authors:  Wei Ji Ma; Jeffrey M Beck; Peter E Latham; Alexandre Pouget
Journal:  Nat Neurosci       Date:  2006-10-22       Impact factor: 24.884

4.  Neural correlates, computation and behavioural impact of decision confidence.

Authors:  Adam Kepecs; Naoshige Uchida; Hatim A Zariwala; Zachary F Mainen
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2008-09-11       Impact factor: 49.962

5.  Dynamics of neural population responses in prefrontal cortex indicate changes of mind on single trials.

Authors:  Roozbeh Kiani; Christopher J Cueva; John B Reppas; William T Newsome
Journal:  Curr Biol       Date:  2014-06-19       Impact factor: 10.834

6.  The cost of accumulating evidence in perceptual decision making.

Authors:  Jan Drugowitsch; Rubén Moreno-Bote; Anne K Churchland; Michael N Shadlen; Alexandre Pouget
Journal:  J Neurosci       Date:  2012-03-14       Impact factor: 6.167

7.  Effects of alternating set for speed or accuracy on response time, accuracy and confidence in a unidimensional discrimination task.

Authors:  D Vickers; J Packer
Journal:  Acta Psychol (Amst)       Date:  1982-03

8.  Neural basis of a perceptual decision in the parietal cortex (area LIP) of the rhesus monkey.

Authors:  M N Shadlen; W T Newsome
Journal:  J Neurophysiol       Date:  2001-10       Impact factor: 2.714

9.  Modeling confidence and response time in recognition memory.

Authors:  Roger Ratcliff; Jeffrey J Starns
Journal:  Psychol Rev       Date:  2009-01       Impact factor: 8.934

10.  Dynamics of decision-making: from evidence accumulation to preference and belief.

Authors:  Marius Usher; Konstantinos Tsetsos; Erica C Yu; David A Lagnado
Journal:  Front Psychol       Date:  2013-10-18
View more
  116 in total

1.  Confidence predicts speed-accuracy tradeoff for subsequent decisions.

Authors:  Kobe Desender; Annika Boldt; Tom Verguts; Tobias H Donner
Journal:  Elife       Date:  2019-08-20       Impact factor: 8.140

2.  Confidence and certainty: distinct probabilistic quantities for different goals.

Authors:  Alexandre Pouget; Jan Drugowitsch; Adam Kepecs
Journal:  Nat Neurosci       Date:  2016-03       Impact factor: 24.884

3.  Confidence estimation as a stochastic process in a neurodynamical system of decision making.

Authors:  Ziqiang Wei; Xiao-Jing Wang
Journal:  J Neurophysiol       Date:  2015-05-06       Impact factor: 2.714

4.  Predictions Shape Confidence in Right Inferior Frontal Gyrus.

Authors:  Maxine T Sherman; Anil K Seth; Ryota Kanai
Journal:  J Neurosci       Date:  2016-10-05       Impact factor: 6.167

5.  Differentiating between Models of Perceptual Decision Making Using Pupil Size Inferred Confidence.

Authors:  Katsuhisa Kawaguchi; Stephane Clery; Paria Pourriahi; Lenka Seillier; Ralf M Haefner; Hendrikje Nienborg
Journal:  J Neurosci       Date:  2018-08-31       Impact factor: 6.167

6.  Modeling numerosity representation with an integrated diffusion model.

Authors:  Roger Ratcliff; Gail McKoon
Journal:  Psychol Rev       Date:  2017-11-16       Impact factor: 8.934

7.  Hierarchical decision processes that operate over distinct timescales underlie choice and changes in strategy.

Authors:  Braden A Purcell; Roozbeh Kiani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2016-07-18       Impact factor: 11.205

8.  Disentangling the origins of confidence in speeded perceptual judgments through multimodal imaging.

Authors:  Michael Pereira; Nathan Faivre; Iñaki Iturrate; Marco Wirthlin; Luana Serafini; Stéphanie Martin; Arnaud Desvachez; Olaf Blanke; Dimitri Van De Ville; José Del R Millán
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2020-04-01       Impact factor: 11.205

Review 9.  Sequential Sampling Models in Cognitive Neuroscience: Advantages, Applications, and Extensions.

Authors:  B U Forstmann; R Ratcliff; E-J Wagenmakers
Journal:  Annu Rev Psychol       Date:  2015-09-17       Impact factor: 24.137

10.  A single trial analysis of EEG in recognition memory: Tracking the neural correlates of memory strength.

Authors:  Roger Ratcliff; Per B Sederberg; Troy A Smith; Russ Childers
Journal:  Neuropsychologia       Date:  2016-09-29       Impact factor: 3.139

View more

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.