| Literature DB >> 25502035 |
Fatemeh Soltani Orang1, Hossein Ranjbar Aghdam2, Habib Abbasipour3, Alireza Askarianzadeh3.
Abstract
Effect of temperature on development of pink stem borer, Sesamia cretica Lederer, was studied at eight constant temperatures (15, 18, 20.5, 24, 27, 30, 34, and 38°C), a photoperiod of 16:8 (L:D) h, and 50-60% rela\tive humidity. The larvae of pink stem borer were reared on cutting stems of maize. The results showed that temperature had statistically significant effect on developmental times of the all developmental stages. The most commonly used six nonlinear models applied for modeling developmental rate of immature stages as a function of temperature. Evaluation of the models fit to data took place based on the coefficient of determination, residual sum of squires, adjusted coefficient of determination, and Akaike information criterion. Besides statistical criteria, biological significance was used to determine the best model. All the examined models statistically fit the data well. In addition, Briere-2 was selected as the best model considering biological significance of the estimated values for the biologically interpretable parameters of models. Based on the results, the values of the lower temperature threshold were 10.82, 11.81, 9.35, and 10.67°C, the optimal temperature were 35.50, 31.80, 33.35, and 32.22°C, and the upper temperature threshold were 38.93, 39.19, 37.41, and 36.55°C, for incubation period, larva, pupa, and overall immature stages of pink stem borer, respectively.Entities:
Keywords: development; nonlinear model; pink stem borer; temperature threshold
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 25502035 PMCID: PMC5634070 DOI: 10.1093/jisesa/ieu059
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Insect Sci ISSN: 1536-2442 Impact factor: 1.857
Mathematical models used to describe temperature-dependent development of pink stem borer
| Model | Equation | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Briére-1 |
|
|
| Briére-2 |
|
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| Lactin-2 |
|
|
| Logan-6 |
|
|
| Logan-10 |
|
|
| Polynomial third order |
|
|
Comparison developmental time of the immature stages of pink stem borer at eight constant temperatures
| Developmental stage | Temperature (°C) | Number of individuals |
Developmental time (days)
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min. | Max. | Mean ± SE | |||
| Egg (incubation period) | 15 | 133 | 24 | 27 | 25.94 ± 0.06g |
| 18 | 68 | 14 | 17 | 15.44 ± 0.10f | |
| 20.5 | 146 | 11 | 13 | 12.03 ± 0.03e | |
| 24 | 178 | 6 | 8 | 6.55 ± 0.05d | |
| 27 | 138 | 5 | 6 | 5.05 ± 0.02c | |
| 30 | 157 | 4 | 6 | 4.37 ± 0.05b | |
| 34 | 121 | 3 | 4 | 3.62 ± 0.04a | |
| 38 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 4.21 ± 0.06b | |
| Larva | 15 | 31 | 103 | 150 | 127.97 ± 2.49g |
| 18 | 45 | 65 | 88 | 75.35 ± 0.97f | |
| 20.5 | 60 | 32 | 50 | 38.18 ± 0.55d | |
| 24 | 77 | 28 | 39 | 32.69 ± 0.29c | |
| 27 | 83 | 20 | 42 | 25.58 ± 0.44b | |
| 30 | 91 | 15 | 34 | 20.58 ± 0.35a | |
| 34 | 75 | 18 | 33 | 23.16 ± 0.41ab | |
| 38 | 21 | 29 | 51 | 41.52 ± 1.60e | |
| Pupa | 15 | 20 | 42 | 57 | 46.80 ± 0.95f |
| 18 | 41 | 24 | 31 | 26.71 ± 0.22e | |
| 20.5 | 49 | 12 | 22 | 15.48 ± 0.29d | |
| 24 | 70 | 7 | 15 | 12.71 ± 0.12c | |
| 27 | 69 | 9 | 12 | 10.14 ± 0.07b | |
| 30 | 75 | 4 | 10 | 8.11 ± 0.11a | |
| 34 | 73 | 6 | 9 | 7.70 ± 0.08a | |
| 38 | – | – | – | – | |
| Overall immature stages | 15 | 20 | 169 | 228 | 197.60 ± 3.11f |
| 18 | 41 | 107 | 129 | 117.58 ± 1.09e | |
| 20.5 | 49 | 55 | 83 | 65.34 ± 0.83d | |
| 24 | 70 | 48 | 58 | 51.57 ± 0.29c | |
| 27 | 69 | 35 | 57 | 40.90 ± 0.48b | |
| 30 | 75 | 28 | 39 | 32.45 ± 0.32a | |
| 34 | 73 | 29 | 45 | 34.23 ± 0.48a | |
| 38 | – | – | – | – | |
The means of developmental time in the same developmental stages followed by different letters are statistically different. Ryan's multiple range test P < 0.05.
Fig. 1.Fitting six nonlinear models to observed values of developmental rates (1/day) of overall immature stages of pink stem borer at examined temperatures. Black squares are observed data.
Comparison of six nonlinear models based on R2 , RSS, AIC, and for description of temperature-dependent development of pink stem borer at examined constant temperatures
| Developmental stage | Model |
Statistical criteria
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| RSS (10 −4 ) | AIC |
| ||
| Incubation period | Briére-1 | 0.989 | 6.130 | −69.812 | 0.985 |
| Briére-2 | 0.994 | 3.364 | −105.949 | 0.992 | |
| Lactin-2 | 0.991 | 4.926 | −58.931 | 0.984 | |
| Logan-6 | 0.985 | 8.160 | −65.524 | 0.974 | |
| Logan-10 | 0.996 | 2.122 | −74.296 | 0.991 | |
| Polynomial third order | 0.994 | 3.327 | −72.700 | 0.989 | |
| Larva | Briére-1 | 0.972 | 0.399 | −91.662 | 0.961 |
| Briére-2 | 0.975 | 0.359 | −92.521 | 0.965 | |
| Lactin-2 | 0.974 | 0.363 | −77.188 | 0.954 | |
| Logan-6 | 0.939 | 0.860 | −83.527 | 0.893 | |
| Logan-10 | 0.976 | 0.334 | −45.104 | 0.944 | |
| Polynomial third order | 0.973 | 0.390 | −89.856 | 0.953 | |
| Pupa | Briére-1 | 0.990 | 0.074 | −71.700 | 0.986 |
| Briére-2 | 0.990 | 0.037 | −71.843 | 0.986 | |
| Lactin-2 | 0.992 | 0.780 | −71.835 | 0.986 | |
| Logan-6 | 0.982 | 1.814 | −65.925 | 0.969 | |
| Logan-10 | 0.987 | 1.318 | −66.158 | 0.970 | |
| Polynomial third order | 0.989 | 1.113 | −69.342 | 0.981 | |
| Overall immature stages | Briére-1 | 0.987 | 0.074 | −90.276 | 0.982 |
| Briére-2 | 0.988 | 0.066 | −93.630 | 0.982 | |
| Lactin-2 | 0.993 | 0.039 | −92.856 | 0.988 | |
| Logan-6 | 0.986 | 0.084 | −87.472 | 0.976 | |
| Logan-10 | 0.990 | 0.060 | −87.821 | 0.677 | |
| Polynomial third order | 0.987 | 0.077 | −88.017 | 0.977 | |
Values of fitted coefficients and measurable parameters of six developmental rate models to describe temperature-dependent development of pink stem borer
| Model | Parameters | Incubation period | Larva | Pupa | Overall immature stages |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briere-1 |
| 1.30 × 10 −4 | 2.66 × 10 −5 | 6.00 × 10 −5 | 1.78 × 10 −5 |
|
| 14.44 | 10.87 | 10.27 | 11.58 | |
|
| 41.62 | 38.74 | 41.29 | 38.74 | |
|
| 35.12 | 32.55 | 34.27 | 32.40 | |
| Briere-2 |
| 2.30 × 10 −4 | 2.16 × 10 −5 | 1.09 × 10 −4 | 2.72 × 10 −5 |
|
| 10.82 | 11.81 | 9.35 | 10.67 | |
|
| 38.93 | 39.19 | 37.41 | 36.55 | |
|
| 35.50 | 31.80 | 33.35 | 32.22 | |
|
| 3.97 | 1.65 | 3.43 | 2.99 | |
| Lactin-2 |
| 2.15 | 4.39 | 0.18 | 0.17 |
|
| 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | |
|
| −1.15 | −1.04 | −1.07 | −1.02 | |
|
| 43.56 | 51.25 | 34.74 | 34.82 | |
|
| 12.70 | 12.76 | 11.58 | 12.29 | |
|
| 40.57 | 39.86 | 34.36 | 34.26 | |
|
| 35.25 | 32.00 | 34.00 | 33.62 | |
| Logan-6 |
| 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
|
| 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.17 | |
|
| 41.11 | 39.46 | 38.73 | 37.49 | |
|
| 6.17 | 6.63 | 5.96 | 5.53 | |
|
| 34.91 | 32.76 | 32.71 | 32.90 | |
| Logan-10 |
| 0.31 | 1.67 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
|
| 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.20 | |
|
| 38.26 | 40.25 | 34.46 | 34.35 | |
|
| 0.16 | 17.60 | 0.16 | 0.19 | |
|
| 178.32 | 23.60 | 94.14 | 113.44 | |
|
| 37.34 | 31.55 | 33.59 | 34.33 | |
| Polynomial third order |
| −5.80 × 10 −5 | −1.30 × 10 −5 | −1.10 × 10 −5 | −6.61 × 10 −6 |
|
| 0.04 × 10 −1 | 0. 01 × 10 −1 | 0.01 × 10 −1 | 4.43 × 10 −4 | |
|
| −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | |
|
| 0.58 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.05 | |
|
| 44.94 | 40.77 | 50.04 | 42.90 | |
|
| 34.30 | 32.21 | 36.10 | 32.50 |