| Literature DB >> 25474506 |
Alexandre S Stephens1, Jason P Bentley, Lee K Taylor, Susan M Arbuckle.
Abstract
We determined brain to liver weight ratio (BLWR) thresholds for fetal growth restriction (FGR) using autopsy information on 395 perinatal deaths comprising stillborn babies who died during labour and neonatal deaths. FGR was defined using two methods: (1) birth weight for gestational age (WGA) less than the 10th percentile; and (2) WGA less than the 10th percentile or discordant birth weight/length. The association between BLWR and FGR was investigated using odds ratios, and classification statistics were calculated for a range of BLWR thresholds. Using WGA, 84 cases (21.3%) were FGR and a further 15 cases (n = 99, 25%) had discordant birth weight/length. The BLWR ranged from 1.02 to 7.30 and was positively associated with FGR. BLWR was not associated with FGR for babies with congenital central nervous system or chromosomal abnormalities. Excluding these, for FGR defined using WGA and discordant birth weight/length, a BLWR threshold of 5.0 was 100% predictive of FGR. A BLWR threshold of 3.0 for babies over 28 weeks gestation and 3.7 for more preterm babies optimised case detection while minimising missed and false positive cases. Additional evidence of FGR should be sought for babies with a BLWR of less than 5.0 to confirm FGR.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25474506 PMCID: PMC4676351 DOI: 10.1097/PAT.0000000000000188
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Pathology ISSN: 0031-3025 Impact factor: 5.306
Characteristics of the study population by FGR status for two definitions of FGR
| Variable/category | FGR (WGA <10th percentile) | FGR (plus discordance) | Total | ||||
| No | Yes | FGR | Cases added | FGR | |||
| Congenital condition | |||||||
| No | 197 | 46 | 18.9 | 12 | 23.9 | 243 | 61.5 |
| Yes | |||||||
| All | 114 | 38 | 25.0 | 3 | 27.0 | 152 | 38.5 |
| CNS or CA | 31 | 8 | 20.5 | 1 | 23.1 | 39 | 25.7 |
| Gender | |||||||
| Male | 186 | 48 | 20.5 | 7 | 23.5 | 234 | 59.2 |
| Female | 125 | 36 | 22.4 | 8 | 27.3 | 161 | 40.8 |
| Perinatal death | |||||||
| Stillbirth | 109 | 26 | 19.3 | 5 | 23.0 | 135 | 34.2 |
| Neonatal | 202 | 58 | 22.3 | 10 | 26.2 | 260 | 65.8 |
| Gestational age, weeks | |||||||
| <28 | 179 | 32 | 15.2 | 1 | 15.6 | 211 | 53.4 |
| 28+ | 132 | 52 | 28.3 | 14 | 35.9 | 184 | 46.6 |
| Birth weight, g | |||||||
| <2500 | 207 | 62 | 23.0 | 1 | 23.4 | 269 | 68.1 |
| 2500+ | 104 | 22 | 17.5 | 14 | 28.6 | 126 | 31.9 |
| Brain to liver weight ratio quintiles | |||||||
| 1.02–2.07 | 69 | 10 | 12.7 | 1 | 13.9 | 79 | 20.0 |
| 2.07–2.56 | 70 | 9 | 11.4 | 3 | 15.2 | 79 | 20.0 |
| 2.56–2.96 | 66 | 13 | 16.5 | 4 | 21.5 | 79 | 20.0 |
| 2.96–3.56 | 63 | 16 | 20.3 | 4 | 25.3 | 79 | 20.0 |
| 3.56–7.30 | 43 | 36 | 45.6 | 3 | 49.4 | 79 | 20.0 |
| Birth length percentiles | |||||||
| <3 | 5 | 22 | 81.5 | 0 | 81.5 | 27 | 8.5 |
| 3–10 | 11 | 15 | 57.7 | 0 | 57.7 | 26 | 8.2 |
| 10–50 | 83 | 25 | 23.1 | 0 | 23.1 | 108 | 34.0 |
| 50–90 | 115 | 10 | 8.0 | 10 | 16.0 | 125 | 39.3 |
| 90–97 | 18 | 1 | 5.3 | 3 | 21.1 | 19 | 6.0 |
| >97 | 13 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 15.4 | 13 | 4.1 |
| Total | 311 | 84 | 21.3 | 15 | 25.1 | 395 | 100.0 |
FGR, fetal growth restriction; WGA, weight for gestational age.
*FGR defined as WGA <10th percentile or weight/length discordance.
†Denotes percentage of strata group that is FGR.
‡CNS or CA: central nervous system conditions or chromosomal anomalies, which are a subset of all congenital conditions.
Fig. 1Effect of congenital conditions on the association between the BLWR and FGR by definition of FGR. BLWR, brain to liver weight ratio; CNS or CA, central nervous system conditions or chromosomal anomalies; FGR, fetal growth restriction; WGA, weight for gestational age. Bars represent 95% confidence intervals.
Fig. 2Sensitivity and positive predictive value for selected BLWR thresholds by FGR definition. BLWR, brain to liver weight ratio; FGR, fetal growth restriction; WGA, weight for gestational age. Bars represent 95% confidence intervals.
Odds ratios and classification statistics for various BLWR thresholds by gestational age∗
| Group (FGR | BLWR | OR | 95% CI | SN (%) | 95% CI | SP (%) | 95% CI | NPV (%) | 95% CI | PPV (%) | 95% CI |
| All ages ( | 2.8 | 2.9 | (1.7–4.7) | 64.4 | (53.7–74.3) | 61.3 | (55.1–67.2) | 83.6 | (77.6–88.5) | 36.0 | (28.6–44.0) |
| 3.0 | 4.0 | (2.4–6.7) | 60.0 | (49.1–70.2) | 72.9 | (67.2–78.2) | 84.3 | (79.0–88.8) | 42.9 | (34.1–52.0) | |
| 3.5 | 6.1 | (3.5–10.6) | 44.4 | (34.0–55.3) | 88.3 | (83.9–91.9) | 82.5 | (77.5–86.7) | 56.3 | (44.0–68.1) | |
| 4.0 | 12.2 | (5.6–26.3) | 32.2 | (22.8–42.9) | 96.2 | (93.2–98.2) | 80.8 | (76.0–84.9) | 74.4 | (57.9–87.0) | |
| 4.5 | 25.0 | (7.2–86.7) | 22.2 | (14.1–32.2) | 98.9 | (96.7–99.8) | 79.0 | (74.2–83.2) | 87.0 | (66.4–97.2) | |
| 5.0 | – | – | 20.0 | (12.3–29.8) | 100.0 | (98.6–100.0) | 78.7 | (73.9–82.9) | 100.0 | (81.5–100.0) | |
| 3.3 | 5.4 | (3.2–9.2) | 51.1 | (40.3–61.8) | 83.8 | (78.8–88.0) | 83.5 | (78.5–87.8) | 51.7 | (40.8–62.4) | |
| <28 weeks gestation ( | 2.8 | 2.1 | (0.9–4.9) | 60.7 | (40.6–78.5) | 58.2 | (49.9–66.1) | 89.0 | (81.2–94.4) | 21.0 | (12.7–31.5) |
| 3.0 | 3.5 | (1.5–8.0) | 60.7 | (40.6–78.5) | 69.3 | (61.3–76.5) | 90.6 | (83.8–95.2) | 26.6 | (16.3–39.1) | |
| 3.5 | 8.9 | (3.7–21.5) | 57.1 | (37.2–75.5) | 86.9 | (80.5–91.8) | 91.7 | (86.0–95.7) | 44.4 | (27.9–61.9) | |
| 4.0 | 18.1 | (6.3–52.3) | 46.4 | (27.5–66.1) | 95.4 | (90.8–98.1) | 90.7 | (85.1–94.7) | 65.0 | (40.8–84.6) | |
| 4.5 | 35.8 | (7.2–178.0) | 32.1 | (15.9–52.4) | 98.7 | (95.4–99.8) | 88.8 | (83.1–93.1) | 81.8 | (48.2–97.7) | |
| 5.0 | – | – | 28.6 | (13.2–48.7) | 100.0 | (97.6–100.0) | 88.4 | (82.7–92.8) | 100.0 | (63.1–100.0) | |
| 3.7 | 13.2 | (5.2–33.5) | 57.1 | (37.2–75.5) | 90.8 | (85.1–94.9) | 92.1 | (86.5–95.8) | 53.3 | (34.3–71.7) | |
| ≥28 weeks gestation ( | 2.8 | 3.7 | (1.9–7.1) | 66.1 | (53.0–77.7) | 65.5 | (56.0–74.2) | 77.9 | (68.2–85.8) | 51.3 | (39.8–62.6) |
| 3.0 | 5.2 | (2.7–10.2) | 59.7 | (46.4–71.9) | 77.9 | (69.1–85.1) | 77.9 | (69.1–85.1) | 59.7 | (46.4–71.9) | |
| 3.5 | 5.9 | (2.6–13.1) | 38.7 | (26.6–51.9) | 90.3 | (83.2–95.0) | 72.9 | (64.7–80.0) | 68.6 | (50.7–83.1) | |
| 4.0 | 12.8 | (3.5–45.9) | 25.8 | (15.5–38.5) | 97.3 | (92.4–99.4) | 70.5 | (62.7–77.5) | 84.2 | (60.4–96.6) | |
| 4.5 | 24.2 | (3.0–192.2) | 17.7 | (9.2–29.5) | 99.1 | (95.2–100.0) | 68.7 | (61.0–75.7) | 91.7 | (61.5–99.8) | |
| 5.0 | – | – | 16.1 | (8.0–27.7) | 100.0 | (96.8–100.0) | 68.5 | (60.8–75.5) | 100.0 | (69.2–100.0) | |
| 3.0 | 5.2 | (2.7–10.2) | 59.7 | (46.4–71.9) | 77.9 | (69.1–85.1) | 77.9 | (69.1–85.1) | 59.7 | (46.4–71.9) |
BLWR, brain to liver weight ratio; CI, confidence interval; FGR, fetal growth restriction; NPV, negative predictive value; OR, odds ratio; PPV, positive predictive value; SN, sensitivity; SP, specificity.
*Excludes central nervous system conditions or chromosomal anomalies.
†Defined using weight for gestational age <10th percentile or discordant birth weight/length.
‡Odds ratio calculation not possible as positive predictive grouping consists entirely of true positive cases and the denominator for odds calculation is zero.
§Optimal BLWR for classifying FGR based on Youden's index.
Number of classified true or false, positive or negative FGR cases for various BLWR thresholds by gestational age∗
| Group | FGR | FGR based on BLWR | |||||||
| No | Yes | Ratio | No | Yes | FP | FN | TP | TN | |
| All ages | 266 | 90 | 2.8 | 195 | 161 | 103 | 32 | 58 | 163 |
| 3.0 | 230 | 126 | 72 | 36 | 54 | 194 | |||
| 3.5 | 285 | 71 | 31 | 50 | 40 | 235 | |||
| 4.0 | 317 | 39 | 10 | 61 | 29 | 256 | |||
| 4.5 | 333 | 23 | 3 | 70 | 20 | 263 | |||
| 5.0 | 338 | 18 | 0 | 72 | 18 | 266 | |||
| 3.3 | 267 | 89 | 43 | 44 | 46 | 223 | |||
| <28 weeks | 153 | 28 | 2.8 | 100 | 81 | 64 | 11 | 17 | 89 |
| 3.0 | 117 | 64 | 47 | 11 | 17 | 106 | |||
| 3.5 | 145 | 36 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 133 | |||
| 4.0 | 161 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 146 | |||
| 4.5 | 170 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 151 | |||
| 5.0 | 173 | 8 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 153 | |||
| 3.7 | 151 | 30 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 139 | |||
| ≥28 weeks | 113 | 62 | 2.8 | 95 | 80 | 39 | 21 | 41 | 74 |
| 3.0 | 113 | 62 | 25 | 25 | 37 | 88 | |||
| 3.5 | 140 | 35 | 11 | 38 | 24 | 102 | |||
| 4.0 | 156 | 19 | 3 | 46 | 16 | 110 | |||
| 4.5 | 163 | 12 | 1 | 51 | 11 | 112 | |||
| 5.0 | 165 | 10 | 0 | 52 | 10 | 113 | |||
| 3.0 | 113 | 62 | 25 | 25 | 37 | 88 | |||
BLWR, brain to liver weight ratio; FGR, fetal growth restriction; FN, false negative; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; TP, true positive.
*Excludes central nervous system conditions or chromosomal anomalies.
†Defined using weight for gestational age <10th percentile or discordant birth weight/length.
‡Optimal BLWR threshold for classifying FGR based on Youden's index.