Literature DB >> 25473381

A PERIODIC ROSS-MACDONALD MODEL IN A PATCHY ENVIRONMENT.

Daozhou Gao1, Yijun Lou2, Shigui Ruan3.   

Abstract

Based on the classical Ross-Macdonald model, in this paper we propose a periodic malaria model to incorporate the effects of temporal and spatial heterogeneity on disease transmission. The temporal heterogeneity is described by assuming that some model coefficients are time-periodic, while the spatial heterogeneity is modeled by using a multi-patch structure and assuming that individuals travel among patches. We calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and show that either the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] or the positive periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text]. Numerical simulations are conducted to confirm the analytical results and explore the effect of travel control on the disease prevalence.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Malaria; basic reproduction number; patch model; seasonality; threshold dynamics

Year:  2014        PMID: 25473381      PMCID: PMC4244283          DOI: 10.3934/dcdsb.2014.19.3133

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Discrete Continuous Dyn Syst Ser B        ISSN: 1531-3492            Impact factor:   1.327


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