| Literature DB >> 25473381 |
Daozhou Gao1, Yijun Lou2, Shigui Ruan3.
Abstract
Based on the classical Ross-Macdonald model, in this paper we propose a periodic malaria model to incorporate the effects of temporal and spatial heterogeneity on disease transmission. The temporal heterogeneity is described by assuming that some model coefficients are time-periodic, while the spatial heterogeneity is modeled by using a multi-patch structure and assuming that individuals travel among patches. We calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and show that either the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] or the positive periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text]. Numerical simulations are conducted to confirm the analytical results and explore the effect of travel control on the disease prevalence.Entities:
Keywords: Malaria; basic reproduction number; patch model; seasonality; threshold dynamics
Year: 2014 PMID: 25473381 PMCID: PMC4244283 DOI: 10.3934/dcdsb.2014.19.3133
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Discrete Continuous Dyn Syst Ser B ISSN: 1531-3492 Impact factor: 1.327