| Literature DB >> 32242279 |
Xiulei Jin1,2, Shuwan Jin1, Daozhou Gao3.
Abstract
People infected with malaria may receive less mosquito bites when they are treated in well-equipped hospitals or follow doctors' advice for reducing exposure to mosquitoes at home. This quarantine-like intervention measure is especially feasible in countries and areas approaching malaria elimination. Motivated by mathematical models with quarantine for directly transmitted diseases, we develop a mosquito-borne disease model where imperfect quarantine is considered to mitigate the disease transmission from infected humans to susceptible mosquitoes. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is computed and the model equilibria and their stabilities are analyzed when the incidence rate is standard or bilinear. In particular, the model system may undergo a subcritical (backward) bifurcation at [Formula: see text] when standard incidence is adopted, whereas the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable as [Formula: see text] and the unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable as [Formula: see text] when the infection incidence is bilinear. Numerical simulations suggest that the quarantine strategy can play an important role in decreasing malaria transmission. The success of quarantine mainly relies on the reduction of bites on quarantined individuals.Entities:
Keywords: Backward bifurcation; Basic reproduction number; Bilinear incidence; Malaria; Quarantine; Standard incidence
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32242279 PMCID: PMC7117789 DOI: 10.1007/s11538-020-00723-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Bull Math Biol ISSN: 0092-8240 Impact factor: 1.758