Tobias Reichlin1, Louise Cullen2, William A Parsonage3, Jaimi Greenslade2, Raphael Twerenbold1, Berit Moehring4, Karin Wildi4, Sandra Mueller4, Christa Zellweger4, Tamina Mosimann4, Maria Rubini Gimenez4, Katharina Rentsch5, Stefan Osswald4, Christian Müller6. 1. Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland. 2. Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Australia; Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia; University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. 3. Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Australia; University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. 4. Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland. 5. Laboratory Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland. 6. Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland. Electronic address: muellerch@uhbs.ch.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) may allow an earlier diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 1148 (derivation cohort) and 517 (external validation cohort) unselected patients presenting with suspected AMI to the emergency department. Final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. Hs-cTnT was measured at presentation and after 2 hours. A diagnostic algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT values at presentation and absolute changes within the first 2 hours was derived. RESULTS: AMI was the final diagnosis in 16% of patients in the derivation and 9.1% in the validation cohort. The 2-hour algorithm developed in the derivation cohort classified 60% of patients as "rule-out," 16% as "rule-in," and 24% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were 99.5% and 99.9%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were 96% and 78%, respectively, for rule-in. Applying the 2-hour triage algorithm in the external validation cohort, 78% of patients could be classified as "rule-out," 8% as "rule-in," and 14% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and NPV were 96% and 99.5%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and PPV were 99% and 85%, respectively, for rule-in. Cumulative 30-day survival rates were 100%, 98.9%, and 95.2% (P < .001), and 100%, 100%, and 95% (P < .001) in patients classified as "rule-out," "observational-zone," and "rule-in" in the 2 cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A simple algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT baseline values and absolute changes over 2 hours allowed a triage toward safe rule-out, or accurate rule-in, of AMI in the vast majority of patients, with only 20% requiring more prolonged monitoring and serial blood sampling.
BACKGROUND: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) may allow an earlier diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 1148 (derivation cohort) and 517 (external validation cohort) unselected patients presenting with suspected AMI to the emergency department. Final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. Hs-cTnT was measured at presentation and after 2 hours. A diagnostic algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT values at presentation and absolute changes within the first 2 hours was derived. RESULTS: AMI was the final diagnosis in 16% of patients in the derivation and 9.1% in the validation cohort. The 2-hour algorithm developed in the derivation cohort classified 60% of patients as "rule-out," 16% as "rule-in," and 24% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were 99.5% and 99.9%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were 96% and 78%, respectively, for rule-in. Applying the 2-hour triage algorithm in the external validation cohort, 78% of patients could be classified as "rule-out," 8% as "rule-in," and 14% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and NPV were 96% and 99.5%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and PPV were 99% and 85%, respectively, for rule-in. Cumulative 30-day survival rates were 100%, 98.9%, and 95.2% (P < .001), and 100%, 100%, and 95% (P < .001) in patients classified as "rule-out," "observational-zone," and "rule-in" in the 2 cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A simple algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT baseline values and absolute changes over 2 hours allowed a triage toward safe rule-out, or accurate rule-in, of AMI in the vast majority of patients, with only 20% requiring more prolonged monitoring and serial blood sampling.
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