Literature DB >> 25358040

Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic.

C Poletto1, M F Gomes, A Pastore y Piontti, L Rossi, L Bioglio, D L Chao, I M Longini, M E Halloran, V Colizza, A Vespignani.   

Abstract

The quick spread of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa has led a number of countries and airline companies to issue travel bans to the affected areas. Considering data up to 31 Aug 2014, we assess the impact of the resulting traffic reductions with detailed numerical simulations of the international spread of the epidemic. Traffic reductions are shown to delay by only a few weeks the risk that the outbreak extends to new countries.

Entities:  

Mesh：

Year:  2014        PMID： 25358040      PMCID： PMC4415609          DOI： 10.2807/1560-7917.es2014.19.42.20936

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Euro Surveill        ISSN： 1025-496X


  11 in total

1.  Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza?

Authors:  T Déirdre Hollingsworth; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Journal:  Nat Med       Date:  2006-05       Impact factor: 53.440

2.  Understanding the dynamics of Ebola epidemics.

Authors:  J Legrand; R F Grais; P Y Boelle; A J Valleron; A Flahault
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2006-09-26       Impact factor: 2.451

3.  Estimating the Reproduction Number of Ebola Virus (EBOV) During the 2014 Outbreak in West Africa.

Authors:  Christian L Althaus
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2014-09-02

4.  Assessing the international spreading risk associated with the 2014 west african ebola outbreak.

Authors:  Marcelo F C Gomes; Ana Pastore Y Piontti; Luca Rossi; Dennis Chao; Ira Longini; M Elizabeth Halloran; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2014-09-02

5.  Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases.

Authors:  Duygu Balcan; Vittoria Colizza; Bruno Gonçalves; Hao Hu; José J Ramasco; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2009-12-14       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  A simple explanation for the low impact of border control as a countermeasure to the spread of an infectious disease.

Authors:  Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba; Jacco Wallinga
Journal:  Math Biosci       Date:  2008-02-29       Impact factor: 2.144

7.  Human mobility networks, travel restrictions, and the global spread of 2009 H1N1 pandemic.

Authors:  Paolo Bajardi; Chiara Poletto; Jose J Ramasco; Michele Tizzoni; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2011-01-31       Impact factor: 3.240

8.  Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1).

Authors:  Benjamin J Cowling; Lincoln L H Lau; Peng Wu; Helen W C Wong; Vicky J Fang; Steven Riley; Hiroshi Nishiura
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2010-03-30       Impact factor: 3.090

9.  Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility.

Authors:  Duygu Balcan; Hao Hu; Bruno Goncalves; Paolo Bajardi; Chiara Poletto; Jose J Ramasco; Daniela Paolotti; Nicola Perra; Michele Tizzoni; Wouter Van den Broeck; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2009-09-10       Impact factor: 8.775

10.  Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections.

Authors:  Bruce Aylward; Philippe Barboza; Luke Bawo; Eric Bertherat; Pepe Bilivogui; Isobel Blake; Rick Brennan; Sylvie Briand; Jethro Magwati Chakauya; Kennedy Chitala; Roland M Conteh; Anne Cori; Alice Croisier; Jean-Marie Dangou; Boubacar Diallo; Christl A Donnelly; Christopher Dye; Tim Eckmanns; Neil M Ferguson; Pierre Formenty; Caroline Fuhrer; Keiji Fukuda; Tini Garske; Alex Gasasira; Stephen Gbanyan; Peter Graaff; Emmanuel Heleze; Amara Jambai; Thibaut Jombart; Francis Kasolo; Albert Mbule Kadiobo; Sakoba Keita; Daniel Kertesz; Moussa Koné; Chris Lane; Jered Markoff; Moses Massaquoi; Harriet Mills; John Mike Mulba; Emmanuel Musa; Joel Myhre; Abdusalam Nasidi; Eric Nilles; Pierre Nouvellet; Deo Nshimirimana; Isabelle Nuttall; Tolbert Nyenswah; Olushayo Olu; Scott Pendergast; William Perea; Jonathan Polonsky; Steven Riley; Olivier Ronveaux; Keita Sakoba; Ravi Santhana Gopala Krishnan; Mikiko Senga; Faisal Shuaib; Maria D Van Kerkhove; Rui Vaz; Niluka Wijekoon Kannangarage; Zabulon Yoti
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2014-09-22       Impact factor: 91.245
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  58 in total

1.  Analyzing Variability in Ebola-Related Controls Applied to Returned Travelers in the United States.

Authors:  John D Kraemer; Mark J Siedner; Michael A Stoto
Journal:  Health Secur       Date:  2015-09-08

2.  Assessing the direct effects of the ebola outbreak on life expectancy in liberia, sierra leone and Guinea.

Authors:  Stephane Helleringer; Andrew Noymer
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2015-02-19

3.  From global health security to global health solidarity, security and sustainability.

Authors:  Antoine Flahault; Didier Wernli; Patrick Zylberman; Marcel Tanner
Journal:  Bull World Health Organ       Date:  2016-12-01       Impact factor: 9.408

4.  Spread of Zika virus in the Americas.

Authors:  Qian Zhang; Kaiyuan Sun; Matteo Chinazzi; Ana Pastore Y Piontti; Natalie E Dean; Diana Patricia Rojas; Stefano Merler; Dina Mistry; Piero Poletti; Luca Rossi; Margaret Bray; M Elizabeth Halloran; Ira M Longini; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-04-25       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  The Western Africa ebola virus disease epidemic exhibits both global exponential and local polynomial growth rates.

Authors:  Gerardo Chowell; Cécile Viboud; James M Hyman; Lone Simonsen
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2015-01-21

6.  Methods for Rapid Mobility Estimation to Support Outbreak Response.

Authors:  Pyrros A Telionis; Patrick Corbett; Srinivasan Venkatramanan; Bryan Lewis
Journal:  Health Secur       Date:  2020 Jan/Feb

7.  A decision-support framework to optimize border control for global outbreak mitigation.

Authors:  Aleksa Zlojutro; David Rey; Lauren Gardner
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2019-02-18       Impact factor: 4.379

Review 8.  Connecting Mobility to Infectious Diseases: The Promise and Limits of Mobile Phone Data.

Authors:  Amy Wesolowski; Caroline O Buckee; Kenth Engø-Monsen; C J E Metcalf
Journal:  J Infect Dis       Date:  2016-12-01       Impact factor: 5.226

9.  Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis.

Authors:  Stefano Merler; Marco Ajelli; Laura Fumanelli; Marcelo F C Gomes; Ana Pastore Y Piontti; Luca Rossi; Dennis L Chao; Ira M Longini; M Elizabeth Halloran; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  Lancet Infect Dis       Date:  2015-01-07       Impact factor: 25.071

10.  Product of natural evolution (SARS, MERS, and SARS-CoV-2); deadly diseases, from SARS to SARS-CoV-2.

Authors:  Mohamad Hesam Shahrajabian; Wenli Sun; Qi Cheng
Journal:  Hum Vaccin Immunother       Date:  2020-08-12       Impact factor: 3.452
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